Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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Davy Arnaud
Austin FC
Colorado Rapids**Austin's the pick here** — they're clicking at home while Colorado just got battered 3-0 twice in their last five. 🔥
Austin's unbeaten run (2W 2D) gives them serious momentum on their own turf, even with **M. Uzuni**, **M. Desler**, and **C. Applewhite** sidelined. Colorado's injury list is longer and meaner — losing a keeper to shoulder trouble is never ideal — and they've been leaky defensively.
Key storylines:
- **Austin's home form vs Colorado's recent collapse**: The Rapids have conceded six goals in two losses; Q2 Stadium's no place to be fragile
- **B. Vázquez and C. Ramirez leading the attack**: Austin's offensive spine is intact and in rhythm
- **Colorado's makeshift backline**: Without **J. Travis** and **M. B. Diop**, the Rapids defense is stretched thin
Expected lineups:
- **Austin FC**: B. Stuver, Guilherme Biro, J. Gallagher, O. Svatok, B. Hines-Ike, J. Bell, F. Torres, O. Wolff, B. Vázquez, C. Ramirez, M. Burton
- **Colorado Rapids**: N. Defreitas-Hansen, L. Williams, R. Holding, R. Cannon, M. Navarro, P. Aaronson, H. Ojediran, R. Navarro, G. Minoungou, D. Yapi, A. Harris
Prediction:
**Austin 2–0 Colorado** — Clear edge to the Greens in a mismatch of form and depth.
Austin FC
3-4-3 · 4-3-3
Colorado Rapids
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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