Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
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Average positions
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**Both teams limping into this one** — Montréal's winless streak (1D, 4L) collides with Columbus's own defensive collapse. Neither side looks sharp, but one has to grab three points. 🏟️
Montréal's last three have been brutal (0-1, 1-2, 0-2), while Columbus at least notched a 3-0 smash past Colorado to break the tension. Home advantage at Saputo might matter here, though neither team's form screams confidence.
Key storylines:
- **S. Breza** anchors a Montreal backline without key defenders **F. Amaya** and **J. Nteziryayo**, handing Columbus an opening up front
- **J. Martínez** and **J. Thiaré** lead a Crew attack that finally clicked against Colorado; can they sustain it on the road?
- H2H favors **Columbus 16-11** in the long view, though both need a reset badly
Expected lineups:
- **CF Montréal**: S. Breza, L. Petrasso, B. Vera, J. Neal, D. Bugaj, F. Herbers, M. Longstaff, V. Loturi, D. Rios, P. Owusu, H. Synchuk
- **Columbus Crew**: P. Schulte, M. Amundsen, S. Zawadzki, C. Ruvalcaba, S. Moreira, T. Karumanchi, T. Habroune, A. Gomes, M. Farsi, J. Martínez, J. Thiaré
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Both teams are fragile; expect a cagey affair where neither can put the other away. The slight edge goes to Montreal at home, but form says nobody wins this one. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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