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Baptiste Ridira
Dijon
Pau FC
Dijon
4-1-3-2 · 5-3-2
Pau FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
44761 EUR · live
Away
1.05 · implied 95.2%
72.3%
-22.9 vs price
Home
550.0 · implied 0.2%
15.9%
+15.8 vs price
Draw
26.0 · implied 3.8%
11.9%
+8.0 vs price
Half time
682 EUR · live
Draw
1.24 · implied 80.6%
59.0%
-21.7 vs price
Away
12.0 · implied 8.3%
22.0%
+13.7 vs price
Home
7.4 · implied 13.5%
18.9%
+5.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
15812 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
57.2%
-41.9 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
45.1%
+41.3 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
T. Dong ◂ Y. Barka
58'
🔁
L. Rajot ◂ T. Saettel
58'
🔁
B. Leye ◂ A. Lefebvre
58'
🔁
H. Benali ◂ G. Versini
61'
⚽
B. Leye · assist L. Rajot0–1
62'
🔁
S. Chouchane ◂ M. Barreto
62'
🔁
A. Lembezat ◂ J. Marié
67'
A. Bamba · Foul
73'
🔁
J. Tavares ◂ A. N'Tamack
79'
🔁
L. Gadegbeku ◂ J. Benet
80'
L. Rajot · Foul
88'
🔁
H. Mimoune ◂ Y. Aka
88'
🔁
M. Tourraine ◂ J. K. Kyatengwa
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Thierry Debes 
Recent form
DAMontpellier1-1
DANancy2-2
WHSochaux3-0
WHBourg-en-Bresse2-1
WHProgrès Niederkorn4-1
LHAnnecy FC0-1
LHReal Unión Club1-2
LAReal Sociedad B0-4
LHEspanyol0-4
WAReal Sociedad1-0
Match facts
Stadium
Stade Gaston Gerard
City
Dijon
Referee
Kickoff
14 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Ligue 2
Highlights & clips
16
P. Delecroix
7.5
93
I. Bouleghcha
7.2
23
L. Lacroix
7.6
5
Q. Bernard
7.0
30
H. Mimoune
6.7
↑ 88'
8
P. Bellon
7.8
21
S. Chouchane
6.8
↑ 62'
17
A. Lembezat
6.6
↑ 62'
18
B. N. Ndezi
7.2
11
J. Tavares
6.7
↑ 73'
9
T. Dong
6.3
↑ 46'
1
B. Maubleu
8.9
2
T. Pouilly
6.8
4
A. Dodote
7.4
88
A. Bamba
6.5
29
G. Paquiez
6.8
39
M. Tourraine
6.4
↑ 88'
6
C. Fall
6.5
27
L. Gadegbeku
6.7
↑ 79'
5
L. Rajot
7.0
↑ 58'
7
H. Benali
6.6
↑ 58'
9
B. Leye
7.3
↑ 58'
Substitutes
46GY. Marie-Rose
6DW. Diouf
15DA. Bargain
4MM. Barreto↓ 62'6.5
14MJ. Marié↓ 62'6.4
42MY. Aka↓ 88'6.4
20MH. Vargas-Ríos
29FA. N'Tamack↓ 73'6.8
10FY. Barka↓ 46'6.4
Coach: Baptiste Ridira
Substitutes
30GE. Salles
3DJ. K. Kyatengwa↓ 88'6.9
8DS. Basse
23DA. Briançon
21MJ. Benet↓ 79'7.0
10MG. Versini↓ 58'6.7
11MA. Lefebvre↓ 58'6.6
19FT. Saettel↓ 58'7.1
14FR. Openda
Coach: Thierry Debes
Top stats
66%Possession34%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
16Total shots6
9Shots on target3
1Big chances2
6Corners2
Shots
6Shots off target1
1Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box5
7Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
Attack
20Touches in box11
100Final third entries53
0Offsides3
17Free kicks11
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
639Passes325
566Accurate passes243
40/61 (66%)Long balls40/84 (48%)
8/26 (31%)Crosses4/12 (33%)
22Throw-ins13
Duels
54Duels46
35/66 (53%)Ground duels31/66 (47%)
14/24 (58%)Aerial duels10/24 (42%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)
7Dispossessed5
Defending
11Tackles15
45Tackles won53
5Interceptions11
14Clearances19
51Recoveries58
Discipline
11Fouls17
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves9
0Big saves4
4Goal kicks15
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 60% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.83 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.35 @ betcity
1X2Draw 29% · 2.50 @ forbet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.04 @ Bet365
Who winsDijon to win (DNB) 60% · 1.62 @ merkurxtip
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.92 @ betfair
1X2Dijon to win 43% · 2.71 @ efbet.net
1X2Pau to win 28% · 3.90 @ fonbet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.40 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 52% · 1.85 @ Novibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.02
Dijon
3.44
Draw
3.68
Pau FC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
Dijon or Draw ▼
1.30
Dijon or Pau FC
1.69
Draw or Pau FC ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.87
Yes
1.88
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50 ▲
8.62
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.34
Over 1.50
3.24
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.76
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.62
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.50
Dijon ▼
2.43
Pau FC ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
13.75
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.03
Over 4.50
9.20
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.09
Over 5.50
5.85
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.21
Over 6.50
3.74
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.44
Over 7.50
2.56
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.82
Over 8.50
1.97
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.31
Over 9.50
1.53
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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