Philadelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt Lake: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Philadelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt Lake.

90+6'

S. Lobzhanidze

Goal! Philadelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt Lake. S. Lobzhanidze (Real Salt Lake) scores, assisted by L. D. Fougerolles.

90+6'

Real Salt Lake

Corner, Real Salt Lake.

90+2'

M. Iloski

Substitution, Philadelphia Union: M. Jakupovic comes on for M. Iloski.

90+2'

D. Jean Jacques

Substitution, Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya comes on for D. Jean Jacques.

90+1'

C. Sullivan

Substitution, Philadelphia Union: B. Bender comes on for C. Sullivan.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

89'

B. Damiani

Yellow card for B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) for persistent fouling.

82'

M. Iloski

VAR: goal for Philadelphia Union ruled out.

81'

M. Iloski

Goal! Philadelphia Union 2-0 Real Salt Lake. M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union) scores, assisted by C. Sullivan.

81'

F. Westfield

Attempt saved. F. Westfield (Philadelphia Union), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

81'

B. Damiani

Attempt missed. B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union), header. xG 0.06.

80'

J. Bueno

Yellow card for J. Bueno (Philadelphia Union) for foul.

79'

M. Iloski

Attempt missed. M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

79'

S. Solans

Substitution, Real Salt Lake: A. Piol comes on for S. Solans.

76'

S. Solans

Attempt blocked. S. Solans (Real Salt Lake), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

76'

M. Guilavogui

Attempt blocked. M. Guilavogui (Real Salt Lake), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

76'

C. Sullivan

Attempt saved. C. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

74'

Philadelphia Union

Corner, Philadelphia Union.

74'

J. Lukić

Substitution, Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno comes on for J. Lukić.

72'

S. Lobzhanidze

Attempt blocked. S. Lobzhanidze (Real Salt Lake), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

72'

Real Salt Lake

Corner, Real Salt Lake.

71'

S. Lobzhanidze

Attempt saved. S. Lobzhanidze (Real Salt Lake), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

70'

D. Marczuk

Substitution, Real Salt Lake: Z. Booth comes on for D. Marczuk.

69'

S. Solans

Attempt saved. S. Solans (Real Salt Lake), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

68'

C. Sullivan

Attempt missed. C. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

66'

Philadelphia Union

Corner, Philadelphia Union.

66'

B. Damiani

Attempt missed. B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

65'

A. Hezarkhani

Substitution, Real Salt Lake: S. Lobzhanidze comes on for A. Hezarkhani.

64'

I. Vassilev

Substitution, Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan comes on for I. Vassilev.

63'

C. Sullivan

Attempt missed. C. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

62'

D. Marczuk

Yellow card for D. Marczuk (Real Salt Lake).

58'

A. Hezarkhani

Attempt missed. A. Hezarkhani (Real Salt Lake), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

52'

N. Caliskan

Attempt missed. N. Caliskan (Real Salt Lake), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

48'

N. Caliskan

Attempt blocked. N. Caliskan (Real Salt Lake), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

48'

Real Salt Lake

Corner, Real Salt Lake.

46'

S. Junqua

Substitution, Real Salt Lake: J. Sanabria comes on for S. Junqua.

46'

D. Yedlin

Substitution, Real Salt Lake: L. D. Fougerolles comes on for D. Yedlin.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Philadelphia Union 1-0 Real Salt Lake.

45+1'

B. Damiani

Attempt blocked. B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

39'

B. Damiani

Attempt saved. B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union), header from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

39'

Philadelphia Union

Corner, Philadelphia Union.

31'

B. Damiani

Goal! Philadelphia Union 1-0 Real Salt Lake. B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) scores, assisted by F. Westfield.

28'

Real Salt Lake

Offside, Real Salt Lake.

23'

F. Westfield

Yellow card for F. Westfield (Philadelphia Union) for foul.

20'

I. Vassilev

Attempt blocked. I. Vassilev (Philadelphia Union), left-footed shot. xG 0.15.

17'

D. Marczuk

Attempt missed. D. Marczuk (Real Salt Lake), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

14'

M. Iloski

Attempt missed. M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.07.

13'

D. Yedlin

Yellow card for D. Yedlin (Real Salt Lake) for foul.

6'

F. Westfield

Attempt missed. F. Westfield (Philadelphia Union), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

6'

Philadelphia Union

Corner, Philadelphia Union.

4'

Real Salt Lake

Offside, Real Salt Lake.

3'

S. Spierings

Attempt saved. S. Spierings (Real Salt Lake), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

2'

D. Jean Jacques

Yellow card for D. Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union) for foul.

1'

Kick-off: Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake.

Where the money is

63984 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 31520 EUR · live

Home 1.49 · implied 67.1%

80.1%

+13.0 vs price

Away 8.0 · implied 12.5%

14.9%

+2.4 vs price

Draw 5.2 · implied 19.2%

5.3%

-14.0 vs price

Half time 273 EUR

Home 1.82 · implied 54.9%

63.7%

+8.8 vs price

Away 6.8 · implied 14.7%

30.4%

+15.7 vs price

Draw 3.25 · implied 30.8%

5.9%

-24.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 15158 EUR · live

Over 1.71 · implied 58.5%

91.5%

+33.0 vs price

Under 2.42 · implied 41.3%

8.5%

-32.8 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 4 clips

Player of the match

Match events

2' D. Jean Jacques · Foul

13' D. Yedlin · Foul

23' F. Westfield · Foul

31' ⚽ B. Damiani · assist F. Westfield1–0

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 L. D. Fougerolles ◂ D. Yedlin

46' 🔁 J. Sanabria ◂ S. Junqua

62' D. Marczuk

64' 🔁 Q. Sullivan ◂ I. Vassilev

65' 🔁 S. Lobzhanidze ◂ A. Hezarkhani

70' 🔁 Z. Booth ◂ D. Marczuk

74' 🔁 J. Bueno ◂ J. Lukić

79' 🔁 A. Piol ◂ S. Solans

80' J. Bueno · Foul

81' ⚽ M. Iloski · assist C. Sullivan2–0

82' VAR Goal check · M. Iloski

89' B. Damiani · Persistent fouling

Full-time · 2–1

90'⁺¹ 🔁 B. Bender ◂ C. Sullivan

90'⁺² 🔁 A. Bedoya ◂ D. Jean Jacques

90'⁺² 🔁 M. Jakupovic ◂ M. Iloski

90'⁺⁶ ⚽ S. Lobzhanidze · assist L. D. Fougerolles2–1

Coaches

Ryan Richter

Pablo Mastroeni

Recent form

Philadelphia Union

WHOrlando City SC4-2

WASporting Kansas City4-3

WASan Diego FC5-0

WHFC Cincinnati5-0

WHCF Montréal2-0

Real Salt Lake

WHNew England Revolution3-0

LASeattle Sounders FC0-2

LHVancouver Whitecaps0-3

LHNew York City FC0-2

LAHouston Dynamo1-2

About this match

**Philadelphia's hitting another gear while Salt Lake's wheels are falling off.** This isn't a coin flip — the Union are 5-0 in their last five, and Real Salt Lake can't catch a break. 🔥

The Union have been genuinely **clinical**, dropping 4+ goals in two of those wins. Real Salt Lake, meanwhile, are 1-4 in their last five with bodies piling up in the injury ward. They're missing five players including key defenders, and it shows in a defense that's been carved open repeatedly.

Key storylines:

- **Philadelphia's attacking form** is the stuff playoff teams are built on; they've scored 18 goals in five matches
- **Real Salt Lake's depleted backline** faces an inspired Union side with no creative let-up
- **J. Lukić and M. Iloski** will be licking their lips at the gaps in front of them

Expected lineups:

- **Philadelphia Union**: A. Blake, K. Wagner, N. Pierre, F. Westfield, N. Harriel, I. Vassilev, D. Jean Jacques, J. Lukić, C. Sullivan, B. Damiani, M. Iloski
- **Real Salt Lake**: R. Cabral, P. Quinton, D. Yedlin, K. Henry, J. Sanabria, M. Guilavogui, N. Caliskan, S. Spierings

Prediction:

**Philadelphia 3–1 Real Salt Lake**

The Union's rhythm is too much for Salt Lake to weather right now. Expect goals early and often from the hosts.

Where to watch

Apple TV

Match facts

Stadium

Subaru Park

City

Chester

Referee

Elijio Arreguin

4.16 yellows/match · 19 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 23:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

Philadelphia Union 4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1 Real Salt Lake

18 A. Blake 7.3 39 F. Westfield 6.7 44 N. Pierre 7.4 26 N. Harriel 7.3 27 K. Wagner 7.6 16 B. Bender 6.4 ↑ 90' 11 A. Bedoya ↑ 90' 8 J. Bueno 6.6 ↑ 74' 33 Q. Sullivan 6.7 ↑ 64' 51 M. Jakupovic ↑ 90' 9 B. Damiani 7.1 1 R. Cabral 6.4 44 L. D. Fougerolles 7.3 ↑ 46' 26 P. Quinton 6.5 3 K. Henry 6.5 23 Z. Booth 6.5 ↑ 70' 6 S. Spierings 7.7 92 N. Caliskan 7.1 8 J. Sanabria 7.1 ↑ 46' 12 S. Lobzhanidze 8.2 ↑ 65' 9 M. Guilavogui 7.3 19 A. Piol 6.4 ↑ 79'

Substitutes

76GA. Rick 2DG. Martínez 4MJ. Lukić↓ 74'7.1 6MC. Sullivan↓ 90'6.9 21MD. Jean Jacques↓ 90'6.9 19MI. Vassilev↓ 64'6.6 14MJ. Rafanello 10FM. Iloski↓ 90'7.2 23FE. Alladoh

Coach: Ryan Richter

Substitutes

31GM. Stajduhar 29DS. Junqua↓ 46'7.0 2DD. Yedlin↓ 46'6.6 11MD. Marczuk↓ 70'6.8 98MA. Katranis 25MC. Guske 34ML. Moisa 39FA. Hezarkhani↓ 65'6.6 22FS. Solans↓ 79'6.2

Coach: Pablo Mastroeni

Top stats

52%Possession48%

1.97Expected goals (xG)0.76

14Total shots11

5Shots on target4

3Big chances0

4Corners3

Shots

7Shots off target3

2Blocked shots4

9Shots inside box8

5Shots outside box3

2Big chances scored0

1Big chances missed0

0.36Goals prevented-0.17

Attack

24Touches in box24

80Final third entries49

0Offsides2

13Free kicks21

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

487Passes456

389Accurate passes363

19/49 (39%)Long balls28/60 (47%)

5/23 (22%)Crosses1/12 (8%)

16Throw-ins12

Duels

46Duels54

32/77 (42%)Ground duels45/77 (58%)

16/28 (57%)Aerial duels12/28 (43%)

7/18 (39%)Dribbles8/15 (53%)

6Dispossessed6

Defending

13Tackles17

46Tackles won65

15Interceptions10

15Clearances22

55Recoveries47

Discipline

21Fouls13

4Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

1Big saves0

4Goal kicks7

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Philadelphia 64%

20%

Salt Lake 16%

Who winsPhiladelphia to win (DNB) 80% · 1.14 @ Betano

1X2Philadelphia to win 64% · 1.91 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69% · 1.36 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 58%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 69%

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.10 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.62 @ fonbet

1X2Draw 20% · 2.75 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.73 @ Bet365

1X2Salt Lake to win 16% · 5.50 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 53% · 1.83 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.42

Philadelphia Union

4.50

Draw

5.75

Real Salt Lake

Double Chanceconsensus

1.14

Philadelphia Union or Draw

1.18

Philadelphia Union or Real Salt Lake

2.62

Draw or Real Salt Lake

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.58

Yes

2.25

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

23.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.10

Over 1.50

7.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.36

Over 2.50

3.10

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.83

Over 3.50

1.83

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.25

Over 4.50

1.33

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.12

Philadelphia Union

5.50

Real Salt Lake

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.00

Over 10.50

1.73

Under 10.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

1.91

Philadelphia Union

2.75

Draw

5.50

Real Salt Lake

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

86% confidence

Philadelphia Union to win or draw

✓

84% confidence

Philadelphia Union to avoid defeat

✓

80% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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