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Michel Der Zakarian
Nantes
Rodez AF
Nantes
4-1-4-1 · 5-3-2
Rodez AF
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
103524 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
46.1%
-52.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
30.7%
+30.6 vs price
Home
500.0 · implied 0.2%
23.6%
+23.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
2747 EUR · live
Over
1.1 · implied 90.9%
52.7%
-38.3 vs price
Under
10.5 · implied 9.5%
47.3%
+37.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
K. Corredor · assist M. Cafaro1–0
7'
C. I. Roubiou · Foul
15'
⚽
I. Baldé · assist R. Ponti1–1
24'
⚽
K. Corredor · assist W. Younoussa2–1
Half-time · 2–1
45'+3
🔁
D. Tabibou ◂ K. Corredor
47'
⚽
R. Ponti2–2
55'
M. Cafaro · Foul
63'
🔁
O. Joly ◂ D. Pavlović
63'
🔁
J. L. E. Allan ◂ R. Ponti
68'
J. M. Correia · Foul
69'
🔁
M. Dabo ◂ M. Cafaro
69'
🔁
L. Leroux ◂ J. Lepenant
69'
🔁
B. Deuff ◂ I. Sissoko
71'
⚽
I. Baldé · assist R. Lipinski2–3
72'
⚽
I. Baldé · assist R. Lipinski2–4
73'
I. Baldé
74'
🔁
S. L. Biwa ◂ C. I. Roubiou
74'
🔁
K. Nagera ◂ I. Baldé
76'
W. Younoussa · Foul
86'
🔁
N. Nsingi ◂ M. Touho
87'
🔁
D. Koné ◂ B. Guirassy
Full-time · 2–5
90'+5
⚽
S. Sow2–5
Coaches
Didier Santini 
Recent form
LAStade Lavallois1-2
LHRed Star FC0-1
WHAl-Wakrah5-1
LALe Mans0-1
DHVFC La Roche-sur-Yon1-1
LAAnnecy FC0-2
WHStade Lavallois3-1
LAMontpellier2-4
DAToulouse1-1
WHNîmes Olympique2-1
Where to watch
beIN SPORTS 1
Betano
beIN SPORTS 1
beIN SPORTS 1
Match facts
Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire
City
Nantes
Kickoff
22 Aug, 12:00 UTC
Competition
Ligue 2
Highlights & clips
1
M. Dupé
5.5
24
F. Guilbert
6.3
4
S. Sow
5.3
5
L. Perrin
6.4
98
K. Amian
5.7
52
B. Deuff
6.6
↑ 69'
19
L. Leroux
6.5
↑ 69'
47
M. Dabo
6.4
↑ 69'
23
W. Younoussa
7.4
49
D. Koné
6.6
↑ 87'
17
D. Tabibou
5.9
↑ 45'
16
L. Margueron
6.7
28
S. L. Biwa
7.0
↑ 74'
24
L. Laurent
7.3
4
M. Magnin
6.7
3
R. Lipinski
7.7
15
J. L. E. Allan
6.8
↑ 63'
6
J. M. Correia
6.4
22
O. Joly
6.8
↑ 63'
29
A. Cartillier
7.3
7
K. Nagera
6.6
↑ 74'
9
N. Nsingi
6.4
↑ 86'
Substitutes
16GA. Mirbach
65DH. Lamy
78DT. Tati
12MK. Corredor↓ 45'8.7
20MM. Cafaro↓ 69'7.4
28MI. Sissoko↓ 69'6.9
8MJ. Lepenant↓ 69'6.7
11FB. Guirassy↓ 87'6.1
99FM. Camara
Coach: Michel Der Zakarian
Substitutes
30GE. Crombez
20DR. Ponti↓ 63'7.3
17DL. V. Vungele
5DC. Jolibois
13MC. I. Roubiou↓ 74'6.5
8MD. Pavlović↓ 63'6.4
18FI. Baldé↓ 74'10.0
11FM. Touho↓ 86'5.8
Coach: Didier Santini
Top stats
59%Possession41%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
14Total shots16
6Shots on target5
3Big chances2
4Corners6
Shots
4Shots off target8
4Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box10
4Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored2
2Big chances missed0
Attack
23Touches in box19
57Final third entries61
2Offsides1
18Free kicks14
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
512Passes341
447Accurate passes279
42/61 (69%)Long balls27/52 (52%)
6/19 (32%)Crosses5/28 (18%)
16Throw-ins17
Duels
52Duels48
37/74 (50%)Ground duels37/74 (50%)
11/18 (61%)Aerial duels7/18 (39%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)
9Dispossessed6
Defending
15Tackles17
47Tackles won71
9Interceptions8
31Clearances25
38Recoveries50
Discipline
14Fouls18
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
1Big saves0
14Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
1X2Rodez to win 48% · 4.80 @ betcity
Who winsNantes to win (DNB) 71% · 1.41 @ forbet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.80 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.38 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.18 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.38 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.75 @ fonbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.40 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.05 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 51% · 2.05 @ granmadrid
1X2Nantes to win 26% · 2.15 @ 888Sport
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.71
Nantes ▲
3.72
Draw ▼
4.35
Rodez AF ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Nantes or Draw ▲
1.24
Nantes or Rodez AF
2.03
Draw or Rodez AF ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes ▼
1.95
No ▲
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50 ▼
3.62
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.79
Over 2.50 ▼
1.94
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.95
Over 3.50 ▼
1.35
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.75
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.30
Nantes ▲
3.26
Rodez AF ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
3.82
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.72
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.62
Over 9.50
2.12
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.86
Over 10.50 ▲
1.86
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.45
Over 11.50
1.47
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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