Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire — live & stats

Where the money is

52759 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 14597 EUR · live

Home 5.3 · implied 18.9%

46.1%

+27.2 vs price

Away 1.67 · implied 59.9%

32.5%

-27.4 vs price

Draw 4.7 · implied 21.3%

21.4%

+0.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 8363 EUR · live

Over 1.26 · implied 79.4%

79.7%

+0.4 vs price

Under 4.7 · implied 21.3%

20.2%

-1.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 226 EUR

Over 5.5 · implied 18.2%

74.0%

+55.8 vs price

Under 1.21 · implied 82.6%

26.6%

-56.1 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 8 clips

Player of the match

Match events

13' ⚽ M. Haile-Selassie0–1

18' S. Rogers · Foul

27' ⚽ J. Sargent · assist Đ. Mihailović1–1

34' M. Cimermancic · Foul

38' ⚽ J. Sargent2–1

Half-time · 2–1

46' 🔁 N. Allen ◂ S. Rogers

49' ⚽ W. Zimmerman2–2

54' ⚽ J. Sargent · assist Đ. Mihailović3–2

55' 🔁 J. Gilman ◂ M. Pereira

58' ⚽ M. Haile-Selassie · assist R. Lewandowski3–3

63' ⚽ R. Lewandowski · assist P. Zinckernagel3–4

64' 🔁 R. Lod ◂ P. Dithejane

64' 🔁 L. Morgan ◂ T. Corbeanu

77' 🔁 S. Oregel ◂ M. Haile-Selassie

78' 🔁 M. Pineda ◂ D. T. D'Avilla

79' 🔁 E. Aristizábal ◂ M. Cimermancic

79' 🔁 D. Etienne ◂ Đ. Mihailović

86' R. Lod · Foul

89' 🔁 J. A. Gomez ◂ P. Zinckernagel

Full-time · 4–4

90' B. Kuscevic · Foul

90'⁺² ⚽ D. Etienne · assist D. Sallói4–4

Coaches

Robin Fraser

Gregg Berhalter

Recent form

Toronto FC

DHNew York City FC1-1

WAInter Miami CF2-1

DHCharlotte FC3-3

WHNew England Revolution2-1

DANew York City FC1-1

Chicago Fire

DASeattle Sounders FC2-2

DANew York Red Bulls1-1

WAOrlando City SC2-1

WHPortland Timbers2-1

WHCharlotte FC2-1

Where to watch

Apple TV

Match facts

Stadium

BMO Field

City

Toronto

Referee

Tori Penso

4.15 yellows/match · 34 matches

Kickoff

05 Sep, 23:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

Toronto FC 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3 Chicago Fire

1 L. Gavran 5.4 22 R. Laryea 5.7 25 W. Zimmerman 6.4 13 B. Kuscevic 6.0 38 J. Gilman 6.6 ↑ 55' 14 A. Coello 7.1 17 E. Aristizábal 6.3 ↑ 79' 90 L. Morgan 6.8 ↑ 64' 11 D. Etienne 7.5 ↑ 79' 20 D. Sallói 6.7 9 J. Sargent 10.0 1 C. Brady 6.6 24 J. Dean 5.9 32 N. Allen 6.6 ↑ 46' 3 J. Elliott 6.6 15 A. Gutman 6.2 6 A. Salétros 6.6 22 M. Pineda 6.3 ↑ 78' 35 S. Oregel 6.4 ↑ 77' 18 J. A. Gomez 6.5 ↑ 89' 9 R. Lewandowski 7.6 17 R. Lod 6.3 ↑ 64'

Substitutes

23GW. Yarbrough 44DR. Edwards 12DZ. Monlouis 15DN. Gomis 19DK. Franklin 10MĐ. Mihailović↓ 79'7.6 71MM. Cimermancic↓ 79'6.4 3MM. Pereira↓ 55'5.9 7FT. Corbeanu↓ 64'6.8

Coach: Robin Fraser

Substitutes

44GJ. Cohen 5DS. Rogers↓ 46'6.1 2DL. Barroso 7MM. Haile-Selassie↓ 77'9.0 12MP. Dithejane↓ 64'6.4 42MD. T. D'Avilla↓ 78'6.4 47MS. Williams 29MD. Poreba 11FP. Zinckernagel↓ 89'6.7

Coach: Gregg Berhalter

Top stats

43%Possession57%

1.41Expected goals (xG)1.79

17Total shots15

7Shots on target6

3Big chances4

6Corners3

Shots

4Shots off target5

6Blocked shots4

9Shots inside box12

8Shots outside box3

1Big chances scored2

2Big chances missed2

-2.3Goals prevented-1.19

Attack

30Touches in box39

51Final third entries50

2Offsides2

7Free kicks9

3Fouled in final third3

Passing

340Passes471

287Accurate passes405

21/42 (50%)Long balls29/50 (58%)

5/26 (19%)Crosses3/14 (21%)

17Throw-ins15

Duels

49Duels51

18/35 (51%)Ground duels17/35 (49%)

9/20 (45%)Aerial duels11/20 (55%)

4/4 (100%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)

4Dispossessed2

Defending

7Tackles4

71Tackles won75

8Interceptions2

20Clearances31

37Recoveries37

Discipline

9Fouls7

2Yellow cards2

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

7Goal kicks8

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Toronto 33%

25%

Chicago 42%

Who winsChicago to win (DNB) 58% · 1.80 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.50 @ 10bet

1X2Chicago to win 42% · 2.60 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 3.25 @ Unibet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.73 @ 10bet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 2.20 @ betfair

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.73 @ 10bet

1X2Draw 25% · 2.80 @ Unibet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle

1X2Toronto to win 33% · 2.95 @ Unibet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.78

Toronto FC

3.67

Draw

2.25

Chicago Fire

Double Chanceconsensus

1.58

Toronto FC or Draw

1.23

Toronto FC or Chicago Fire

1.38

Draw or Chicago Fire

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.44

Yes

2.63

No

Home Clean Sheetconsensus

4.50

YES

1.17

NO

Away Clean Sheetconsensus

3.90

YES

1.22

NO

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.78

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.67

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

17.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.15

Over 1.50

5.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.52

Over 2.50

2.45

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.35

Over 3.50

1.57

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.20

Over 4.50

1.22

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.00

Toronto FC

1.73

Chicago Fire

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.36

Over 7.50

2.84

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.64

Over 8.50

2.10

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.00

Over 9.50

1.70

Under 9.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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