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Fabien Dagneaux
US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale
Red Star FC
US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale
5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1
Red Star FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
41342 EUR · live
Away
14.5 · implied 6.9%
43.0%
+36.1 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
42.4%
-52.8 vs price
Home
26.0 · implied 3.8%
15.4%
+11.6 vs price
Half time
118 EUR
Draw
2.24 · implied 44.6%
95.4%
+50.8 vs price
Away
3.05 · implied 32.8%
7.0%
-25.8 vs price
Home
4.3 · implied 23.3%
3.4%
-19.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
24701 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
57.8%
-41.2 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
42.2%
+37.4 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
3'
⚽
D. Durand · assist K. Cabral0–1
17'
J. Bultel · Foul
23'
D. Thiam · Handball
26'
J. Ikanga · Foul
32'
T. Magnin · Foul
43'
B. Besic · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
S. Khaoui ◂ R. Hachem
52'
⚽
A. Hbouch1–1
55'
🔁
C. Konate ◂ J. Ikanga
55'
🔁
K. Cissé ◂ M. Huard
74'
🔁
M. Soumah ◂ B. Besic
78'
🔁
S. Renel ◂ I. Halifa
84'
J. Boyer · Argument
88'
🔁
A. Nassiri ◂ T. Epailly
88'
🔁
A. Pinot ◂ T. Brusco
Full-time · 1–1
90'+1
C. Konate · Foul
90'+4
E. Zidane · Foul
Coaches
Damien Perrinelle 
Recent form
LAGuingamp0-1
DHNancy0-0
DAValenciennes1-1
LHFC Rouen0-1
WAAmiens SC1-0
DHSochaux0-0
WANantes1-0
WHUNFP Selection4-1
LALe Havre1-2
WHUS Orléans3-2
Match facts
Stadium
Stade de la Libération
City
Boulogne-sur-Mer
Referee
Kickoff
21 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Ligue 2
99
B. N. Noukeu
6.1
21
A. Platret
6.9
18
D. Thiam
6.3
25
A. Kerriou
7.1
15
A. Pinot
6.6
↑ 88'
12
J. Boyer
6.5
14
J. Bultel
6.1
19
N. Binet
7.2
7
A. Nassiri
6.8
↑ 88'
10
A. Hbouch
7.3
36
M. Soumah
7.1
↑ 74'
16
G. Poussin
7.3
2
T. Magnin
6.4
20
D. Durivaux
7.6
15
E. Zidane
6.6
11
K. Cissé
6.2
↑ 55'
17
S. Renel
6.5
↑ 78'
6
B. Danger
7.0
45
C. Konate
7.1
↑ 55'
10
S. Khaoui
6.3
↑ 46'
7
D. Durand
8.5
91
K. Cabral
6.7
Substitutes
1GX. Lenogue
20DT. Brusco↓ 88'6.9
26DO. Lenne
4DJ. Kapenga
22MS. Duflos
28MS. Paillard
64FT. Epailly↓ 88'6.5
17FB. Besic↓ 74'6.2
35FC. Dia
9FM. Lecolier
Coach: Fabien Dagneaux
Substitutes
1GY. Benchaouch
3DM. Huard↓ 55'6.4
12DS. Guindo
19MI. Halifa↓ 78'6.6
93MR. Hachem↓ 46'6.5
8MG. Trani
23FJ. Ikanga↓ 55'6.1
Coach: Damien Perrinelle
Top stats
54%Possession46%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
17Total shots6
9Shots on target3
3Big chances2
3Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target2
3Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box4
5Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed1
Attack
27Touches in box17
68Final third entries62
2Offsides8
18Free kicks15
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
435Passes375
330Accurate passes269
17/62 (27%)Long balls36/83 (43%)
2/17 (12%)Crosses2/8 (25%)
29Throw-ins31
Duels
49Duels51
45/91 (49%)Ground duels46/91 (51%)
14/29 (48%)Aerial duels15/29 (52%)
10/23 (43%)Dribbles10/21 (48%)
9Dispossessed6
Defending
17Tackles22
65Tackles won68
9Interceptions8
14Clearances29
53Recoveries51
Discipline
15Fouls18
4Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
2Saves8
1Big saves0
6Goal kicks9
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 73 bookmakers
Who winsRed Star to win (DNB) 57% · 1.72 @ forbet
1X2Red Star to win 42% · 2.80 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.13 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.01 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.37 @ Betsson
1X2Draw 28% · 2.43 @ forbet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.75 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 53% · 1.83 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.40 @ 888Sport
1X2Boulogne-sur-Mer to win 30% · 3.60 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.13
US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale ▲
3.07
Draw ▲
2.30
Red Star FC ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.56
US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale or Draw ▲
1.34
US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale or Red Star FC ▲
1.33
Draw or Red Star FC ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.86
Yes ▲
1.84
No ▲
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.12
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
7.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50
2.86
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.16
Over 2.50 ▼
1.63
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.88
Over 3.50 ▲
1.22
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.59
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.16
US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale ▲
1.63
Red Star FC ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.04
Over 4.50
11.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.11
Over 5.50
6.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.23
Over 6.50
3.59
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.44
Over 7.50
2.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.80
Over 8.50
1.92
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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