Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
E. Atuesta
32'
D. Brekalo
37'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
S. Gidi
45'+2
A. Freeman
54'
🔁A. Powell ◂ N. Hagglund
66'
Evander
66'
K. Smith
67'
🔁J. Gerbet ◂ K. Smith
69'
🔁T. Spicer ◂ I. Angulo
70'
⚽K. Denkey
assist Evander
assist Evander
73'
K. Denkey
74'
🔁L. Muriel ◂ D. McGuire
79'
🔁A. Marín ◂ D. Brekalo
79'
🔁A. Jabbari ◂ K. Denkey
80'
🔁T. Anunga ◂ P. Bucha
80'
🔁D. Marczuk ◂ L. Orellano
80'
🔁N. Rodríguez ◂ M. Pašalić
83'
R. Schlegel
86'
🔁Y. Kubo ◂ S. Gidi
88'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
⚽A. Freeman
assist T. Spicer
assist T. Spicer
90'+5
Coaches
Pat NoonanMartín Perelman 
Recent form
FC CincinnatiWLA Galaxy2-3FC Cincinnati
WFC Cincinnati2-1Nashville SC
LFC Cincinnati0-1Philadelphia Union
LFC Cincinnati0-1New York City FC
WPortland Timbers2-3FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SCWOrlando City SC3-2Nashville SC
DDC United1-1Orlando City SC
LNashville SC5-1Orlando City SC
WOrlando City SC3-1Sporting Kansas City
WOrlando City SC4-1Inter Miami CF
Match facts
Stadium
TQL Stadium
City
Cincinnati
Referee
Rosendo Mendoza
Kickoff
28 Sep, 23:00 UTC
FC Cincinnati
3-4-1-2 · 4-4-2
Orlando City SC
13
E. Louro
7.4
12
M. Robinson
7.2
4
N. Hagglund
7.5
29
L. Engel
6.8
66
E. Echenique
7.6
20
P. Bucha
7.7
11
S. Gidi
7.4
23
L. Orellano
7.1
10
Evander
8.2
9
K. Denkey
7.4
8
Brenner
6.3
1
P. Gallese
8.4
30
A. Freeman
7.6
15
R. Schlegel
7.2
6
R. Jansson
6.7
4
D. Brekalo
6.4
87
M. Pašalić
6.7
24
K. Smith
6.7
20
E. Atuesta
6.9
77
I. Angulo
7.0
13
D. McGuire
6.3
10
M. Ojeda
7.4
Substitutes
2A. Powell7.126A. Jabbari7.027T. Anunga6.615D. Marczuk6.67Y. Kubo6.41A. Kann85K. Kamara22G. Valenzuela16T. L. Hadebe
Coach: Pat Noonan
Substitutes
35J. Gerbet6.514T. Spicer6.921A. Marín6.99L. Muriel6.111N. Rodríguez7.168T. Williams12J. Otero25C. Guske65G. Caraballo
Coach: Martín Perelman
56%Possession44%
1.54Expected goals (xG)3.41
18Total shots24
10Shots on target6
1Big chances7
2Corners6
12Fouls13
3Yellow cards5