Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽I. Vassilev
assist T. Baribo
assist T. Baribo
4'
J. Glesnes
28'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
R. Petretta
54'
⚽T. Baribo
58'
🔁M. Dominguez ◂ A. Coello
59'
K. Wagner
63'
🔁M. Iloski ◂ T. Baribo
67'
🔁M. Uhre ◂ B. Damiani
67'
🔁D. Kerr ◂ O. Brynhildsen
76'
🔁M. Henry ◂ T. Corbeanu
76'
D. Kerr
79'
O. Makhanya
79'
🔁J. Lukić ◂ J. Bueno
81'
🔁C. Sullivan ◂ Q. Sullivan
88'
🔁A. Bedoya ◂ I. Vassilev
88'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
⚽D. Kerr
assist M. Henry
assist M. Henry
90'+1
🔁K. Thompson ◂ R. Petretta
90'+6
🔁D. Etienne ◂ Đ. Mihailović
90'+6
K. Thompson
90'+10
Coaches
Bradley CarnellRobin Fraser 
Recent form
Philadelphia UnionWPhiladelphia Union3-1Colorado Rapids
DHouston Dynamo1-1Philadelphia Union
WPhiladelphia Union2-1CF Montréal
WPhiladelphia Union2-0New York Red Bulls
LNashville SC1-0Philadelphia Union
Toronto FCLCharlotte FC2-0Toronto FC
LNashville SC1-0Toronto FC
WSan Diego FC0-1Toronto FC
DToronto FC1-1Atlanta United
LNew York City FC3-1Toronto FC
Match facts
Stadium
Subaru Park
City
Chester
Referee
Tori Penso
Kickoff
09 Aug, 23:30 UTC
Philadelphia Union
4-2-3-1 · 3-2-4-1
Toronto FC
18
A. Blake
7.2
26
N. Harriel
7.2
5
J. Glesnes
7.1
29
O. Makhanya
6.8
27
K. Wagner
7.2
8
J. Bueno
6.8
21
D. J. Jacques
7.2
19
I. Vassilev
7.5
20
B. Damiani
6.3
33
Q. Sullivan
7.0
9
T. Baribo
6.8
90
L. Gavran
7.1
17
S. Rosted
6.4
5
K. Long
6.9
28
R. Petretta
6.8
20
D. Flores
6.9
14
A. Coello
7.2
22
R. Laryea
6.5
21
J. Osorio
6.4
10
Đ. Mihailović
7.2
7
T. Corbeanu
7.1
9
O. Brynhildsen
6.6
Substitutes
7M. Uhre6.732M. Iloski6.54J. Lukić6.511A. Bedoya6.66C. Sullivan6.076A. Rick15O. Mbaizo14J. Rafanello39F. Westfield
Coach: Bradley Carnell
Substitutes
23M. Dominguez6.678M. Henry7.629D. Kerr7.46K. Thompson11D. E. Junior76L. Stefanovic77A. D. Rosario19K. Franklin8M. Longstaff
Coach: Robin Fraser
50%Possession50%
1.56Expected goals (xG)1.54
12Total shots10
3Shots on target4
4Big chances1
5Corners8
16Fouls8
3Yellow cards3