Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽J. Fernández
9'
M. Miazga
12'
🔁B. Risa ◂ K. Parks
26'
M. Freese
39'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁S. Santos ◂ N. Hagglund
46'
🔁G. Valenzuela ◂ Y. Kubo
46'
🔁N. Cavallo ◂ A. Perea
53'
🔁G. Flores ◂ M. Miazga
69'
H. Wolf
71'
J. Haak
75'
🔁C. Baird ◂ L. Orellano
81'
🔁M. Bakrar ◂ A. Martínez
85'
🔁A. Ojeda ◂ J. Fernández
85'
🔁B. Smith ◂ L. Engel
89'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Evander
90'+2
Form
New York City FC
LLWLW
FC Cincinnati
WWWWW
Match facts
Stadium
Citi Field
City
New York
Referee
Drew Fischer
Kickoff
04 May, 19:00 UTC
New York City FC
3-2-4-1
49
M. Freese
7.3
24
T. Gray
7.5
13
T. Martins
7.2
80
J. Haak
7.4
55
K. Parks
6.8
32
J. Shore
7.7
11
J. Fernández
⚽1
8.7
10
M. Moralez
7.7
8
A. Perea
6.3
17
H. Wolf
7.0
16
A. Martínez
6.0
Substitutes
5
B. Risa
7.1
2
N. Cavallo
6.9
26
A. Ojeda
6.5
9
M. Bakrar
6.7
30
T. Romero
18
G. Ranjitsingh
38
A. Baiera
19
S. Tanasijević
FC Cincinnati
3-4-1-2
18
R. Celentano
7.4
12
M. Robinson
7.7
21
M. Miazga
6.6
4
N. Hagglund
6.6
91
D. Yedlin
7.0
7
Y. Kubo
6.7
27
T. Anunga
6.9
29
L. Engel
6.9
10
Evander
6.6
23
L. Orellano
7.4
9
K. Denkey
6.6
Substitutes
17
S. Santos
6.7
22
G. Valenzuela
6.2
3
G. Flores
6.7
11
C. Baird
6.5
14
B. Smith
13
E. Louro
16
T. Hadebe
2
A. Powell
19
S. Chirilla
Coach: Pascal Jansen
Coach: Pat Noonan
50%Possession50%
2.44Expected goals (xG)1.07
19Total shots15
5Shots on target4
3Big chances2
7Corners6
11Fouls16
3Yellow cards2