Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montréal: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montréal.

90+6'

R. Laryea

Yellow card for R. Laryea (Toronto FC).

90+5'

Đ. Mihailović

Goal! Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montréal. Đ. Mihailović (Toronto FC) scores, assisted by T. Corbeanu.

90+3'

L. Morgan

Goal! Toronto FC 1-1 CF Montréal. L. Morgan (Toronto FC) scores, assisted by N. Dorsch.

90+1'

Toronto FC

Corner, Toronto FC.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

Toronto FC

Offside, Toronto FC.

89'

Toronto FC

Offside, Toronto FC.

87'

L. Petrasso

Yellow card for L. Petrasso (CF Montréal) for time wasting.

86'

D. Rios

Substitution, CF Montréal: W. Carmona comes on for D. Rios.

86'

B. Craig

Substitution, CF Montréal: E. Morales comes on for B. Craig.

85'

Đ. Mihailović

Attempt missed. Đ. Mihailović (Toronto FC), header. xG 0.04.

84'

B. Craig

Yellow card for B. Craig (CF Montréal) for foul.

83'

D. Bugaj

Attempt blocked. D. Bugaj (CF Montréal), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

82'

A. Coello

Substitution, Toronto FC: L. Morgan comes on for A. Coello.

81'

T. Corbeanu

Attempt missed. T. Corbeanu (Toronto FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

80'

P. Owusu

Off the woodwork! P. Owusu (CF Montréal), left-footed shot. xG 0.18.

79'

F. Herbers

Attempt saved. F. Herbers (CF Montréal), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.12.

78'

Toronto FC

Offside, Toronto FC.

77'

B. Vera

Attempt saved. B. Vera (CF Montréal), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

76'

Đ. Mihailović

Attempt blocked. Đ. Mihailović (Toronto FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

73'

Toronto FC

Corner, Toronto FC.

72'

V. Loturi

Substitution, CF Montréal: S. Piette comes on for V. Loturi.

72'

A. Sánchez

Substitution, CF Montréal: F. Herbers comes on for A. Sánchez.

69'

T. Corbeanu

Attempt saved. T. Corbeanu (Toronto FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.

68'

M. Pereira

Attempt missed. M. Pereira (Toronto FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

66'

Toronto FC

Corner, Toronto FC.

61'

J. Osorio

Substitution, Toronto FC: Đ. Mihailović comes on for J. Osorio.

60'

Toronto FC

Offside, Toronto FC.

60'

A. Sánchez

Attempt missed. A. Sánchez (CF Montréal), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

59'

A. Sánchez

Attempt saved. A. Sánchez (CF Montréal), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

57'

CF Montréal

Offside, CF Montréal.

55'

B. Vera

Yellow card for B. Vera (CF Montréal) for time wasting.

54'

B. Vera

Attempt saved. B. Vera (CF Montréal), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

51'

D. Rios

Goal! Toronto FC 0-1 CF Montréal. D. Rios (CF Montréal) scores.

51'

M. Longstaff

Attempt saved. M. Longstaff (CF Montréal), right-footed shot. xG 0.20.

50'

CF Montréal

Corner, CF Montréal.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Toronto FC 0-0 CF Montréal.

45+4'

B. Vera

Attempt blocked. B. Vera (CF Montréal), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

45+4'

L. Petrasso

Attempt missed. L. Petrasso (CF Montréal), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

45+3'

CF Montréal

Corner, CF Montréal.

45+3'

D. Rios

Attempt missed. D. Rios (CF Montréal), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45'

6 minutes of added time.

43'

Toronto FC

Corner, Toronto FC.

43'

D. Sallói

Attempt missed. D. Sallói (Toronto FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

39'

Toronto FC

Corner, Toronto FC.

38'

Toronto FC

Corner, Toronto FC.

36'

A. Sánchez

Attempt saved. A. Sánchez (CF Montréal), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

32'

J. Sargent

Attempt missed. J. Sargent (Toronto FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

30'

L. Petrasso

Attempt blocked. L. Petrasso (CF Montréal), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

30'

V. Loturi

Attempt blocked. V. Loturi (CF Montréal), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

30'

M. Longstaff

Attempt missed. M. Longstaff (CF Montréal), header from a corner. xG 0.10.

30'

CF Montréal

Corner, CF Montréal.

29'

CF Montréal

Corner, CF Montréal.

26'

Toronto FC

Corner, Toronto FC.

23'

L. Gavran

Substitution, Toronto FC: W. Yarbrough comes on for L. Gavran.

13'

CF Montréal

Corner, CF Montréal.

11'

D. Sallói

Attempt saved. D. Sallói (Toronto FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

11'

M. Pereira

Attempt saved. M. Pereira (Toronto FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.28.

7'

J. Sargent

Attempt blocked. J. Sargent (Toronto FC), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

7'

J. Sargent

Attempt missed. J. Sargent (Toronto FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

7'

Toronto FC

Corner, Toronto FC.

6'

CF Montréal

Offside, CF Montréal.

5'

T. Corbeanu

Attempt missed. T. Corbeanu (Toronto FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Toronto FC vs CF Montréal.

Where the money is

243384 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 101730 EUR · live

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

45.3%

+45.2 vs price

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

36.4%

-62.6 vs price

Draw 42.0 · implied 2.4%

18.3%

+15.9 vs price

Half time 420 EUR · live

Home 2.92 · implied 34.2%

51.5%

+17.2 vs price

Draw 2.22 · implied 45.0%

38.4%

-6.7 vs price

Away 4.2 · implied 23.8%

9.8%

-14.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 27902 EUR · live

Under 1.11 · implied 90.1%

70.9%

-19.2 vs price

Over 11.5 · implied 8.7%

29.1%

+20.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1429 EUR · live

Under 1.08 · implied 92.6%

99.3%

+6.7 vs price

Over 13.5 · implied 7.4%

0.6%

-6.8 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 4 clips

Player of the match

Match events

23' 🔁 W. Yarbrough ◂ L. Gavran

Half-time · 0–0

51' ⚽ D. Rios0–1

55' B. Vera · Time wasting

61' 🔁 Đ. Mihailović ◂ J. Osorio

72' 🔁 F. Herbers ◂ A. Sánchez

72' 🔁 S. Piette ◂ V. Loturi

82' 🔁 L. Morgan ◂ A. Coello

84' B. Craig · Foul

86' 🔁 E. Morales ◂ B. Craig

86' 🔁 W. Carmona ◂ D. Rios

87' L. Petrasso · Time wasting

Full-time · 2–1

90'⁺³ ⚽ L. Morgan · assist N. Dorsch1–1

90'⁺⁵ ⚽ Đ. Mihailović · assist T. Corbeanu2–1

90'⁺⁶ R. Laryea

Coaches

Robin Fraser

Philippe Eullaffroy

Recent form

Toronto FC

LANashville SC0-2

LASt.Louis City1-3

LAOrlando City SC0-3

WHNashville SC2-1

DHChicago Fire4-4

CF Montréal

WHFC Cincinnati3-1

LHColumbus Crew0-2

LAColorado Rapids0-1

LHCharlotte FC1-2

LAPhiladelphia Union0-2

About this match

**Toronto hosts Montréal in a clash of two teams desperately hunting points** — both squads are limping through early October, and whoever finds form first could spark a playoff run. 🔥

Toronto's been battered lately (three straight losses on the road), while Montréal grabbed a morale-boosting win over Cincinnati but can't string consistency together. Head-to-head, it's basically even — **18 wins each in 41 meetings** — so expect this to be tight.

Key storylines:

- **J. Sargent** leads Toronto's attack on home soil where they've historically fared better than away
- **Montréal's injury crisis is real** — missing four players including key defenders, which leaves them vulnerable at the back
- **Both teams need a W badly** to keep playoff hopes alive; this is a 90-minute scrap

Expected lineups:

- **Toronto FC**: L. Gavran, M. Pereira, B. Kuscevic, W. Zimmerman, R. Laryea, N. Dorsch, A. Coello, D. Sallói, M. Cimermancic, T. Corbeanu, J. Sargent
- **CF Montréal**: S. Breza, L. Petrasso, J. Neal, B. Ceballos, D. Bugaj, F. Herbers, V. Loturi, M. Longstaff, D. Rios, P. Owusu, H. Synchuk

Prediction:

**Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montréal**. Home field and Montréal's depleted defense gives Toronto a slight edge to pull off a much-needed win. ⚪

Where to watch

Apple TV

Match facts

Stadium

BMO Field

City

Toronto

Referee

Allen Chapman

3.40 yellows/match · 50 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 17:00 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

Toronto FC 4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1 CF Montréal

23 W. Yarbrough 7.4 ↑ 23' 22 R. Laryea 6.6 13 B. Kuscevic 6.7 15 N. Gomis 6.9 3 M. Pereira 6.4 10 Đ. Mihailović 7.4 ↑ 61' 90 L. Morgan 7.4 ↑ 82' 6 N. Dorsch 7.0 7 T. Corbeanu 8.0 9 J. Sargent 7.2 20 D. Sallói 7.0 1 S. Breza 6.8 2 J. Neal 6.3 24 E. Morales 6.0 ↑ 86' 4 B. Vera 6.7 27 D. Bugaj 6.6 21 F. Herbers 6.5 ↑ 72' 8 M. Longstaff 6.8 13 L. Petrasso 7.1 16 W. Carmona 6.3 ↑ 86' 6 S. Piette 6.3 ↑ 72' 9 P. Owusu 6.7

Substitutes

1GL. Gavran↓ 23'6.7 96DR. Chukwu 38DJ. Gilman 12DZ. Monlouis 14MA. Coello↓ 82'7.1 21MJ. Osorio↓ 61'6.3 27MA. Piedrahita 11FD. Etienne 17FE. Aristizábal

Coach: Robin Fraser

Substitutes

41GS. Keita 5DB. Craig↓ 86'7.1 28DV. Radojević 22MV. Loturi↓ 72'6.9 23MN. Streit 18MH. Synchuk 7MD. Pereira 14FD. Rios↓ 86'6.9 10FA. Sánchez↓ 72'6.6

Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy

Top stats

52%Possession48%

1.66Expected goals (xG)1.55

14Total shots16

5Shots on target7

4Big chances2

8Corners6

Shots

7Shots off target5

2Blocked shots4

12Shots inside box12

2Shots outside box4

0Hit woodwork1

2Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed1

0.55Goals prevented0.19

Attack

30Touches in box22

51Final third entries60

4Offsides2

17Free kicks9

3Fouled in final third2

Passing

351Passes339

273Accurate passes255

15/54 (28%)Long balls22/61 (36%)

6/28 (21%)Crosses7/14 (50%)

27Throw-ins20

Duels

58Duels42

39/66 (59%)Ground duels27/66 (41%)

12/22 (55%)Aerial duels10/22 (45%)

11/15 (73%)Dribbles6/10 (60%)

9Dispossessed7

Defending

11Tackles13

64Tackles won77

10Interceptions11

21Clearances30

44Recoveries38

Discipline

9Fouls17

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

6Saves3

3Goal kicks12

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Toronto 46%

25%

Montréal 30%

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 1.50 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 1.51 @ Novibet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.14 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63%

Who winsToronto to win (DNB) 61% · 1.50 @ Betsson

1X2Toronto to win 46% · 2.60 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 25% · 2.50 @ Bet365

1X2Montréal to win 30% · 3.50 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61%

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.61 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.01

Toronto FC

3.70

Draw

3.10

CF Montréal

Double Chanceconsensus

1.36

Toronto FC or Draw

1.29

Toronto FC or CF Montréal

1.73

Draw or CF Montréal

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.48

Yes

2.50

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

19.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.14

Over 1.50

5.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.50

Over 2.50

2.50

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.20

Over 3.50

1.61

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.75

Over 4.50

1.25

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.46

Toronto FC

2.58

CF Montréal

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.60

Toronto FC

2.50

Draw

3.50

CF Montréal

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue