Portland Timbers 3-1 Houston Dynamo: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Portland Timbers 3-1 Houston Dynamo.

90+8'

O. Fernandez

Attempt missed. O. Fernandez (Portland Timbers), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

90+6'

J. Ortíz

Attempt missed. J. Ortíz (Portland Timbers), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+4'

Portland Timbers

Offside, Portland Timbers.

90+3'

Houston Dynamo

Corner, Houston Dynamo.

90+3'

L. Halter

Attempt blocked. L. Halter (Houston Dynamo), header from a set piece. xG 0.11.

90+3'

D. Chará

Yellow card for D. Chará (Portland Timbers) for foul.

90+2'

F. Surman

Attempt missed. F. Surman (Portland Timbers), header from a corner. xG 0.22.

90+1'

Portland Timbers

Corner, Portland Timbers.

90'

8 minutes of added time.

90'

J. Caicedo

Substitution, Portland Timbers: J. Ortíz comes on for J. Caicedo.

90'

D. Da Costa

Substitution, Portland Timbers: D. Chará comes on for D. Da Costa.

89'

A. Aravena

Attempt saved. A. Aravena (Portland Timbers), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.

88'

Houston Dynamo

Corner, Houston Dynamo.

84'

Houston Dynamo

Corner, Houston Dynamo.

84'

L. Ennali

Attempt missed. L. Ennali (Houston Dynamo), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

83'

D. Holmes

Substitution, Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich comes on for D. Holmes.

82'

V. Janssen

Substitution, Portland Timbers: A. Aravena comes on for V. Janssen.

82'

A. Lassiter

Substitution, Portland Timbers: O. Fernandez comes on for A. Lassiter.

78'

V. Janssen

Goal! Portland Timbers 3-1 Houston Dynamo. V. Janssen (Portland Timbers) scores, assisted by D. Da Costa.

77'

Portland Timbers

Corner, Portland Timbers.

71'

A. Bouzat

Goal! Portland Timbers 2-1 Houston Dynamo. A. Bouzat (Houston Dynamo) scores, assisted by D. McGuire.

69'

V. Janssen

Attempt missed. V. Janssen (Portland Timbers), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

69'

I. Smith

Attempt blocked. I. Smith (Portland Timbers), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.13.

69'

Portland Timbers

Corner, Portland Timbers.

68'

Portland Timbers

Corner, Portland Timbers.

66'

L. Foster

Substitution, Houston Dynamo: D. McGuire comes on for L. Foster.

66'

I. Aliyu

Substitution, Houston Dynamo: F. Andrade comes on for I. Aliyu.

66'

Artur

Substitution, Houston Dynamo: M. Arana comes on for Artur.

65'

K. Velde

Goal! Portland Timbers 2-0 Houston Dynamo. K. Velde (Portland Timbers) scores, assisted by V. Janssen.

63'

Houston Dynamo

Corner, Houston Dynamo.

62'

E. Izoita

Substitution, Portland Timbers: C. Bassett comes on for E. Izoita.

61'

A. Resch

Yellow card for A. Resch (Houston Dynamo) for foul.

47'

A. Lassiter

Attempt saved. A. Lassiter (Portland Timbers), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Portland Timbers 1-0 Houston Dynamo.

45+6'

M. Bogusz

Attempt blocked. M. Bogusz (Houston Dynamo), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

45+2'

Houston Dynamo

Corner, Houston Dynamo.

45+2'

L. Ennali

Attempt blocked. L. Ennali (Houston Dynamo), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

45+1'

I. Smith

Attempt missed. I. Smith (Portland Timbers), header from a set piece. xG 0.08.

45'

5 minutes of added time.

42'

Portland Timbers

Offside, Portland Timbers.

40'

D. Samassékou

Yellow card for D. Samassékou (Houston Dynamo) for foul.

38'

L. Foster

Attempt blocked. L. Foster (Houston Dynamo), header. xG 0.09.

37'

K. Velde

Attempt missed. K. Velde (Portland Timbers), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

36'

F. Negri

Substitution, Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes comes on for F. Negri.

30'

Houston Dynamo

Corner, Houston Dynamo.

30'

I. Aliyu

Attempt blocked. I. Aliyu (Houston Dynamo), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

25'

D. Da Costa

Goal! Portland Timbers 1-0 Houston Dynamo. D. Da Costa (Portland Timbers) scores, assisted by V. Janssen.

25'

D. Da Costa

Attempt saved. D. Da Costa (Portland Timbers), right-footed shot. xG 0.25.

23'

I. Smith

Attempt missed. I. Smith (Portland Timbers), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

23'

E. Izoita

Attempt blocked. E. Izoita (Portland Timbers), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

23'

Portland Timbers

Corner, Portland Timbers.

22'

Portland Timbers

Corner, Portland Timbers.

18'

I. Smith

Yellow card for I. Smith (Portland Timbers) for foul.

10'

V. Janssen

Attempt missed. V. Janssen (Portland Timbers), header. xG 0.68.

1'

Kick-off: Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo.

Where the money is

260595 EUR matched · captured 18 hours, 39 minutes ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 124883 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

82.5%

-16.5 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

10.7%

+10.6 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

7.0%

+6.9 vs price

Half time 28 EUR

Away 5.1 · implied 19.6%

91.9%

+72.2 vs price

Draw 2.62 · implied 38.2%

8.2%

-30.0 vs price

Home 2.32 · implied 43.1%

1.9%

-41.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 45701 EUR · live

Over 1.68 · implied 59.5%

63.9%

+4.3 vs price

Under 2.46 · implied 40.7%

36.2%

-4.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 144 EUR

Under 1.19 · implied 84.0%

81.6%

-2.4 vs price

Over 6.4 · implied 15.6%

18.4%

+2.8 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 5 clips

Player of the match

Match events

18' I. Smith · Foul

25' ⚽ D. Da Costa · assist V. Janssen1–0

36' 🔁 D. Holmes ◂ F. Negri

40' D. Samassékou · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

61' A. Resch · Foul

62' 🔁 C. Bassett ◂ E. Izoita

65' ⚽ K. Velde · assist V. Janssen2–0

66' 🔁 M. Arana ◂ Artur

66' 🔁 F. Andrade ◂ I. Aliyu

66' 🔁 D. McGuire ◂ L. Foster

71' ⚽ A. Bouzat · assist D. McGuire2–1

78' ⚽ V. Janssen · assist D. Da Costa3–1

82' 🔁 O. Fernandez ◂ A. Lassiter

82' 🔁 A. Aravena ◂ V. Janssen

83' 🔁 N. Markanich ◂ D. Holmes

Full-time · 3–1

90' 🔁 D. Chará ◂ D. Da Costa

90' 🔁 J. Ortíz ◂ J. Caicedo

90'⁺³ D. Chará · Foul

Coaches

Marti Cifuentes

Ben Olsen

Recent form

Portland Timbers

WASt.Louis City3-2

WHCharlotte FC3-2

DHColorado Rapids0-0

LALA Galaxy0-2

DASporting Kansas City3-3

Houston Dynamo

WASeattle Sounders FC1-0

DHMinnesota United0-0

DHFC Dallas2-2

DASan Diego FC3-3

DAMinnesota United2-2

About this match

**Portland's rolling at home, but Houston's the draw machine** — this is a dead-even matchup on paper with **all-square vibes**. 🔥

Timbers are 2W-2D sharp lately and just beat Charlotte; Dynamo can't buy a win (1W-4D) but their stubborn defense keeps leaking points, not goals. Portland's got serious injury trouble in the back, though — **Bonetig, Bye, Sulte, Mosquera, and Muse all sidelined**.

Key storylines:

- **V. Janssen** needs to make hay at Providence Park where Portland's been clinical in attack
- Houston's **Artur** and **L. Ennali** midfield shield will work overtime against a shorthanded Timbers backline
- **J. Pantemis** and **J. Bond** both tested early — Portland's offensive tempo vs. Houston's defensive discipline

Expected lineups:

- **Portland Timbers**: Pantemis, Fory, Hernández, Miller, Waterman, Velde, Da Costa, Chará, Alves, Lassiter, Janssen
- **Houston Dynamo**: Bond, Halter, Negri, Carlos, Resch, Artur, Ennali, Guilherme, Bouzat, Bogusz, Aliyu

Prediction:

**Portland 2–1 Houston**

Timbers edge it at home despite the injuries — their recent form and Providence Park factor tip the scale, but Houston's resilience keeps it tight.

Where to watch

Apple TV

Match facts

Stadium

Providence Park

City

Portland

Referee

Drew Fischer

4.06 yellows/match · 48 matches

Kickoff

02 Nov, 02:45 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

Portland Timbers 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1 Houston Dynamo

41 J. Pantemis 5.8 12 R. Hernández 6.8 20 F. Surman 7.1 2 J. Waterman 7.7 23 I. Smith 6.6 21 D. Chará 6.5 ↑ 90' 28 A. Aravena 6.9 ↑ 82' 17 C. Bassett 6.9 ↑ 62' 80 J. Ortíz 6.6 ↑ 90' 99 K. Velde 8.8 22 O. Fernandez 6.4 ↑ 82' 31 J. Bond 6.4 11 L. Ennali 6.4 5 L. Halter 7.3 34 A. Resch 6.1 14 D. Holmes 6.5 ↑ 36' 18 D. Samassékou 6.5 36 F. Andrade 6.8 ↑ 66' 22 M. Arana 6.4 ↑ 66' 30 A. Bouzat 7.5 19 M. Bogusz 6.8 23 D. McGuire 6.7 ↑ 66'

Substitutes

26GH. Sulte 15DE. Miller 16DS. Jura 10MD. Da Costa↓ 90'8.7 73ME. Izoita↓ 62'7.0 30MJ. Caicedo↓ 90'6.4 14FV. Janssen↓ 82'8.4 7FA. Lassiter↓ 82'7.1 88FG. Guerra

Coach: Marti Cifuentes

Substitutes

26GB. Gillingham 35GL. Erb 21DF. Negri↓ 36'6.3 3DA. Carlos 6MArtur↓ 66'6.8 37MG. Rivera 9FL. Foster↓ 66'6.6 17FN. Markanich↑ 83'6.5 24FI. Aliyu↓ 66'6.3

Coach: Ben Olsen

Top stats

45%Possession55%

3.27Expected goals (xG)0.47

16Total shots7

6Shots on target1

5Big chances0

6Corners6

Shots

8Shots off target1

2Blocked shots5

14Shots inside box5

2Shots outside box2

3Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed0

-0.75Goals prevented-0.07

Attack

35Touches in box14

58Final third entries49

2Offsides0

12Free kicks11

2Fouled in final third3

Passing

438Passes535

379Accurate passes475

17/40 (43%)Long balls19/42 (45%)

6/16 (38%)Crosses5/14 (36%)

16Throw-ins14

Duels

52Duels48

35/65 (54%)Ground duels30/65 (46%)

11/23 (48%)Aerial duels12/23 (52%)

11/20 (55%)Dribbles4/12 (33%)

7Dispossessed6

Defending

14Tackles16

64Tackles won44

4Interceptions5

21Clearances22

46Recoveries35

Discipline

11Fouls12

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

0Saves4

7Goal kicks9

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Portland 51%

24%

Houston 25%

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 1.53 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.65 @ fonbet

1X2Portland to win 51% · 2.38 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.17 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62%

Who winsPortland to win (DNB) 59% · 1.34 @ Betano

1X2Draw 24% · 2.50 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50%

1X2Houston to win 25% · 4.00 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.57 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.79

Portland Timbers

3.80

Draw

3.60

Houston Dynamo

Double Chanceconsensus

1.29

Portland Timbers or Draw

1.25

Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo

1.91

Draw or Houston Dynamo

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.58

Yes

2.20

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

17.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

5.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.53

Over 2.50

2.40

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.25

Over 3.50

1.57

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.00

Over 4.50

1.22

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.32

Portland Timbers

3.17

Houston Dynamo

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.38

Portland Timbers

2.50

Draw

4.00

Houston Dynamo

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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