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Pascal Jansen
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
Philadelphia Union
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
203870 EUR · live
Home
65.0 · implied 1.5%
52.3%
+50.7 vs price
Away
1.24 · implied 80.6%
27.6%
-53.0 vs price
Draw
6.0 · implied 16.7%
20.1%
+3.4 vs price
Half time
423 EUR · live
Draw
3.6 · implied 27.8%
41.6%
+13.9 vs price
Home
1.55 · implied 64.5%
40.0%
-24.5 vs price
Away
9.6 · implied 10.4%
18.0%
+7.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
21845 EUR · live
Over
1.21 · implied 82.6%
74.3%
-8.3 vs price
Under
5.6 · implied 17.9%
25.7%
+7.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1692 EUR · live
Under
1.33 · implied 75.2%
59.8%
-15.4 vs price
Over
4.0 · implied 25.0%
40.1%
+15.1 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
B. Traore (pen)1–0
16'
N. Harriel · Foul
43'
Luighi · Foul
44'
J. Lukić · Persistent fouling
Half-time · 2–0
45'+2
⚽
Luighi (pen)2–0
48'
⚽
D. Jean Jacques · assist C. Sullivan2–1
50'
M. Iloski · Foul
60'
🔁
K. O'Toole ◂ K. Parks
60'
🔁
M. Carrizo ◂ J. Shore
62'
🔁
J. Bueno ◂ J. Lukić
67'
🔁
M. Jones ◂ B. Traore
67'
🔁
T. Magno ◂ Luighi
69'
⚽
B. Damiani · assist C. Sullivan2–2
70'
🔁
Q. Sullivan ◂ I. Vassilev
75'
⚽
B. Damiani · assist Q. Sullivan2–3
78'
🔁
Raul Gustavo ◂ M. Murray
79'
T. Gray · Foul
80'
🔁
A. Bedoya ◂ C. Sullivan
85'
K. Wagner · Foul
Full-time · 2–3
90'
M. Jones · Argument
Coaches
Pascal JansenRyan Richter 
Recent form
New York City FCDHToronto FC1-1
WHChicago Fire3-1
WAColumbus Crew2-1
LANashville SC1-2
DANew York Red Bulls1-1
Philadelphia UnionWHAtlanta United3-2
WHSeattle Sounders FC1-0
WHNew York Red Bulls3-1
LAInter Miami CF4-6
DHColumbus Crew1-1
Where to watch
MLS Pass on Apple TV
Apple TV (DE)
MLS Pass on Apple TV
MLS Pass on Apple TV
MLS Pass on Apple TV
Match facts
Stadium
Yankee Stadium
City
Bronx
Kickoff
16 Aug, 22:00 UTC
Competition
MLS
Highlights & clips
New York City FC
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
Philadelphia Union
49
M. Freese
6.3
24
T. Gray
5.8
34
Raul Gustavo
6.7
↑ 78'
6
J. Sands
6.1
2
N. Cavallo
6.4
22
K. O'Toole
6.0
↑ 60'
29
M. Carrizo
6.4
↑ 60'
8
A. Perea
6.8
26
A. Ojeda
6.8
11
T. Magno
6.4
↑ 67'
88
M. Jones
6.3
↑ 67'
18
A. Blake
7.2
39
F. Westfield
7.3
44
N. Pierre
5.7
26
N. Harriel
6.4
27
K. Wagner
7.0
11
A. Bedoya
6.3
↑ 80'
21
D. Jean Jacques
7.6
8
J. Bueno
7.0
↑ 62'
33
Q. Sullivan
6.8
↑ 70'
9
B. Damiani
8.7
10
M. Iloski
6.3
Substitutes
30GT. Romero
23DM. Murray↓ 78'5.9
35DM. Ilenič
9MB. Traore↓ 67'7.7
55MK. Parks↓ 60'7.1
32MJ. Shore↓ 60'6.6
75ME. H. Samb
15MK. Pierre
20FLuighi↓ 67'7.3
Coach: Pascal Jansen
Substitutes
76GA. Rick
5DJ. Sery Larsen
6MC. Sullivan↓ 80'7.3
19MI. Vassilev↓ 70'6.4
4MJ. Lukić↓ 62'6.0
28MA. Anello
16MB. Bender
14MJ. Rafanello
23FE. Alladoh
Coach: Ryan Richter
Top stats
51%Possession49%
2.53Expected goals (xG)2.85
17Total shots18
4Shots on target5
2Big chances5
8Corners4
Shots
6Shots off target8
7Blocked shots5
11Shots inside box9
6Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored3
0Big chances missed2
-0.16Goals prevented0.87
Attack
28Touches in box24
55Final third entries64
1Offsides3
19Free kicks15
5Fouled in final third2
Passing
349Passes328
249Accurate passes246
16/59 (27%)Long balls25/58 (43%)
4/15 (27%)Crosses4/22 (18%)
24Throw-ins22
Duels
50Duels50
40/74 (54%)Ground duels34/74 (46%)
17/40 (43%)Aerial duels23/40 (57%)
12/21 (57%)Dribbles3/8 (38%)
9Dispossessed3
Defending
8Tackles18
63Tackles won61
4Interceptions8
27Clearances28
47Recoveries44
Discipline
15Fouls21
3Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
1Big saves1
10Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsPhiladelphia to win (DNB) 51% · 1.77 @ merkurxtip
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 1.62 @ betfair
1X2Philadelphia to win 38% · 3.00 @ fanatics
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 6.00 @ coral
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.24 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 26% · 2.80 @ tipico
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ Interwetten
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.55 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.53 @ betfair
1X2NY City to win 36% · 3.05 @ eurobet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.68
New York City FC
3.52
Draw
2.30
Philadelphia Union
Double Chanceconsensus
1.56
New York City FC or Draw
1.26
New York City FC or Philadelphia Union
1.43
Draw or Philadelphia Union
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.52
Yes
2.35
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.71
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.42
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.61
Over 2.50
2.18
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.52
Over 3.50
1.46
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.53
Over 4.50
1.19
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.03
New York City FC ▲
1.72
Philadelphia Union ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
7.90
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50 ▲
4.83
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.29
Over 7.50
3.22
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.55
Over 8.50 ▲
2.28
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.78
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.47
Over 10.50 ▲
1.48
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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