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Davy Arnaud
Austin FC
Philadelphia Union
Austin FC
3-4-3 · 4-4-2
Philadelphia Union
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
124622 EUR · live
Away
50.0 · implied 2.0%
53.3%
+51.3 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
29.3%
-66.9 vs price
Home
70.0 · implied 1.4%
17.4%
+16.0 vs price
Half time
199 EUR · live
Away
2.34 · implied 42.7%
79.4%
+36.7 vs price
Home
5.0 · implied 20.0%
16.1%
-3.9 vs price
Draw
2.36 · implied 42.4%
4.0%
-38.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
85045 EUR · live
Over
13.5 · implied 7.4%
51.1%
+43.7 vs price
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
48.9%
-46.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2534 EUR · live
Under
2.02 · implied 49.5%
78.3%
+28.8 vs price
Over
1.94 · implied 51.5%
21.7%
-29.9 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
18'
⚽
C. Sullivan · assist N. Harriel0–1
21'
⚽
B. Hines-Ike · assist J. Rosales1–1
38'
J. Bueno · Foul
41'
N. Pierre · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
57'
🔁
J. Lukić ◂ J. Bueno
57'
🔁
Q. Sullivan ◂ I. Vassilev
63'
🔁
B. Vázquez ◂ C. Ramirez
63'
🔁
F. Torres ◂ J. Alastuey
72'
🔁
M. Desler ◂ B. Hines-Ike
72'
🔁
P. Płacheta ◂ J. Rosales
74'
🔁
E. Alladoh ◂ B. Damiani
74'
🔁
A. Anello ◂ C. Sullivan
84'
🔁
Ž. Kolmanič ◂ J. Gallagher
Full-time · 1–1
90'+3
🔁
A. Bedoya ◂ M. Iloski
90'+6
E. Torres · Foul
Coaches
Ryan Richter 
Recent form
WASeattle Sounders FC2-1
LHFC Dallas1-2
LAColorado Rapids0-1
LAHouston Dynamo0-3
WHSeattle Sounders FC3-1
DHInter Miami CF2-2
WANew York City FC3-2
WHAtlanta United3-2
WHSeattle Sounders FC1-0
WHNew York Red Bulls3-1
Where to watch
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Match facts
Highlights & clips
1
B. Stuver
6.9
3
M. Desler
6.9
↑ 72'
5
O. Svatok
7.0
29
Guilherme Biro
7.1
23
Ž. Kolmanič
6.7
↑ 84'
38
E. Torres
7.1
14
B. Sabović
6.9
77
P. Płacheta
6.8
↑ 72'
11
F. Torres
6.6
↑ 63'
9
B. Vázquez
6.4
↑ 63'
10
M. Uzuni
6.6
18
A. Blake
7.1
39
F. Westfield
7.1
44
N. Pierre
7.8
26
N. Harriel
7.0
27
K. Wagner
6.9
28
A. Anello
6.6
↑ 74'
21
D. Jean Jacques
6.2
4
J. Lukić
6.9
↑ 57'
33
Q. Sullivan
7.1
↑ 57'
11
A. Bedoya
↑ 90'
23
E. Alladoh
6.4
↑ 74'
Substitutes
12GD. Las
4DB. Hines-Ike↓ 72'7.6
17DJ. Gallagher↓ 84'7.2
15DJ. Bell
30MJ. Rosales↓ 72'7.4
24MJ. Alastuey↓ 63'6.6
6MI. Sánchez
21FC. Ramirez↓ 63'6.5
7FJ. Nelson
Coach: Davy Arnaud
Substitutes
76GA. Rick
5DJ. Sery Larsen
6MC. Sullivan↓ 74'7.7
19MI. Vassilev↓ 57'6.5
8MJ. Bueno↓ 57'6.2
16MB. Bender
9FB. Damiani↓ 74'7.0
10FM. Iloski↓ 90'5.6
51FM. Jakupovic
Coach: Ryan Richter
Top stats
56%Possession44%
1.6Expected goals (xG)1.05
12Total shots9
6Shots on target3
3Big chances2
6Corners6
Shots
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots2
10Shots inside box6
2Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed1
0.08Goals prevented0.32
Attack
26Touches in box28
58Final third entries54
2Offsides1
13Free kicks8
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
479Passes384
403Accurate passes319
35/57 (61%)Long balls20/50 (40%)
6/26 (23%)Crosses5/22 (23%)
15Throw-ins18
Duels
51Duels49
31/60 (52%)Ground duels29/60 (48%)
12/24 (50%)Aerial duels12/24 (50%)
9/19 (47%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)
4Dispossessed4
Defending
11Tackles14
73Tackles won64
6Interceptions18
23Clearances28
49Recoveries47
Discipline
8Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
1Big saves0
7Goal kicks3
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 62 bookmakers
1X2Philadelphia to win 42% · 2.90 @ fonbet
Who winsPhiladelphia to win (DNB) 51% · 1.84 @ forbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.65 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.85 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.80 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.00 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
1X2Austin to win 31% · 3.40 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.97
Austin FC ▲
3.51
Draw ▲
2.18
Philadelphia Union ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.62
Austin FC or Draw ▲
1.27
Austin FC or Philadelphia Union
1.36
Draw or Philadelphia Union ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.54
Yes ▲
2.32
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.50
YES
1.17
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.35
YES
1.28
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.10
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
14.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50 ▲
4.20
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.64
Over 2.50 ▲
2.15
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.58
Over 3.50 ▲
1.45
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.40
Over 4.50
1.16
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.86
Austin FC ▼
1.82
Philadelphia Union ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.45
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50
2.55
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.80
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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