Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**The Union are rolling**, and New England's injury crisis makes this look like a mismatch waiting to happen 🔴
Philadelphia's on a tear (4W-1D), while the Revs are bleeding talent heading into Subaru Park. New England have the form blip too — a 3-0 hammering from Seattle stings — and missing four key bodies won't help their cause. The head-to-head tells the real story: Union own this fixture hard.
Key storylines:
- **Philadelphia's attacking chemistry** has clicked in recent weeks; they'll test New England's depleted back line relentlessly
- **New England's injury list is brutal** — Yusuf, Harrison, Campana, and Fofana all sidelined — forcing makeshift lineups and limiting creative spark
- **Home fortress vibes** at Subaru Park; Union haven't lost in their last three at the venue and the Revs rarely travel well to this ground
Expected lineups:
- **Philadelphia Union**: A. Blake, K. Wagner, N. Pierre, F. Westfield, I. Vassilev, J. Lukić, D. Jean Jacques, C. Sullivan, M. Iloski, E. Alladoh
- **New England Revolution**: M. Turner, W. Sands, E. Kohler, J. Wynder, I. Feingold, J. Yueill, M. Polster, B. Raines, C. Gil, D. Turgeman, P. Miller
Prediction:
**Philadelphia 2–0 New England**. Union are the clear lean; New England's injury situation is too dire to fancy an upset here.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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