Orlando City SC 2-2 New York City FC: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Orlando City SC 2-2 New York City FC.

90+9'

J. Shore

Goal! Orlando City SC 2-2 New York City FC. J. Shore (New York City FC) scores, assisted by J. Sands.

90+8'

A. Perea

Attempt missed. A. Perea (New York City FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

90+8'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

90+6'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

90+6'

T. Magno

Attempt blocked. T. Magno (New York City FC), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.11.

90+6'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

90+2'

T. Magno

Attempt missed. T. Magno (New York City FC), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

90+1'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

90'

9 minutes of added time.

86'

E. Atuesta

Yellow card for E. Atuesta (Orlando City SC) for foul.

85'

T. Magno

Attempt missed. T. Magno (New York City FC), header. xG 0.02.

83'

A. Perea

Attempt missed. A. Perea (New York City FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.38.

83'

M. Ojeda

Substitution, Orlando City SC: D. Dike comes on for M. Ojeda.

83'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

82'

H. Wolf

Substitution, New York City FC: B. Traore comes on for H. Wolf.

82'

A. Martínez

Substitution, New York City FC: M. Jones comes on for A. Martínez.

81'

T. Magno

Penalty missed! T. Magno (New York City FC), off target.

78'

W. Cartagena

Yellow card for W. Cartagena (Orlando City SC) for foul.

76'

New York City FC

Offside, New York City FC.

73'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

71'

V. Nogueira

Substitution, Orlando City SC: A. Marín comes on for V. Nogueira.

71'

Iago

Substitution, Orlando City SC: Z. Taifi comes on for Iago.

71'

A. Ojeda

Substitution, New York City FC: T. Magno comes on for A. Ojeda.

71'

A. O'Neill

Substitution, New York City FC: J. Shore comes on for A. O'Neill.

68'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

68'

H. Wolf

Attempt saved. H. Wolf (New York City FC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.28.

66'

New York City FC

Offside, New York City FC.

66'

A. Martínez

Attempt saved. A. Martínez (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

63'

Iago

Yellow card for Iago (Orlando City SC) for foul.

61'

New York City FC

Offside, New York City FC.

60'

M. Ojeda

Attempt missed. M. Ojeda (Orlando City SC), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

60'

J. Ellis

Substitution, Orlando City SC: M. Pašalić comes on for J. Ellis.

59'

Orlando City SC

Corner, Orlando City SC.

59'

J. Ellis

Attempt blocked. J. Ellis (Orlando City SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

59'

Orlando City SC

Corner, Orlando City SC.

49'

M. Ojeda

Goal! Orlando City SC 2-1 New York City FC. M. Ojeda (Orlando City SC) scores, assisted by V. Nogueira.

47'

A. Perea

Attempt missed. A. Perea (New York City FC), header from a set piece. xG 0.09.

46'

B. Ojeda

Substitution, Orlando City SC: J. Gerbet comes on for B. Ojeda.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Orlando City SC 1-1 New York City FC.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

44'

J. Sands

Yellow card for J. Sands (New York City FC) for foul.

43'

A. Ojeda

Attempt blocked. A. Ojeda (New York City FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

42'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

39'

New York City FC

Offside, New York City FC.

38'

V. Nogueira

Yellow card for V. Nogueira (Orlando City SC) for persistent fouling.

35'

T. Martins

Attempt saved. T. Martins (New York City FC), header from a set piece. xG 0.06.

32'

A. Griezmann

Goal! Orlando City SC 1-1 New York City FC. A. Griezmann (Orlando City SC) scores, assisted by M. Ojeda.

31'

J. Ellis

Cleared off the line! J. Ellis (Orlando City SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.51.

30'

V. Nogueira

Attempt saved. V. Nogueira (Orlando City SC), header. xG 0.07.

28'

M. Freese

Substitution, New York City FC: T. Romero comes on for M. Freese.

24'

A. Ojeda

Attempt saved. A. Ojeda (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

23'

E. Atuesta

Attempt missed. E. Atuesta (Orlando City SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

19'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

18'

A. Martínez

Goal! Orlando City SC 0-1 New York City FC. A. Martínez (New York City FC) scores, assisted by H. Wolf.

14'

A. Martínez

Attempt blocked. A. Martínez (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

12'

A. Martínez

Attempt saved. A. Martínez (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

12'

New York City FC

Corner, New York City FC.

10'

A. Martínez

Attempt missed. A. Martínez (New York City FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.28.

6'

A. Griezmann

Attempt saved. A. Griezmann (Orlando City SC), header. xG 0.17.

2'

J. Ellis

Attempt blocked. J. Ellis (Orlando City SC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

1'

Orlando City SC

Corner, Orlando City SC.

1'

B. Ojeda

Attempt blocked. B. Ojeda (Orlando City SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

1'

Kick-off: Orlando City SC vs New York City FC.

Where the money is

207308 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 79742 EUR · live

Home 17.5 · implied 5.7%

53.9%

+48.2 vs price

Away 50.0 · implied 2.0%

31.4%

+29.4 vs price

Draw 1.01 · implied 99.0%

15.5%

-83.5 vs price

Half time 61 EUR

Away 3.3 · implied 30.3%

91.5%

+61.1 vs price

Home 2.92 · implied 34.2%

8.0%

-26.3 vs price

Draw 2.72 · implied 36.8%

1.4%

-35.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 20210 EUR · live

Over 1.16 · implied 86.2%

73.3%

-12.9 vs price

Under 7.0 · implied 14.3%

26.7%

+12.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 338 EUR

Under 1.26 · implied 79.4%

64.3%

-15.1 vs price

Over 4.8 · implied 20.8%

35.7%

+14.9 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 5 clips

Player of the match

Match events

18' ⚽ A. Martínez · assist H. Wolf0–1

28' 🔁 T. Romero ◂ M. Freese

32' ⚽ A. Griezmann · assist M. Ojeda1–1

38' V. Nogueira · Persistent fouling

44' J. Sands · Foul

Half-time · 1–1

46' 🔁 J. Gerbet ◂ B. Ojeda

49' ⚽ M. Ojeda · assist V. Nogueira2–1

60' 🔁 M. Pašalić ◂ J. Ellis

63' Iago · Foul

71' 🔁 J. Shore ◂ A. O'Neill

71' 🔁 T. Magno ◂ A. Ojeda

71' 🔁 Z. Taifi ◂ Iago

71' 🔁 A. Marín ◂ V. Nogueira

78' W. Cartagena · Foul

81' 🚫 Penalty missed · T. Magno

82' 🔁 M. Jones ◂ A. Martínez

82' 🔁 B. Traore ◂ H. Wolf

83' 🔁 D. Dike ◂ M. Ojeda

86' E. Atuesta · Foul

Full-time · 2–2

90'⁺⁹ ⚽ J. Shore · assist J. Sands2–2

Coaches

Martín Perelman

Pascal Jansen

Recent form

Orlando City SC

WHDC United4-1

DAToronto FC3-3

WHColumbus Crew3-2

LAPhiladelphia Union2-4

LANew England Revolution2-4

New York City FC

DHLos Angeles FC1-1

LAInter Miami CF0-2

LAChicago Fire1-2

DAAtlanta United2-2

LHNew York Red Bulls0-1

About this match

**Orlando's firing on all cylinders, but NYCFC's injury list is a horror show.** This is a classic mismatch on paper — one team rolling, the other barely limping through. 🔥

Orlando sit pretty with two wins in their last three, including a demolition of DC United. NYCFC, meanwhile, are winless in five and missing half their squad. Even at home, the hosts should have this locked down.

Key storylines:

- **A. Griezmann** anchors Orlando's attack against a NYCFC defense stretched thin by injury
- **Orlando's home fortress** (3-2 over Columbus, 4-1 over DC) meets a struggling road outfit in freefall
- **NYCFC's injury crisis** — missing Baiera, Farnos, Trewin, Parks, and Moralez — gutting their midfield and back line

Expected lineups:

- **Orlando City SC**: M. Crépeau, B. Rhein, D. Brekalo, Iago, I. Angulo, E. Atuesta, L. Otávio, M. Pašalić, A. Griezmann, J. Ellis
- **New York City FC**: M. Freese, N. Cavallo, T. Martins, Raul Gustavo, J. Sands, A. Perea, B. Traore, A. O'Neill, A. Ojeda, N. Fernández

Prediction:

**Orlando City 3–1 New York City FC.** Orlando lean to dominate at home; NYCFC simply don't have the troops. ⚽

Where to watch

Apple TV

Match facts

Stadium

Inter&Co Stadium

City

Orlando

Referee

Elijio Arreguin

4.16 yellows/match · 19 matches

Kickoff

24 Oct, 23:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

Orlando City SC 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3 New York City FC

71 M. Crépeau 8.1 77 I. Angulo 6.9 4 D. Brekalo 6.2 19 Z. Taifi 6.6 ↑ 71' 3 A. Marín 6.3 ↑ 71' 35 J. Gerbet 6.8 ↑ 46' 16 W. Cartagena 6.3 87 M. Pašalić 6.4 ↑ 60' 20 E. Atuesta 6.6 9 D. Dike 6.7 ↑ 83' 7 A. Griezmann 8.2 30 T. Romero 5.8 ↑ 28' 24 T. Gray 7.1 13 T. Martins 6.8 6 J. Sands 7.8 22 K. O'Toole 5.9 7 N. Fernández 8.0 32 J. Shore 7.6 ↑ 71' 8 A. Perea 6.2 11 T. Magno 6.3 ↑ 71' 9 B. Traore 6.6 ↑ 82' 88 M. Jones 6.5 ↑ 82'

Substitutes

12GJ. Otero 57DIago↓ 71'7.1 27DV. Nogueira↓ 71'6.3 21DN. Miller 44DB. Rhein 8MB. Ojeda↓ 46'6.6 23MH. Sarajian 10FM. Ojeda↓ 83'8.8 22FJ. Ellis↓ 60'6.4

Coach: Martín Perelman

Substitutes

49GM. Freese↓ 28'6.5 2DN. Cavallo 3DM. Miazga 34DRaul Gustavo 17MH. Wolf↓ 82'7.4 26MA. Ojeda↓ 71'7.1 21MA. O'Neill↓ 71'7.0 16FA. Martínez↓ 82'7.3 20FLuighi

Coach: Pascal Jansen

Top stats

45%Possession55%

1.19Expected goals (xG)3.67

10Total shots17

5Shots on target7

3Big chances6

3Corners9

Shots

2Shots off target7

3Blocked shots3

7Shots inside box17

3Shots outside box0

1Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed5

1.65Goals prevented-0.62

Attack

18Touches in box31

36Final third entries49

0Offsides4

12Free kicks15

2Fouled in final third5

Passing

407Passes492

350Accurate passes443

17/43 (40%)Long balls30/48 (63%)

5/12 (42%)Crosses6/25 (24%)

12Throw-ins18

Duels

48Duels52

27/55 (49%)Ground duels28/55 (51%)

7/16 (44%)Aerial duels9/16 (56%)

4/9 (44%)Dribbles6/12 (50%)

1Dispossessed7

Defending

13Tackles6

38Tackles won67

6Interceptions10

28Clearances12

36Recoveries40

Discipline

16Fouls12

4Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves2

3Big saves0

12Goal kicks3

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 14 bookmakers

Orlando 44%

24%

NY City 32%

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 67% · 1.40 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 67% · 1.40 @ 888Sport

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.10 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62%

Who winsOrlando to win (DNB) 61% · 1.75 @ Betsson

1X2NY City to win 32% · 3.10 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 24% · 2.60 @ Bet365

1X2Orlando to win 44% · 2.62 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.00 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 1.80 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.10

Orlando City SC

3.80

Draw

2.85

New York City FC

Double Chanceconsensus

1.40

Orlando City SC or Draw

1.25

Orlando City SC or New York City FC

1.67

Draw or New York City FC

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.38

Yes

2.80

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

23.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.10

Over 1.50

7.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.40

Over 2.50

2.88

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.91

Over 3.50

1.80

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.25

Over 4.50

1.33

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.73

Orlando City SC

2.00

New York City FC

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.73

Over 9.50

2.00

Under 9.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.62

Orlando City SC

2.60

Draw

3.10

New York City FC

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

86% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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