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Pat Noonan
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1
New York City FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
123767 EUR · live
Home
1.43 · implied 69.9%
85.9%
+15.9 vs price
Away
8.2 · implied 12.2%
8.8%
-3.4 vs price
Draw
5.5 · implied 18.2%
5.4%
-12.8 vs price
Half time
229 EUR
Home
2.48 · implied 40.3%
49.3%
+9.0 vs price
Draw
2.72 · implied 36.8%
27.9%
-8.8 vs price
Away
3.95 · implied 25.3%
22.3%
-3.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
10804 EUR · live
Over
1.27 · implied 78.7%
70.7%
-8.1 vs price
Under
5.3 · implied 18.9%
30.3%
+11.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
66 EUR
Over
5.3 · implied 18.9%
99.4%
+80.5 vs price
Under
0.0%
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
K. M. Dem1–0
21'
⚽
Luighi · assist A. Ojeda1–1
30'
VAR
Card check · M. Miazga
33'
M. Miazga · Foul
36'
K. Parks · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
50'
O. Nwobodo · Foul
55'
Luighi · Foul
60'
🔁
B. Ramírez ◂ E. Echenique
60'
🔁
T. Hadebe ◂ M. Miazga
64'
🔁
S. Garfield-Reid ◂ Luighi
64'
🔁
M. Jones ◂ B. Traore
72'
🔁
T. Barlow ◂ K. Denkey
72'
🔁
S. Gidi ◂ O. Nwobodo
74'
N. Fernández · Argument
75'
🔁
N. Cavallo ◂ K. O'Toole
75'
🔁
J. Shore ◂ K. Parks
81'
🔁
T. Magno ◂ A. Ojeda
82'
S. Gidi · Foul
83'
🔁
T. Anunga ◂ K. Smith
Full-time · 2–1
90'+1
⚽
Evander · assist G. Valenzuela2–1
Coaches
Pascal Jansen 
Recent form
DAOrlando City SC1-1
WHSan Jose Earthquakes4-2
LAColumbus Crew1-2
WHVancouver Whitecaps4-3
WHBurnley3-1
LHPhiladelphia Union2-3
DHToronto FC1-1
WHChicago Fire3-1
WAColumbus Crew2-1
LANashville SC1-2
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Match facts
Stadium
TQL Stadium
City
Cincinnati
Kickoff
19 Aug, 23:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Highlights & clips
18
R. Celentano
8.3
12
M. Robinson
7.3
15
T. Hadebe
6.4
↑ 60'
27
T. Anunga
6.6
↑ 83'
20
P. Bucha
6.7
17
K. M. Dem
7.7
11
S. Gidi
7.0
↑ 72'
22
G. Valenzuela
7.2
29
B. Ramírez
6.4
↑ 60'
16
T. Barlow
6.4
↑ 72'
10
Evander
8.6
49
M. Freese
6.5
24
T. Gray
6.4
6
J. Sands
6.4
34
Raul Gustavo
6.7
2
N. Cavallo
6.3
↑ 75'
32
J. Shore
6.5
↑ 75'
8
A. Perea
6.4
11
T. Magno
6.9
↑ 81'
7
N. Fernández
7.2
99
S. Garfield-Reid
6.3
↑ 64'
88
M. Jones
6.5
↑ 64'
Substitutes
13GE. Louro
24DK. Smith↓ 83'6.8
21DM. Miazga↓ 60'6.7
4DN. Hagglund
2DA. Powell
66ME. Echenique↓ 60'6.6
5MO. Nwobodo↓ 72'6.6
9FK. Denkey↓ 72'6.3
99FA. Jabbari
Coach: Pat Noonan
Substitutes
30GT. Romero
22DK. O'Toole↓ 75'6.3
23DM. Murray
35DM. Ilenič
55MK. Parks↓ 75'7.1
26MA. Ojeda↓ 81'7.0
9MB. Traore↓ 64'6.2
15MK. Pierre
20FLuighi↓ 64'7.5
Coach: Pascal Jansen
Top stats
56%Possession44%
1.18Expected goals (xG)1.86
14Total shots16
6Shots on target8
3Big chances3
2Corners5
Shots
7Shots off target4
1Blocked shots4
9Shots inside box11
5Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed2
1.27Goals prevented-0.46
Attack
18Touches in box21
55Final third entries46
1Offsides0
9Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
545Passes419
479Accurate passes350
12/29 (41%)Long balls21/52 (40%)
2/10 (20%)Crosses5/18 (28%)
14Throw-ins19
Duels
53Duels47
31/56 (55%)Ground duels25/56 (45%)
10/21 (48%)Aerial duels11/21 (52%)
6/12 (50%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
6Dispossessed11
Defending
16Tackles12
81Tackles won58
7Interceptions8
28Clearances18
47Recoveries46
Discipline
10Fouls9
3Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
7Saves4
2Big saves2
5Goal kicks7
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 66% · 1.46 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 64% · 1.46 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.14 @ betfair
1X2Cincinnati to win 48% · 2.22 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59%
Who winsCincinnati to win (DNB) 60% · 1.55 @ BetMGM.uk
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65%
1X2Draw 24% · 3.10 @ betcity
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53%
1X2NY City to win 28% · 3.70 @ fonbet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 57% · 1.89 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.85
FC Cincinnati ▼
4.03
Draw ▼
3.54
New York City FC ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.28
FC Cincinnati or Draw ▲
1.23
FC Cincinnati or New York City FC ▲
1.89
Draw or New York City FC ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.41
Yes ▲
2.75
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
16.53
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.10
Over 1.50 ▼
6.17
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.41
Over 2.50 ▼
2.77
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.99
Over 3.50 ▼
1.78
Under 3.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.42
FC Cincinnati ▼
2.71
New York City FC ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
8.60
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
5.60
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
4.10
Over 12.50 ▲
1.19
Under 12.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
5.35
Over 13.50 ▲
1.11
Under 13.50 ▼
European Handicap -3.00consensus
13.68
FC Cincinnati -3 ▼
9.11
Draw -3 ▲
1.09
New York City FC +3 ▲
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.85
E ▲
1.89
Over ▲
Total Cards 3.50consensus
1.33
Over 3.50 ▼
2.98
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Cards 5.50consensus
2.56
Over 5.50
1.44
Under 5.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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