Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
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Rene Weiler
DC United
Columbus Crew**DC United and Columbus Crew collide in a battle of form gone sideways** — neither team has won in their last five, so somebody's about to break bad. 🔥
DC United are winless in five with just three draws cushioning three losses, while Columbus are clinging to a single win over Colorado but hemorrhaging points everywhere else. Both offenses look rusty; both defenses look vulnerable.
Key storylines:
- **DC United's home advantage** at Audi Field could be the edge here, even if recent results suggest they're struggling to convert that into wins
- **Columbus missing key defensive depth** with Camacho, Abou Ali, and Bangoura all sidelined limits tactical flexibility
- **Gazdag and Méndez** will need to carry Columbus's creative load if the Crew want to nick a result on the road
Expected lineups:
- **DC United**: S. Johnson, K. Kurokawa, L. Bartlett, S. Nealis, S. Hefti, Peglow, B. Servania, M. Peltola, J. Hopkins, L. Munteanu, T. Baribo
- **Columbus Crew**: P. Schulte, S. Zawadzki, S. Moreira, M. Amundsen, C. Ruvalcaba, T. Habroune, A. Gomes, M. Farsi, B. Méndez, D. Gazdag, J. Martínez
Prediction:
**DC United 1–1 Columbus Crew**. Both teams need a spark badly; a draw feels like the path of least resistance. 🤝
DC United
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Columbus Crew
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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