Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽Evander
assist L. Engel
assist L. Engel
12'
K. Denkey
35'
⚽
45'
🔁T. Hadebe ◂ M. Miazga
45'
⚽
45'
⚽B. Vázquez (pen)
48'
🔁G. Valenzuela ◂ S. Santos
68'
🔁T. Anunga ◂ Y. Kubo
68'
B. Sabović
69'
🔁C. Fodrey ◂ B. Vázquez
73'
🔁N. Dubersarsky ◂ I. Sánchez
74'
⚽G. Valenzuela
assist Evander
assist Evander
76'
🔁J. Obrian ◂ B. Sabović
81'
🔁O. Bukari ◂ M. Uzuni
81'
🔁D. Yedlin ◂ L. Orellano
83'
🔁D. Rubio ◂ Ž. Kolmanič
87'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Coaches
Pat NoonanNico Estévez 
Recent form
FC CincinnatiLNew York City FC1-0FC Cincinnati
WFC Cincinnati2-1Sporting Kansas City
WChicago Fire2-3FC Cincinnati
WDC United0-1FC Cincinnati
WFC Cincinnati1-0New England Revolution
Austin FCLAustin FC0-3Minnesota United
LHouston Dynamo2-0Austin FC
WAustin FC1-0LA Galaxy
LVancouver Whitecaps5-1Austin FC
DAustin FC0-0Portland Timbers
Match facts
Stadium
TQL Stadium
City
Cincinnati
Referee
Tori Penso
Kickoff
10 May, 23:30 UTC
FC Cincinnati
5-3-2 · 5-3-2
Austin FC
18
R. Celentano
6.6
23
L. Orellano
7.0
4
N. Hagglund
6.7
21
M. Miazga
6.8
12
M. Robinson
7.4
29
L. Engel
7.4
20
P. Bucha
6.7
10
Evander
9.4
7
Y. Kubo
7.0
17
S. Santos
6.6
9
K. Denkey
7.1
1
B. Stuver
7.6
17
J. Gallagher
7.1
5
O. Svatok
6.6
4
B. Hines-Ike
6.7
29
Guilherme Biro
6.8
23
Ž. Kolmanič
6.4
33
O. Wolff
7.0
6
I. Sánchez
7.0
14
B. Sabović
6.6
10
M. Uzuni
6.9
9
B. Vázquez
6.5
Substitutes
16T. Hadebe6.527T. Anunga6.922G. Valenzuela6.991D. Yedlin6.513E. Louro14B. Smith3G. Flores2A. Powell11C. Baird
Coach: Pat Noonan
Substitutes
19C. Fodrey6.420N. Dubersarsky6.611O. Bukari6.77J. Obrian6.521D. Rubio6.830S. Cleveland18J. Cascante2R. Thomas38E. Torres
Coach: Nico Estévez
56%Possession44%
2.03Expected goals (xG)1.98
17Total shots11
7Shots on target2
4Big chances3
11Corners1
9Fouls16
1Yellow cards1