Chicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia Union: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Chicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia Union.

90+4'

P. Zinckernagel

Attempt missed. P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

90+3'

N. Pierre

Yellow card for N. Pierre (Philadelphia Union) for foul.

90+2'

Q. Sullivan

Substitution, Philadelphia Union: J. Sery Larsen comes on for Q. Sullivan.

90+2'

M. Iloski

Substitution, Philadelphia Union: M. Jakupovic comes on for M. Iloski.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

89'

M. Iloski

Attempt missed. M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union), header. xG 0.05.

88'

P. Zinckernagel

Yellow card for P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) for foul.

86'

Q. Sullivan

Attempt missed. Q. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

85'

I. Vassilev

Yellow card for I. Vassilev (Philadelphia Union) for foul.

83'

P. Zinckernagel

Attempt saved. P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

83'

M. Haile-Selassie

Attempt saved. M. Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

83'

P. Dithejane

Attempt saved. P. Dithejane (Chicago Fire), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

80'

B. Damiani

Substitution, Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh comes on for B. Damiani.

80'

C. Sullivan

Substitution, Philadelphia Union: B. Bender comes on for C. Sullivan.

77'

M. Iloski

Attempt blocked. M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

77'

C. Sullivan

Attempt saved. C. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

72'

A. Salétros

Substitution, Chicago Fire: S. Oregel comes on for A. Salétros.

71'

Philadelphia Union

Offside, Philadelphia Union.

71'

C. Sullivan

Cleared off the line! C. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.11.

71'

F. Westfield

Attempt blocked. F. Westfield (Philadelphia Union), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

68'

R. Lewandowski

Substitution, Chicago Fire: P. Zinckernagel comes on for R. Lewandowski.

68'

J. A. Gomez

Substitution, Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane comes on for J. A. Gomez.

68'

J. Dean

Substitution, Chicago Fire: L. Barroso comes on for J. Dean.

67'

B. Damiani

Goal! Chicago Fire 1-3 Philadelphia Union. B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) scores, assisted by J. Lukić.

59'

M. Iloski

Attempt missed. M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

59'

Philadelphia Union

Corner, Philadelphia Union.

57'

J. Bueno

Substitution, Philadelphia Union: I. Vassilev comes on for J. Bueno.

55'

B. Damiani

Goal! Chicago Fire 1-2 Philadelphia Union. B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union) scores, assisted by C. Sullivan.

49'

M. Iloski

Goal! Chicago Fire 1-1 Philadelphia Union. M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union) scores, assisted by B. Damiani.

49'

M. Iloski

Attempt saved. M. Iloski (Philadelphia Union), right-footed shot. xG 0.56.

49'

J. Lukić

Attempt blocked. J. Lukić (Philadelphia Union), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

49'

B. Damiani

Attempt missed. B. Damiani (Philadelphia Union), right-footed shot. xG 0.22.

48'

A. Hanche Olsen

Attempt missed. A. Hanche Olsen (Chicago Fire), header from a set piece. xG 0.05.

46'

Q. Sullivan

Attempt saved. Q. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

46'

J. Bamba

Substitution, Chicago Fire: A. Hanche Olsen comes on for J. Bamba.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Chicago Fire 1-0 Philadelphia Union.

45+4'

J. Bueno

Attempt blocked. J. Bueno (Philadelphia Union), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

45+1'

J. Elliott

Second yellow card for J. Elliott (Chicago Fire), who is sent off.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

44'

M. Haile-Selassie

Goal! Chicago Fire 1-0 Philadelphia Union. M. Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire) scores, assisted by N. Allen.

42'

C. Sullivan

Attempt saved. C. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union), shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

41'

J. Elliott

Yellow card for J. Elliott (Chicago Fire) for foul.

39'

Philadelphia Union

Corner, Philadelphia Union.

36'

Philadelphia Union

Corner, Philadelphia Union.

35'

Philadelphia Union

Corner, Philadelphia Union.

34'

F. Westfield

Attempt blocked. F. Westfield (Philadelphia Union), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.

34'

M. Mbokazi

Yellow card for M. Mbokazi (Chicago Fire) for foul.

33'

N. Allen

Attempt blocked. N. Allen (Chicago Fire), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

28'

Chicago Fire

Offside, Chicago Fire.

25'

C. Sullivan

Attempt missed. C. Sullivan (Philadelphia Union), left-footed shot. xG 0.15.

23'

Chicago Fire

Corner, Chicago Fire.

21'

Philadelphia Union

Corner, Philadelphia Union.

19'

Philadelphia Union

Corner, Philadelphia Union.

14'

Chicago Fire

Offside, Chicago Fire.

13'

R. Lewandowski

Attempt blocked. R. Lewandowski (Chicago Fire), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

10'

F. Westfield

Attempt missed. F. Westfield (Philadelphia Union), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

4'

Chicago Fire

Corner, Chicago Fire.

2'

Chicago Fire

Offside, Chicago Fire.

1'

Kick-off: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union.

Where the money is

315697 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 4 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 126968 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

62.5%

-36.5 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

26.7%

+26.6 vs price

Draw 85.0 · implied 1.2%

10.9%

+9.7 vs price

Half time 832 EUR · live

Home 7.2 · implied 13.9%

62.1%

+48.2 vs price

Away 6.2 · implied 16.1%

28.5%

+12.4 vs price

Draw 1.32 · implied 75.8%

9.3%

-66.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 36252 EUR · live

Over 1.22 · implied 82.0%

82.6%

+0.6 vs price

Under 5.3 · implied 18.9%

17.5%

-1.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1227 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

76.5%

-22.5 vs price

Over 110.0 · implied 0.9%

23.4%

+22.5 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 5 clips

Player of the match

Match events

34' M. Mbokazi · Foul

41' J. Elliott · Foul

44' ⚽ M. Haile-Selassie · assist N. Allen1–0

Half-time · 1–0

45'⁺¹ J. Elliott · Foul

46' 🔁 A. Hanche Olsen ◂ J. Bamba

49' ⚽ M. Iloski · assist B. Damiani1–1

55' ⚽ B. Damiani · assist C. Sullivan1–2

57' 🔁 I. Vassilev ◂ J. Bueno

67' ⚽ B. Damiani · assist J. Lukić1–3

68' 🔁 L. Barroso ◂ J. Dean

68' 🔁 P. Dithejane ◂ J. A. Gomez

68' 🔁 P. Zinckernagel ◂ R. Lewandowski

72' 🔁 S. Oregel ◂ A. Salétros

80' 🔁 B. Bender ◂ C. Sullivan

80' 🔁 E. Alladoh ◂ B. Damiani

85' I. Vassilev · Foul

88' P. Zinckernagel · Foul

Full-time · 1–3

90'⁺² 🔁 M. Jakupovic ◂ M. Iloski

90'⁺² 🔁 J. Sery Larsen ◂ Q. Sullivan

90'⁺³ N. Pierre · Foul

Coaches

Gregg Berhalter

Ryan Richter

Recent form

Chicago Fire

WHNew York City FC2-1

WHVancouver Whitecaps3-1

WACharlotte FC1-0

LANashville SC0-3

LHNew England Revolution1-2

Philadelphia Union

WHReal Salt Lake2-1

WHOrlando City SC4-2

WASporting Kansas City4-3

WASan Diego FC5-0

WHFC Cincinnati5-0

About this match

**Chicago Fire host Philadelphia Union in a clash between hot and hotter** — the Fire are rolling at home, but Philly's on an absolute tear with five straight wins. 🔥

Chicago's domestic form has been sharp lately, especially at Soldier Field, but they're banged up without key pieces. Meanwhile, the Union haven't dropped a point in their last five and look genuinely scary right now.

Key storylines:

- **Chicago's home fortress vs. Philadelphia's perfect run** — Fire have won three of their last four at home, but Philly's streak demands respect
- **Lewandowski and Bamba leading the Fire attack** in the absence of **Lod and Franco**
- **Jean Jacques and Lukić orchestrating** the Union's midfield in another high-octane test

Expected lineups:

- **Chicago Fire**: Brady, Elliott, Mbokazi, Rogers, Dean, Zinckernagel, Haile-Selassie, Mekvabishvili, D'Avilla, Lewandowski, Bamba
- **Philadelphia Union**: Blake, Wagner, Pierre, Westfield, Harriel, Vassilev, Jean Jacques, Lukić, Sullivan, Damiani, Iloski

Prediction:

**Philadelphia Union 2-1 Chicago Fire**

Philly's momentum is too strong to ignore — they're the slight favorite on the road despite Chicago's home edge. 🎯

Where to watch

Apple TV (BR)

Match facts

Stadium

Soldier Field

City

Chicago

Referee

Ricardo Fierro

4.00 yellows/match · 30 matches

Kickoff

15 Oct, 00:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

Chicago Fire 4-4-2 · 4-4-2 Philadelphia Union

1 C. Brady 7.4 2 L. Barroso 6.7 ↑ 68' 3 J. Elliott 5.7 4 M. Mbokazi 7.3 32 N. Allen 7.4 11 P. Zinckernagel 6.2 ↑ 68' 35 S. Oregel 6.7 ↑ 72' 22 M. Pineda 6.7 21 A. Hanche Olsen 6.1 ↑ 46' 12 P. Dithejane 6.9 ↑ 68' 7 M. Haile-Selassie 8.0 18 A. Blake 8.0 39 F. Westfield 7.4 44 N. Pierre 8.1 26 N. Harriel 6.8 27 K. Wagner 7.2 16 B. Bender 6.7 ↑ 80' 19 I. Vassilev 6.5 ↑ 57' 4 J. Lukić 7.1 5 J. Sery Larsen ↑ 90' 51 M. Jakupovic ↑ 90' 23 E. Alladoh 6.3 ↑ 80'

Substitutes

44GJ. Cohen 25GJ. Gal 24DJ. Dean↓ 68'5.8 15DA. Gutman 18MJ. A. Gomez↓ 68'6.6 6MA. Salétros↓ 72'6.3 29MD. Poreba 9FR. Lewandowski↓ 68'7.0 19FJ. Bamba↓ 46'6.8

Coach: Gregg Berhalter

Substitutes

76GA. Rick 2DG. Martínez 33MQ. Sullivan↓ 90'7.7 8MJ. Bueno↓ 57'6.6 6MC. Sullivan↓ 80'6.4 11MA. Bedoya 14MJ. Rafanello 9FB. Damiani↓ 80'10.0 10FM. Iloski↓ 90'8.1

Coach: Ryan Richter

Top stats

49%Possession51%

1.0Expected goals (xG)2.46

8Total shots19

4Shots on target8

1Big chances3

2Corners7

Shots

2Shots off target6

2Blocked shots5

5Shots inside box13

3Shots outside box6

1Big chances scored1

0Big chances missed2

0.28Goals prevented0.57

Attack

23Touches in box42

59Final third entries75

3Offsides1

16Free kicks12

2Fouled in final third3

Passing

405Passes413

299Accurate passes307

17/67 (25%)Long balls32/59 (54%)

3/13 (23%)Crosses5/23 (22%)

26Throw-ins21

Duels

48Duels52

30/61 (49%)Ground duels31/61 (51%)

14/30 (47%)Aerial duels16/30 (53%)

8/14 (57%)Dribbles8/14 (57%)

5Dispossessed2

Defending

8Tackles11

38Tackles won82

11Interceptions13

38Clearances22

53Recoveries53

Discipline

12Fouls16

4Yellow cards2

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves3

9Goal kicks6

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Chicago 36%

23%

Philadelphia 41%

BTTSBoth teams to score 67% · 1.40 @ fonbet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 64%

1X2Philadelphia to win 41% · 2.25 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 59%

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65%

1X2Draw 23% · 3.90 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53%

Who winsChicago to win (DNB) 51% · 1.87 @ Betsson

1X2Chicago to win 36% · 2.55 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58%

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.55

Chicago Fire

3.90

Draw

2.25

Philadelphia Union

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.35

Yes

2.90

No

Draw No Betconsensus

1.80

Chicago Fire

1.90

Philadelphia Union

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

84% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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