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Didier Santini
Rodez AF
Pau FC
Rodez AF
5-3-2 · 5-3-2
Pau FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
142597 EUR · live
Draw
1.08 · implied 92.6%
45.3%
-47.3 vs price
Away
32.0 · implied 3.1%
29.8%
+26.6 vs price
Home
15.5 · implied 6.5%
24.9%
+18.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
3021 EUR
Under
2.16 · implied 46.3%
60.6%
+14.3 vs price
Over
1.85 · implied 54.1%
39.4%
-14.7 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
2'
⚽
B. Leye · assist J. Benet0–1
3'
R. Lipinski · Foul
28'
⚽
I. Baldé · assist R. Lipinski1–1
31'
T. Debes · Argument
37'
⚽
B. Leye · assist A. Briançon1–2
Half-time · 1–2
45'+3
H. Benali · Foul
59'
🔁
A. Lefebvre ◂ B. Leye
59'
🔁
S. Basse ◂ A. Abdallah
64'
🔁
K. Nagera ◂ M. Touho
64'
🔁
S. L. Biwa ◂ C. I. Roubiou
64'
🔁
J. L. E. Allan ◂ R. Ponti
64'
🔁
L. Gadegbeku ◂ L. Rajot
68'
🔁
G. Paquiez ◂ A. Briançon
68'
🔁
A. Mbaye ◂ H. Benali
70'
L. Laurent · Foul
72'
🔁
O. Joly ◂ D. Pavlović
83'
⚽
O. Joly · assist M. Magnin2–2
85'
🔁
N. Nsingi ◂ L. Laurent
89'
M. Magnin · Foul
Full-time · 2–2
Coaches
Didier SantiniThierry Debes 
Recent form
Rodez AFWANantes5-2
LAAnnecy FC0-2
WHStade Lavallois3-1
LAMontpellier2-4
DAToulouse1-1
Pau FCLHNancy0-1
WADijon1-0
LHAnnecy FC0-1
LHReal Unión Club1-2
LAReal Sociedad B0-4
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 7
beIN Sports MAX 7
Match facts
Stadium
Stade Paul Lignon
City
Rodez
Kickoff
28 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Ligue 2
Rodez AF
5-3-2 · 5-3-2
Pau FC
16
L. Margueron
6.3
15
J. L. E. Allan
6.8
↑ 64'
9
N. Nsingi
6.5
↑ 85'
4
M. Magnin
7.4
3
R. Lipinski
7.0
28
S. L. Biwa
7.1
↑ 64'
6
J. M. Correia
6.7
22
O. Joly
7.6
↑ 72'
29
A. Cartillier
6.0
18
I. Baldé
7.4
7
K. Nagera
6.5
↑ 64'
1
B. Maubleu
6.2
2
T. Pouilly
6.6
4
A. Dodote
6.8
88
A. Bamba
6.3
29
G. Paquiez
6.3
↑ 68'
8
S. Basse
7.0
↑ 59'
6
C. Fall
6.5
21
J. Benet
7.6
27
L. Gadegbeku
6.5
↑ 64'
56
A. Mbaye
6.5
↑ 68'
11
A. Lefebvre
6.6
↑ 59'
Substitutes
30GE. Crombez
24DL. Laurent↓ 85'6.9
20DR. Ponti↓ 64'6.3
17DL. V. Vungele
8MD. Pavlović↓ 72'7.0
13MC. I. Roubiou↓ 64'5.9
26MS. Benchama
11FM. Touho↓ 64'6.0
Coach: Didier Santini
Substitutes
30GE. Salles
23DA. Briançon↓ 68'7.6
97DA. Abdallah↓ 59'6.8
39DM. Tourraine
5ML. Rajot↓ 64'6.3
9FB. Leye↓ 59'7.8
7FH. Benali↓ 68'6.9
14FR. Openda
19FT. Saettel
Coach: Thierry Debes
Top stats
58%Possession42%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
10Total shots14
5Shots on target2
1Big chances2
5Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target11
0Blocked shots1
6Shots inside box7
4Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored2
Attack
21Touches in box15
84Final third entries44
8Free kicks21
3Fouled in final third4
Passing
490Passes370
403Accurate passes278
14/36 (39%)Long balls30/75 (40%)
9/42 (21%)Crosses6/13 (46%)
27Throw-ins15
Duels
47Duels53
27/62 (44%)Ground duels35/62 (56%)
23/44 (52%)Aerial duels21/44 (48%)
7/17 (41%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)
4Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles14
50Tackles won50
8Interceptions6
15Clearances45
49Recoveries45
Discipline
21Fouls8
3Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves3
0Big saves1
13Goal kicks22
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsRodez to win (DNB) 77% · 1.33 @ 888Sport
1X2Rodez to win 55% · 2.10 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 4.00 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.91 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 24% · 2.80 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.73 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 2.04 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.45 @ Unibet
1X2Pau to win 21% · 4.60 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.66
Rodez AF
3.85
Draw
4.33
Pau FC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.17
Rodez AF or Draw
1.20
Rodez AF or Pau FC
2.14
Draw or Pau FC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.67
Yes
2.10
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.20
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.95
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50
4.12
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.67
Over 2.50
2.10
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.63
Over 3.50
1.42
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.83
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.32
Rodez AF
3.20
Pau FC
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.33
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50
2.58
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.78
Over 9.50
2.00
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.11
Over 10.50
1.62
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.67
Over 11.50
1.38
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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