New York City FC vs Chicago Fire — live & stats

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Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

10' ⚽ N. Fernández1–0

21' ⚽ J. Waterman1–1

29' ⚽ A. Ojeda · assist A. Perea2–1

41' ⚽ M. Jones · assist A. Ojeda3–1

Half-time · 3–1

46' 🔁 J. Dean ◂ L. Barroso

46' 🔁 R. Lewandowski ◂ M. Haile-Selassie

51' D. T. D'Avilla · Foul

62' N. Fernández · Foul

63' 🔁 M. Pineda ◂ D. T. D'Avilla

69' 🔁 B. Traore ◂ M. Jones

71' 🔁 A. Gutman ◂ V. Radojević

71' 🔁 P. Dithejane ◂ R. Lod

77' J. Waterman · Off the ball foul

80' P. Dithejane · Foul

85' 🔁 H. Wolf ◂ T. Magno

85' 🔁 A. Farnos ◂ J. Shore

Full-time · 3–1

90'⁺² 🔁 M. Ilenič ◂ A. Ojeda

Coaches

Pascal Jansen

Gregg Berhalter

Recent form

New York City FC

WAColumbus Crew2-1

LANashville SC1-2

DANew York Red Bulls1-1

WACharlotte FC1-0

WHColumbus Crew3-0

Chicago Fire

LAInter Miami CF2-3

WHToronto FC2-1

WACF Montréal2-0

WADC United3-1

LHNew York Red Bulls1-3

Where to watch

MLS Season Pass

Match facts

Stadium

Yankee Stadium

City

Bronx

Referee

Ricardo Montero

Kickoff

25 Jul, 23:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

New York City FC 4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2 Chicago Fire

49 M. Freese 6.9 24 T. Gray 7.0 13 T. Martins 7.0 6 J. Sands 6.6 2 N. Cavallo 7.0 87 A. Farnos 6.6 ↑ 85' 35 M. Ilenič ↑ 90' 7 N. Fernández 8.4 8 A. Perea 7.7 9 B. Traore 6.3 ↑ 69' 17 H. Wolf 6.6 ↑ 85' 1 C. Brady 5.3 24 J. Dean 7.2 ↑ 46' 16 J. Waterman 7.4 3 J. Elliott 6.5 15 A. Gutman 6.5 ↑ 71' 11 P. Zinckernagel 7.4 6 A. Salétros 6.8 22 M. Pineda 6.7 ↑ 63' 19 J. Bamba 6.5 12 P. Dithejane 6.1 ↑ 71' 9 R. Lewandowski 6.3 ↑ 46'

Substitutes

30GT. Romero 23DM. Murray 26MA. Ojeda↓ 90'8.4 32MJ. Shore↓ 85'7.0 29MM. Carrizo 15MK. Pierre 88FM. Jones↓ 69'7.2 11FT. Magno↓ 85'6.9 99FS. Garfield-Reid

Coach: Pascal Jansen

Substitutes

44GJ. Cohen 14DV. Radojević↓ 71'6.0 2DL. Barroso↓ 46'5.9 5DS. Rogers 7MM. Haile-Selassie↓ 46'6.4 17MR. Lod↓ 71'6.3 42MD. T. D'Avilla↓ 63'6.1 35MS. Oregel 20FJ. Shokalook

Coach: Gregg Berhalter

Top stats

47%Possession53%

1.39Expected goals (xG)1.36

10Total shots9

3Shots on target5

2Big chances3

1Corners2

Shots

4Shots off target2

3Blocked shots2

6Shots inside box6

4Shots outside box3

0Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed2

0.08Goals prevented-1.37

Attack

12Touches in box21

68Final third entries61

5Offsides1

16Free kicks8

2Fouled in final third3

Passing

426Passes478

345Accurate passes389

35/70 (50%)Long balls12/46 (26%)

2/10 (20%)Crosses4/18 (22%)

30Throw-ins22

Duels

55Duels48

42/73 (58%)Ground duels33/74 (45%)

10/22 (45%)Aerial duels14/23 (61%)

5/14 (36%)Dribbles5/21 (24%)

12Dispossessed5

Defending

22Tackles22

68Tackles won64

8Interceptions12

30Clearances12

46Recoveries38

Discipline

8Fouls16

1Yellow cards3

Goalkeeping

4Saves0

6Goal kicks9

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 45 bookmakers

NY City 36%

26%

Chicago 38%

Who winsChicago to win (DNB) 52% · 2.15 @ Betsson

BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 1.53 @ Betano

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 1.62 @ Novibet

1X2Chicago to win 38% · 2.90 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.20 @ Betano

1X2Draw 26% · 4.10 @ Betano

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.63 @ Novibet

1X2NY City to win 36% · 2.45 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.58 @ Unibet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.32

New York City FC ▼

3.66

Draw ▲

2.73

Chicago Fire ▲

Double Chanceconsensus

1.41

New York City FC or Draw ▼

1.25

New York City FC or Chicago Fire ▼

1.58

Draw or Chicago Fire ▲

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.49

Yes ▲

2.48

No ▼

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50 ▼

13.58

Under 0.50 ▲

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.20

Over 1.50 ▲

4.40

Under 1.50 ▼

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.62

Over 2.50 ▲

2.25

Under 2.50 ▼

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.50

Over 3.50 ▲

1.50

Under 3.50 ▼

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.40

Over 4.50 ▲

1.20

Under 4.50 ▼

Draw No Betconsensus

1.61

New York City FC ▼

2.01

Chicago Fire ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus

1.01

Over 4.50

13.25

Under 4.50

Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus

1.04

Over 5.50

9.10

Under 5.50

Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus

1.10

Over 6.50 ▲

5.90

Under 6.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.24

Over 7.50 ▼

3.58

Under 7.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.45

Over 8.50 ▼

2.54

Under 8.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.77

Over 9.50 ▲

1.94

Under 9.50 ▲

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.24

Over 10.50 ▼

1.57

Under 10.50 ▲

Full odds via API →

1.8 – 1.6Expected goals

1-1Most likely score

~9Expected corners

Bets worth taking in this match

Bet: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.18

we give it 80 chances out of 100 at a fair price

80%

likely

Every market recommended rows highlighted

Our call	How likely	Bookmakers say	Their odds	Price check	Confidence
Chicago to win (DNB)Who wins	52%	52%	1.79	Overpriced	low
Both teams to scoreBTTS	62%	62%	1.49	Overpriced	medium
Over 2.5 goalsGoals	59%	59%	1.59	Fair	low
Chicago to win1X2	38%	38%	2.44	Overpriced	low
Over 9.5 cornersCorners	51%	52%	1.77	Overpriced	low
Over 8.5 cornersCorners	63%	63%	1.45	Overpriced	medium
Over 1.5 goalsGoals	80%	80%	1.18	Fair	high
Draw1X2	26%	26%	3.59	Overpriced	low
Under 10.5 cornersCorners	60%	59%	1.56	Overpriced	low
NY City to win1X2	36%	36%	2.63	Overpriced	low
Under 3.5 goalsGoals	62%	62%	1.51	Overpriced	medium

Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: NY City to win (DNB) — we say 56%, they say 48%.

Probability vs league average

Market	This match	League avg	Diff	More likely?
Over 1.5 goals	80%	79%	+1%	Yes
Over 2.5 goals	59%	60%	-1%	No
Over 3.5 goals	38%	37%	+1%	Yes
Both teams to score	62%	60%	+2%	Yes
Home win	36%	46%	-10%	No
Draw	26%	24%	+2%	Yes
Away win	38%	30%	+8%	Yes

How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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