Inter Miami CF 2-0 New York City FC: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Inter Miami CF 2-0 New York City FC.

90+7'

N. Fernández

Penalty missed! N. Fernández (New York City FC), saved.

90+7'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

90+4'

Riquelme

Off the woodwork! Riquelme (Inter Miami CF), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.18.

90+4'

L. Messi

Attempt blocked. L. Messi (Inter Miami CF), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.16.

90+4'

L. Messi

Attempt blocked. L. Messi (Inter Miami CF), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

90+4'

Inter Miami CF

Corner, Inter Miami CF.

90+1'

R. De Paul

Attempt saved. R. De Paul (Inter Miami CF), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

D. Ayala

Substitution, Inter Miami CF: I. Fray comes on for D. Ayala.

90'

Inter Miami CF

Corner, Inter Miami CF.

88'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

87'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

87'

Luighi

Attempt blocked. Luighi (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

85'

A. Ojeda

Substitution, New York City FC: M. Jones comes on for A. Ojeda.

85'

A. O'Neill

Substitution, New York City FC: T. Magno comes on for A. O'Neill.

85'

Riquelme

Yellow card for Riquelme (Inter Miami CF) for foul.

84'

L. Messi

Attempt saved. L. Messi (Inter Miami CF), left-footed shot. xG 0.49.

81'

Luighi

Attempt missed. Luighi (New York City FC), header. xG 0.24.

77'

N. Fernández

Attempt saved. N. Fernández (New York City FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

75'

G. Berterame

Substitution, Inter Miami CF: Riquelme comes on for G. Berterame.

74'

L. Messi

Attempt missed. L. Messi (Inter Miami CF), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

74'

S. Reguilón

Substitution, Inter Miami CF: F. Caicedo comes on for S. Reguilón.

73'

H. Wolf

Attempt blocked. H. Wolf (New York City FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

68'

N. Fernández

Attempt saved. N. Fernández (New York City FC), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

65'

M. Galarza

Substitution, Inter Miami CF: T. Segovia comes on for M. Galarza.

65'

B. Traore

Substitution, New York City FC: Luighi comes on for B. Traore.

63'

B. Traore

Attempt missed. B. Traore (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

58'

A. Martínez

Substitution, New York City FC: H. Wolf comes on for A. Martínez.

58'

N. Cavallo

Substitution, New York City FC: K. O'Toole comes on for N. Cavallo.

57'

N. Fernández

Attempt blocked. N. Fernández (New York City FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

52'

M. Galarza

Yellow card for M. Galarza (Inter Miami CF) for time wasting.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Inter Miami CF 2-0 New York City FC.

45+5'

R. De Paul

Goal! Inter Miami CF 2-0 New York City FC. R. De Paul (Inter Miami CF) scores, assisted by L. Messi.

45+2'

N. Fernández

Attempt saved. N. Fernández (New York City FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45+1'

L. Messi

Attempt blocked. L. Messi (Inter Miami CF), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

41'

S. Reguilón

Attempt missed. S. Reguilón (Inter Miami CF), header. xG 0.03.

39'

L. Messi

Attempt missed. L. Messi (Inter Miami CF), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

38'

M. Galarza

Attempt missed. M. Galarza (Inter Miami CF), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

31'

Inter Miami CF

Corner, Inter Miami CF.

31'

L. Messi

Attempt blocked. L. Messi (Inter Miami CF), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

26'

A. O'Neill

Attempt blocked. A. O'Neill (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

23'

A. Ojeda

Attempt blocked. A. Ojeda (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

22'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

20'

G. Berterame

Goal! Inter Miami CF 1-0 New York City FC. G. Berterame (Inter Miami CF) scores, assisted by L. Suárez.

16'

A. O'Neill

Attempt blocked. A. O'Neill (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

16'

A. O'Neill

Attempt missed. A. O'Neill (New York City FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

15'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

12'

S. Reguilón

Attempt saved. S. Reguilón (Inter Miami CF), header. xG 0.04.

9'

N. Fernández

Attempt saved. N. Fernández (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC.

Where the money is

312973 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 4 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 98444 EUR · live

Home 1.71 · implied 58.5%

82.9%

+24.4 vs price

Away 5.7 · implied 17.5%

8.9%

-8.7 vs price

Draw 4.2 · implied 23.8%

8.2%

-15.6 vs price

Half time 143 EUR

Home 1.96 · implied 51.0%

94.4%

+43.4 vs price

Draw 3.15 · implied 31.7%

4.9%

-26.9 vs price

Away 5.5 · implied 18.2%

0.0%

-18.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 41128 EUR · live

Over 1.92 · implied 52.1%

89.1%

+37.0 vs price

Under 2.08 · implied 48.1%

10.9%

-37.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2030 EUR

Under 1.29 · implied 77.5%

83.5%

+5.9 vs price

Over 4.5 · implied 22.2%

16.5%

-5.7 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

20' ⚽ G. Berterame · assist L. Suárez1–0

Half-time · 2–0

45'⁺⁵ ⚽ R. De Paul · assist L. Messi2–0

52' M. Galarza · Time wasting

58' 🔁 K. O'Toole ◂ N. Cavallo

58' 🔁 H. Wolf ◂ A. Martínez

65' 🔁 Luighi ◂ B. Traore

65' 🔁 T. Segovia ◂ M. Galarza

74' 🔁 F. Caicedo ◂ S. Reguilón

75' 🔁 Riquelme ◂ G. Berterame

85' 🔁 T. Magno ◂ A. O'Neill

85' 🔁 M. Jones ◂ A. Ojeda

85' Riquelme · Foul

Full-time · 2–0

90' 🔁 I. Fray ◂ D. Ayala

90'⁺⁷ 🚫 Penalty missed · N. Fernández

Coaches

Kily Gonzalez

Pascal Jansen

Recent form

Inter Miami CF

WHDC United4-0

LAColumbus Crew1-2

DHSan Diego FC2-2

DHNashville SC2-2

DAChicago Fire1-1

New York City FC

LAChicago Fire1-2

DAAtlanta United2-2

LHNew York Red Bulls0-1

WAReal Salt Lake2-0

LHNew England Revolution1-2

About this match

**Miami's got the vibe, but NYCFC refuses to roll over.** Inter Miami are clicking at home with that devastating attacking trio, while City are desperately hunting form on the road. 🔥

Miami sit pretty with three straight home results (a banger 4-0, two draws), but they've slipped once already this stretch. NYCFC have been a mess lately — just one win in five — yet they've got Raúl Gustafo and the midfield teeth to make life uncomfortable for anyone.

Key storylines:

- **L. Messi and L. Suárez** will be the focal point of Miami's attacking ambitions; if they click, this becomes a rout
- **J. Sands** and **A. Perea** need to suffocate the midfield and disrupt the flow before Inter's front line gets rolling
- **Casemiro** anchoring Miami's engine means they'll dominate possession — NYCFC's best bet is transition football

Expected lineups:

- **Inter Miami CF**: D. St. Clair, F. Caicedo, M. Falcón, S. Reguilón, Casemiro, T. Segovia, R. De Paul, L. Messi, G. Berterame, L. Suárez
- **New York City FC**: M. Freese, N. Cavallo, T. Martins, Raul Gustavo, J. Sands, A. Perea, B. Traore, N. Fernández

Prediction:

**Inter Miami 2–0 NYCFC.** Miami's home fortress and firepower too much for a City side fighting just to stay relevant. 🎯

Where to watch

Apple TV (BR)

Match facts

Stadium

Nu Stadium

City

Miami

Referee

Lorenzo Hernandez

4.16 yellows/match · 31 matches

Kickoff

14 Oct, 23:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

Inter Miami CF 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1 New York City FC

97 D. St. Clair 9.0 2 G. Luján 7.1 5 Casemiro 8.5 16 Micael 7.7 15 F. Caicedo 6.3 ↑ 74' 7 R. De Paul 8.9 17 I. Fray 6.1 ↑ 90' 8 T. Segovia 6.5 ↑ 65' 10 L. Messi 7.6 9 L. Suárez 7.4 11 Riquelme 7.2 ↑ 75' 49 M. Freese 8.2 24 T. Gray 6.3 13 T. Martins 6.2 6 J. Sands 6.5 22 K. O'Toole 7.7 ↑ 58' 11 T. Magno 7.2 ↑ 85' 8 A. Perea 7.3 88 M. Jones 6.5 ↑ 85' 7 N. Fernández 7.5 20 Luighi 6.6 ↑ 65' 17 H. Wolf 6.6 ↑ 58'

Substitutes

34GR. Ríos Novo 3DS. Reguilón↓ 74'7.1 37DM. Falcón 22MD. Ayala↓ 90'7.8 80MM. Galarza↓ 65'6.3 20MS. Morales 88MShaw 19FG. Berterame↓ 75'7.6 56FD. Pinter

Coach: Kily Gonzalez

Substitutes

30GT. Romero 2DN. Cavallo↓ 58'6.3 34DRaul Gustavo 3DM. Miazga 21MA. O'Neill↓ 85'7.0 9MB. Traore↓ 65'6.7 26MA. Ojeda↓ 85'6.6 32MJ. Shore 16FA. Martínez↓ 58'6.3

Coach: Pascal Jansen

Top stats

57%Possession43%

2.29Expected goals (xG)1.39

14Total shots14

6Shots on target5

4Big chances2

3Corners4

Shots

4Shots off target3

4Blocked shots6

10Shots inside box4

4Shots outside box10

2Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored0

3Big chances missed2

1.46Goals prevented1.25

Attack

20Touches in box21

47Final third entries66

8Free kicks13

0Fouled in final third4

Passing

658Passes483

598Accurate passes432

24/42 (57%)Long balls17/39 (44%)

1/5 (20%)Crosses2/16 (13%)

12Throw-ins9

Duels

49Duels51

30/63 (48%)Ground duels33/63 (52%)

5/8 (63%)Aerial duels3/8 (38%)

10/16 (63%)Dribbles10/18 (56%)

3Dispossessed4

Defending

12Tackles9

50Tackles won56

12Interceptions9

16Clearances7

46Recoveries45

Discipline

14Fouls8

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves4

1Big saves2

4Goal kicks4

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Inter Miami 65%

19%

NY City 16%

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ Bet365

1X2Inter Miami to win 65% · 1.83 @ Bet365

Who winsInter Miami to win (DNB) 72% · 1.21 @ Bwin

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 88% · 1.08 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 1.56 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 55%

1X2Draw 19% · 2.88 @ Bet365

1X2NY City to win 16% · 5.00 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 51% · 1.91 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.42

Inter Miami CF

4.75

Draw

5.75

New York City FC

Double Chanceconsensus

1.14

Inter Miami CF or Draw

1.18

Inter Miami CF or New York City FC

2.62

Draw or New York City FC

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.50

Yes

2.40

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

29.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.08

Over 1.50

8.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.33

Over 2.50

3.40

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.80

Over 3.50

1.91

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.75

Over 4.50

1.40

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.20

Inter Miami CF

4.20

New York City FC

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

1.83

Inter Miami CF

2.88

Draw

5.00

New York City FC

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

88% confidence

Inter Miami CF to win or draw

✓

84% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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