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Thierry Debes
Pau FC
Sochaux
Pau FC
5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1
Sochaux
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
67280 EUR · live
Draw
1.12 · implied 89.3%
66.2%
-23.0 vs price
Home
10.0 · implied 10.0%
30.3%
+20.3 vs price
Away
29.0 · implied 3.4%
3.5%
0.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
36424 EUR · live
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
61.1%
-24.4 vs price
Over
7.2 · implied 13.9%
38.9%
+25.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1294 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
95.8%
-2.3 vs price
Over
15.0 · implied 6.7%
4.1%
-2.6 vs price
7 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
20'
S. Baghdadi · Foul
29'
⚽
L. Rajot1–0
30'
V. Hognon · Argument
30'
T. Debes · Argument
34'
S. Agouzoul · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
52'
S. Agouzoul · Foul
56'
🔁
B. Youssouf ◂ S. Baghdadi
56'
🔁
B. Gomel ◂ L. Nomel
65'
🔁
M. Clairicia ◂ B. Fofana
65'
🔁
D. Tavares ◂ D. Gomis
66'
⚽
M. Clairicia · assist B. Youssouf1–1
68'
🔁
L. Gadegbeku ◂ L. Rajot
72'
🔁
B. Brahimi ◂ C. Fall
72'
🔁
A. Lefebvre ◂ B. Leye
82'
🔁
M. Tourraine ◂ T. Pouilly
82'
🔁
R. M. Baheng ◂ A. Briançon
82'
🔁
J. Mexique ◂ K. Djoco
Full-time · 1–1
90'+5
M. Tourraine · Foul
Coaches
Thierry DebesVincent Hognon 
Recent form
Pau FCDARodez AF2-2
LHNancy0-1
WADijon1-0
LHAnnecy FC0-1
LHReal Unión Club1-2
SochauxDAClermont Foot0-0
WHGuingamp1-0
DARed Star FC0-0
LHSaint-Étienne0-3
DHAuxerre1-1
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 7
beIN Sports MAX 7
Match facts
Pau FC
5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1
Sochaux
1
B. Maubleu
6.5
39
M. Tourraine
6.8
↑ 82'
29
G. Paquiez
6.7
22
R. M. Baheng
6.1
↑ 82'
4
A. Dodote
6.7
97
A. Abdallah
6.0
11
A. Lefebvre
6.5
↑ 72'
21
J. Benet
7.4
27
L. Gadegbeku
6.7
↑ 68'
10
B. Brahimi
6.7
↑ 72'
7
H. Benali
7.4
40
M. Jeannin
7.6
26
É. N'Gatta
6.3
14
M. Peybernes
7.2
97
S. Agouzoul
5.9
42
D. Tavares
6.6
↑ 65'
21
B. Diawara
6.3
23
J. Masson
6.9
17
B. Youssouf
7.3
↑ 56'
7
B. Gomel
6.7
↑ 56'
91
M. Clairicia
7.4
↑ 65'
15
J. Mexique
6.4
↑ 82'
Substitutes
30GE. Salles
2DT. Pouilly↓ 82'7.2
23DA. Briançon↓ 82'6.9
8DS. Basse
5ML. Rajot↓ 68'7.7
6MC. Fall↓ 72'7.0
9FB. Leye↓ 72'6.5
19FT. Saettel
14FR. Openda
Coach: Thierry Debes
Substitutes
30GA. Pierre
3DD. Gomis↓ 65'6.0
10MB. Fofana↓ 65'6.5
5MS. Baghdadi↓ 56'6.3
8MH. Bayanginisa
9FK. Djoco↓ 82'6.7
77FL. Nomel↓ 56'6.4
11FL. D. Deedson
33FN. K. K. Mouyema
Coach: Vincent Hognon
Top stats
56%Possession44%
2.08Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.38
19Total shots12
8Shots on target4
1Big chances4
8Corners1
Shots
6Shots off target5
5Blocked shots3
13Shots inside box8
6Shots outside box4
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed3
Attack
27Touches in box15
68Final third entries38
7Offsides4
15Free kicks21
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
424Passes354
344Accurate passes283
26/58 (45%)Long balls22/51 (43%)
13/31 (42%)Crosses3/6 (50%)
17Throw-ins24
Duels
55Duels45
35/66 (53%)Ground duels31/66 (47%)
16/26 (62%)Aerial duels10/26 (38%)
3/8 (38%)Dribbles5/15 (33%)
1Dispossessed7
Defending
17Tackles6
71Tackles won83
10Interceptions10
8Clearances11
50Recoveries35
Discipline
21Fouls15
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves6
0Big saves1
8Goal kicks12
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsSochaux to win (DNB) 52% · 2.45 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.14 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.38 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.25 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.67 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.42 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
1X2Sochaux to win 30% · 3.46 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.75 @ Bet365
1X2Pau to win 41% · 2.75 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.30 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.26
Pau FC
3.20
Draw
3.08
Sochaux
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Pau FC or Draw
1.30
Pau FC or Sochaux
1.58
Draw or Sochaux
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.83
Yes
1.89
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.62
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.12
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.35
Over 1.50
3.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.90
Over 3.50
1.22
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.62
Pau FC
2.20
Sochaux
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.33
Over 7.50
2.79
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.65
Over 8.50
2.13
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.04
Over 9.50
1.70
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.55
Over 10.50
1.40
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.27
Over 11.50
1.23
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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