Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁S. Rosted ◂ H. Wingo
46'
🔁M. Uhre ◂ B. Damiani
67'
🔁D. Jean Jacques ◂ J. Bueno
67'
⚽O. Brynhildsen
assist D. Flores
assist D. Flores
75'
🔁A. Bedoya ◂ I. Vassilev
76'
🔁K. Long ◂ Z. Monlouis
78'
🔁B. Bender ◂ Q. Sullivan
83'
⚽N. Harriel
assist K. Wagner
assist K. Wagner
86'
🔁C. Sharp ◂ O. Brynhildsen
86'
🔁M. Longstaff ◂ A. Coello
86'
T. Baribo
89'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
⚽K. Wagner
90'+2
A. Bedoya
90'+7
Coaches
Robin FraserBradley Carnell 
Recent form
Toronto FCLToronto FC1-2Nashville SC
WCF Montréal1-6Toronto FC
LToronto FC0-1FC Cincinnati
WToronto FC2-0DC United
LToronto FC0-2New England Revolution
Philadelphia UnionDPhiladelphia Union3-3Inter Miami CF
WAtlanta United0-1Philadelphia Union
WPhiladelphia Union3-2LA Galaxy
DPhiladelphia Union2-2Columbus Crew
WCF Montréal1-2Philadelphia Union
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Field
City
Toronto
Referee
Guido Gonzales Jr
Kickoff
28 May, 23:30 UTC
Toronto FC
3-5-2 · 4-4-2
Philadelphia Union
1
S. Johnson
6.8
2
H. Wingo
6.6
12
Z. Monlouis
7.3
28
R. Petretta
7.2
11
D. Etienne
7.0
14
A. Coello
7.3
20
D. Flores
7.7
21
J. Osorio
6.8
16
T. Spicer
6.6
7
T. Corbeanu
6.7
9
O. Brynhildsen
7.5
18
A. Blake
7.2
39
F. Westfield
6.6
5
J. Glesnes
6.9
26
N. Harriel
7.5
27
K. Wagner
9.7
33
Q. Sullivan
7.1
8
J. Bueno
6.9
4
J. Lukić
6.3
19
I. Vassilev
6.2
9
T. Baribo
6.4
20
B. Damiani
6.8
Substitutes
17S. Rosted6.55K. Long6.58M. Longstaff6.338C. Sharp6.590L. Gavran76L. Stefanovic24L. Insigne71M. Cimermancic23M. Dominguez
Coach: Robin Fraser
Substitutes
21D. Jean Jacques6.77M. Uhre6.611A. Bedoya6.816B. Bender6.576A. Rick15O. Mbaizo29O. Makhanya6C. Sullivan14J. Rafanello
Coach: Bradley Carnell
42%Possession58%
0.97Expected goals (xG)1.36
9Total shots14
4Shots on target6
2Big chances1
3Corners9
13Fouls17
0Yellow cards2