Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
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**The Revs host a Chicago side that's rolled out the welcome mat for home crowds lately — but Gillette can be a fortress.** Both teams have hit 3W-2L over five, making this a proper toss-up between two squads fighting for playoff position. 🔥
New England's last three away trips have been rough (losses to RSL and Seattle back-to-back), while Chicago's been nearly untouchable at home with three straight wins. The Revs injury list is manageable, but the Fire are missing some key defensive depth heading into hostile territory.
Key storylines:
- **D. Gazdag and C. Gil** lead a Revs attack looking to bounce back on home soil after recent road struggles
- **J. A. Gomez and R. Lewandowski** will test New England's back line, but Chicago travels without **R. Lod** and **A. Franco** — real gaps in their toolkit
- Head-to-head leans slightly toward the Fire overall, but the home-field edge at Gillette is no joke
Expected lineups:
- **New England Revolution**: Turner, Kohler, Polster, Sands, Miller, Gil, Raines, Yueill, Turgeman, Zambrano, Gazdag
- **Chicago Fire**: Brady, Dean, Elliott, Mbokazi, Allen, Haile-Selassie, Zinckernagel, Salétros, J. A. Gomez, Lewandowski, Bamba
Prediction:
**New England 2–1 Chicago.** Slight lean to the Revs to capitalize on home advantage and a Fire team stretched thin defensively. 📍
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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