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Robin Fraser
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
New England Revolution
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
21634 EUR · live
Home
2.52 · implied 39.7%
54.5%
+14.8 vs price
Away
3.1 · implied 32.3%
29.9%
-2.4 vs price
Draw
3.65 · implied 27.4%
15.6%
-11.8 vs price
Half time
198 EUR
Draw
2.52 · implied 39.7%
50.0%
+10.3 vs price
Away
3.95 · implied 25.3%
42.4%
+17.1 vs price
Home
2.86 · implied 35.0%
6.6%
-28.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
12209 EUR · live
Over
1.98 · implied 50.5%
69.7%
+19.2 vs price
Under
2.0 · implied 50.0%
30.3%
-19.7 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
25'
B. Raines · Foul
40'
🔁
G. Yow ◂ P. Miller
43'
⚽
W. Sands1–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'+6
⚽
N. Dorsch · assist Đ. Mihailović2–0
73'
🔁
W. Harris ◂ D. Turgeman
74'
W. Zimmerman · Foul
76'
Đ. Mihailović · Foul
81'
🔁
A. Coello ◂ D. Sallói
81'
🔁
Z. Monlouis ◂ T. Corbeanu
81'
🔁
M. Zambrano ◂ M. Polster
86'
🔁
D. Fagúndez ◂ B. Raines
Full-time · 2–1
90'
⚽
W. Harris · assist J. Harrison2–1
90'+1
🔁
K. Franklin ◂ M. Cimermancic
90'+1
🔁
E. Aristizábal ◂ J. Sargent
Coaches
Robin FraserMarko Mitrovic 
Recent form
Toronto FCDANew York City FC1-1
LADC United1-2
DANew England Revolution0-0
DACF Montréal0-0
LAChicago Fire1-2
New England RevolutionLHHouston Dynamo0-2
DACF Montréal2-2
WHAtlanta United4-1
DHToronto FC0-0
LACharlotte FC0-1
Where to watch
MLS Pass on Apple TV
MLS Pass on Apple TV
MLS Pass on Apple TV
Apple TV (DE)
MLS Pass on Apple TV
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Field
City
Toronto
Kickoff
15 Aug, 23:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Highlights & clips
Toronto FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
New England Revolution
1
L. Gavran
6.6
22
R. Laryea
7.1
25
W. Zimmerman
7.1
13
B. Kuscevic
6.2
38
J. Gilman
6.6
19
K. Franklin
↑ 90'
6
N. Dorsch
7.4
12
Z. Monlouis
6.4
↑ 81'
10
Đ. Mihailović
6.1
14
A. Coello
6.5
↑ 81'
17
E. Aristizábal
↑ 90'
30
M. Turner
6.2
17
M. Zambrano
6.4
↑ 81'
22
E. Kohler
6.9
2
M. Fofana
6.8
23
W. Sands
5.9
77
D. Fagúndez
6.6
↑ 86'
10
C. Gil
7.2
80
A. Yusuf
6.7
11
J. Harrison
7.9
27
W. Harris
7.3
↑ 73'
7
G. Yow
6.6
↑ 40'
Substitutes
23GW. Yarbrough
44DR. Edwards
20MD. Sallói↓ 81'6.9
71MM. Cimermancic↓ 90'6.8
78MM. Henry
9FJ. Sargent↓ 90'7.3
7FT. Corbeanu↓ 81'7.0
99FJ. Vilsaint
11FD. Etienne
Coach: Robin Fraser
Substitutes
33GD. Parisian
25DP. Miller↓ 40'6.6
4DT. Beason
15DC. Baker
8MM. Polster↓ 81'6.9
21MB. Raines↓ 86'6.3
65MJ. Siqueira
14MJ. Yueill
99FD. Turgeman↓ 73'6.1
Coach: Marko Mitrovic
Top stats
29%Possession71%
0.24Expected goals (xG)2.29
3Total shots24
1Shots on target7
0Big chances4
0Corners9
Shots
1Shots off target11
1Blocked shots6
2Shots inside box17
1Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed3
0.34Goals prevented-1.29
Attack
13Touches in box51
38Final third entries59
2Offsides1
5Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
265Passes624
199Accurate passes568
16/56 (29%)Long balls18/35 (51%)
4/10 (40%)Crosses12/39 (31%)
16Throw-ins17
Duels
41Duels59
22/51 (43%)Ground duels29/51 (57%)
11/30 (37%)Aerial duels19/30 (63%)
5/12 (42%)Dribbles5/10 (50%)
6Dispossessed7
Defending
12Tackles13
33Tackles won62
9Interceptions3
36Clearances22
40Recoveries46
Discipline
11Fouls5
1Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves0
1Big saves0
17Goal kicks3
5Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.73 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.44 @ Betway
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 1.61 @ betcity
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 1.72 @ betcity
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.56 @ betfair
1X2Draw 26% · 2.95 @ fonbet
Who winsToronto to win (DNB) 60% · 1.70 @ merkurxtip
1X2Toronto to win 44% · 2.55 @ merkurxtip
1X2New England to win 29% · 3.55 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.07 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.77 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.24
Toronto FC
3.66
Draw
3.11
New England Revolution
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
Toronto FC or Draw
1.31
Toronto FC or New England Revolution
1.70
Draw or New England Revolution
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.56
Yes
2.45
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.45
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.69
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50
2.28
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.59
Over 3.50
1.51
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.65
Over 4.50 ▲
1.18
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.59
Toronto FC ▲
2.27
New England Revolution ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
10.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
6.04
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
4.05
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50
2.84
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.61
Over 9.50
2.17
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.96
Over 10.50
1.70
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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