Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽J. Osorio
assist J. Cifuentes
assist J. Cifuentes
7'
A. Marín
32'
⚽Đ. Mihailović
34'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
D. Etienne
46'
🔁T. Spicer ◂ A. Marín
46'
⚽Đ. Mihailović
assist T. Corbeanu
assist T. Corbeanu
48'
T. Corbeanu
49'
⚽D. Brekalo
assist M. Pašalić
assist M. Pašalić
54'
R. Laryea
56'
⚽D. Kerr
assist D. Etienne
assist D. Etienne
61'
🔁R. Petretta ◂ K. Franklin
62'
🔁J. Vilsaint ◂ D. Kerr
62'
🔁L. Muriel ◂ M. Pašalić
63'
🔁C. Araújo ◂ I. Angulo
63'
🔁M. Henry ◂ D. Etienne
70'
🔁D. D. Þórhallsson ◂ K. Smith
78'
🔁M. Cimermancic ◂ T. Corbeanu
84'
🔁L. Stefanovic ◂ S. Rosted
84'
🔁C. Guske ◂ E. Atuesta
87'
⚽
90'
M. Henry
90'
⚽
90'
⚽D. McGuire
assist A. Freeman
assist A. Freeman
90'+2
D. McGuire
90'+5
Coaches
Robin FraserMartín Perelman 
Recent form
Toronto FCLLos Angeles FC2-0Toronto FC
DChicago Fire2-2Toronto FC
DToronto FC1-1Inter Miami CF
DColumbus Crew1-1Toronto FC
DNew England Revolution1-1Toronto FC
Orlando City SCLOrlando City SC1-2Vancouver Whitecaps
DOrlando City SC1-1Columbus Crew
DFC Cincinnati1-1Orlando City SC
WOrlando City SC3-2Nashville SC
DDC United1-1Orlando City SC
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Field
City
Toronto
Referee
Fotis Bazakos
Kickoff
18 Oct, 22:00 UTC
39%Possession61%
1.63Expected goals (xG)3.01
12Total shots31
6Shots on target10
1Big chances4
2Corners8
17Fouls17
4Yellow cards2