Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
2'
K. Long
19'
M. Longstaff
20'
⚽
H. Wolf · assist M. Ilenič1–0
25'
A. Martínez
45'
⚽
1–0
45'
⚽
49'
⚽
M. Ilenič · assist A. Ojeda2–0
57'
🔁
R. Laryea ◂ R. Petretta
57'
🔁
D. Kerr ◂ T. Spicer
67'
M. Dominguez
70'
🔁
M. Henry ◂ M. Longstaff
70'
🔁
K. O'Toole ◂ B. Risa
70'
⚽
T. Romero2–1
71'
M. Henry
74'
⚽
K. O'Toole · assist H. Wolf3–1
76'
🔁
J. Fernández ◂ A. Ojeda
84'
🔁
J. Shore ◂ M. Moralez
84'
🔁
M. Bakrar ◂ A. Martínez
90'
⚽
3–1
90'
⚽
Coaches
Pascal JansenRobin Fraser 
Recent form
New York City FCLCF Montréal1-0New York City FC
WNew York City FC4-0Atlanta United
DNashville SC2-2New York City FC
LNew York City FC0-3Houston Dynamo
WNew York City FC3-1Chicago Fire
Toronto FCWToronto FC3-0Portland Timbers
DToronto FC1-1New York Red Bulls
LToronto FC0-2Charlotte FC
LToronto FC1-2Philadelphia Union
LToronto FC1-2Nashville SC
Match facts
Stadium
Yankee Stadium
City
Bronx
Referee
Fotis Bazakos
Kickoff
03 Jul, 23:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
New York City FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Toronto FC
30
T. Romero
6.8
35
M. Ilenič
8.4
13
T. Martins
6.5
80
J. Haak
7.0
5
B. Risa
6.6
21
A. O'Neill
6.9
8
A. Perea
7.1
26
A. Ojeda
6.7
10
M. Moralez
6.7
17
H. Wolf
7.7
16
A. Martínez
6.4
1
S. Johnson
6.4
6
K. Thompson
6.7
5
K. Long
6.5
17
S. Rosted
6.9
28
R. Petretta
6.3
14
A. Coello
6.7
7
T. Corbeanu
7.1
8
M. Longstaff
7.0
23
M. Dominguez
7.4
16
T. Spicer
6.7
9
O. Brynhildsen
6.5
Substitutes
22K. O'Toole7.411J. Fernández7.632J. Shore6.79M. Bakrar6.818G. Ranjitsingh2N. Cavallo19S. Tanasijević29M. Carrizo99S. Garfield-Reid
Coach: Pascal Jansen
Substitutes
22R. Laryea6.629D. Kerr6.678M. Henry6.190L. Gavran19K. Franklin76L. Stefanovic75R. Fisher71M. Cimermancic38C. Sharp
Coach: Robin Fraser
55%Possession45%
1.66Expected goals (xG)1.38
11Total shots10
6Shots on target2
5Big chances2
5Corners6
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards4