Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽L. Messi
assist M. Silvetti
assist M. Silvetti
19'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
⚽M. Silvetti
assist L. Messi
assist L. Messi
57'
🔁L. Orellano ◂ L. Engel
57'
⚽T. Allende
assist L. Messi
assist L. Messi
62'
🔁Y. Kubo ◂ E. Echenique
66'
🔁A. Jabbari ◂ N. Hagglund
66'
🔁T. Avilés ◂ N. Allen
71'
⚽T. Allende
assist L. Messi
assist L. Messi
74'
🔁L. Suárez ◂ T. Allende
76'
🔁T. Segovia ◂ B. Rodriguez
76'
🔁A. Powell ◂ T. Hadebe
78'
🔁O. Nwobodo ◂ P. Bucha
78'
🔁G. Luján ◂ J. Alba
82'
🔁Y. Bright ◂ M. Silvetti
82'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Coaches
Guillermo Angel Hoyos 
Recent form
WFC Cincinnati2-1Columbus Crew
LColumbus Crew4-0FC Cincinnati
WFC Cincinnati1-0Columbus Crew
WFC Cincinnati3-0CF Montréal
WNew York Red Bulls0-1FC Cincinnati
WInter Miami CF4-0Nashville SC
LNashville SC2-1Inter Miami CF
WInter Miami CF3-1Nashville SC
WNashville SC2-5Inter Miami CF
WInter Miami CF4-0Atlanta United
Match facts
Stadium
TQL Stadium
City
Cincinnati
Referee
Drew Fischer
Kickoff
23 Nov, 22:00 UTC
18
R. Celentano
6.5
4
N. Hagglund
6.4
12
M. Robinson
6.4
16
T. L. Hadebe
6.5
29
L. Engel
6.5
20
P. Bucha
6.3
11
S. Gidi
6.9
66
E. Echenique
6.1
10
Evander
6.6
8
Brenner
6.3
9
K. Denkey
6.9
34
R. Ríos Novo
7.7
57
M. Weigandt
6.9
37
M. Falcón
6.9
32
N. Allen
7.4
18
J. Alba
7.1
7
R. de Paul
6.8
5
S. Busquets
7.7
11
B. Rodriguez
7.1
21
T. Allende
8.5
10
L. Messi
10.0
24
M. Silvetti
8.1
Substitutes
23L. Orellano6.626A. Jabbari6.47Y. Kubo7.22A. Powell6.95O. Nwobodo6.83G. Flores22G. Valenzuela27T. Anunga13E. Louro
Coach: Pat Noonan
Substitutes
6T. Avilés6.68T. Segovia6.69L. Suarez6.942Y. Bright6.42G. Luján6.529A. Obando14F. Picault19Ó. Ustari81S. Morales
Coach: Guillermo Angel Hoyos
49%Possession51%
0.98Expected goals (xG)2.93
14Total shots14
5Shots on target6
2Big chances6
4Corners2
8Fouls11