Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
N. Fernández
29'
🔁J. Shore ◂ A. Perea
43'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁K. M. Dem ◂ B. Smith
46'
⚽A. Martínez
assist M. Moralez
assist M. Moralez
55'
🔁A. Ojeda ◂ H. Wolf
61'
A. Ojeda
63'
🔁K. Kamara ◂ A. Powell
70'
🔁G. Valenzuela ◂ T. Anunga
71'
🔁J. Fernández ◂ M. Moralez
81'
🔁Y. Kubo ◂ K. M. Dem
82'
K. O'Toole
89'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Coaches
Pat NoonanPascal Jansen 
Recent form
FC CincinnatiWPortland Timbers2-3FC Cincinnati
LFC Cincinnati0-1Charlotte FC
DInter Miami CF0-0FC Cincinnati
WReal Salt Lake0-1FC Cincinnati
WFC Cincinnati3-0Inter Miami CF
New York City FCWNew York City FC2-1Nashville SC
WFC Dallas3-4New York City FC
DSporting Kansas City1-1New York City FC
WOrlando City SC1-2New York City FC
LCharlotte FC2-0New York City FC
Match facts
Stadium
TQL Stadium
City
Cincinnati
Referee
Guido Gonzales Jr
Kickoff
23 Aug, 23:30 UTC
FC Cincinnati
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
New York City FC
18
R. Celentano
7.1
4
N. Hagglund
7.0
21
M. Miazga
7.0
29
L. Engel
7.4
2
A. Powell
6.8
20
P. Bucha
7.1
27
T. Anunga
6.8
14
B. Smith
6.6
10
Evander
7.9
66
E. Echenique
6.4
9
K. Denkey
6.4
49
M. Freese
7.8
24
T. Gray
7.6
13
T. Martins
7.0
80
J. Haak
7.0
22
K. O'Toole
7.0
21
A. O'Neill
7.6
8
A. Perea
6.8
17
H. Wolf
7.0
10
M. Moralez
7.9
7
N. Fernández
6.8
16
A. Martínez
7.4
Substitutes
35K. M. Dem6.285K. Kamara6.522G. Valenzuela7.37Y. Kubo6.316T. L. Hadebe13E. Louro3G. Flores37S. Jimenez19S. Chirilla
Coach: Pat Noonan
Substitutes
32J. Shore6.826A. Ojeda6.511J. Fernández6.912S. Tanasijević35M. Ilenič99S. Garfield-Reid30T. Romero29M. Carrizo38A. Baiera
Coach: Pascal Jansen
46%Possession54%
0.61Expected goals (xG)1.27
10Total shots10
5Shots on target4
1Big chances2
4Corners4
8Fouls11
0Yellow cards3