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David Vignes
Stade Lavallois
Red Star FC
Stade Lavallois
4-3-1-2 · 4-2-3-1
Red Star FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
4454 EUR
Away
2.46 · implied 40.7%
48.3%
+7.6 vs price
Draw
3.45 · implied 29.0%
30.5%
+1.6 vs price
Home
3.2 · implied 31.2%
21.2%
-10.1 vs price
Half time
390 EUR · live
Away
3.95 · implied 25.3%
41.0%
+15.7 vs price
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
32.0%
+8.2 vs price
Draw
1.8 · implied 55.6%
26.6%
-28.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1273 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.9%
-4.1 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
5.0%
+1.2 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
29'
C. Mandouki · Foul
37'
⚽
S. Renel · assist S. Khaoui0–1
Half-time · 0–2
45'
⚽
D. Durand · assist K. Cabral0–2
46'
🔁
A. Beaudouin ◂ C. Mandouki
49'
⚽
M. Houdayer · assist E. Clavreul1–2
52'
K. Cissé · Foul
61'
🔁
G. Kyeremeh ◂ S. Khaoui
61'
🔁
C. Konate ◂ S. Renel
61'
🔁
M. Diawara ◂ K. Cissé
62'
M. Diawara · Foul
67'
🔁
Y. Court ◂ A. Kanté
67'
🔁
C. B. Balcot ◂ T. Magnin
68'
🔁
J. Maggiotti ◂ C. Gourichy
78'
🔁
C. Fatou ◂ E. Mouton
78'
🔁
J. Samb ◂ J. Gaudin
80'
🔁
J. Ikanga ◂ D. Durand
86'
G. Poussin · Argument
86'
M. Diawara · Foul
Full-time · 1–2
90'+4
Y. Court · Argument
90'+5
I. Halifa · Foul
Coaches
Damien Perrinelle 
Recent form
LHGrenoble Foot 380-3
DAMetz1-1
WHNantes2-1
LARodez AF1-3
DALe Havre1-1
LHStade de Reims1-4
DAUS Boulogne Côte-d'Opale1-1
DHSochaux0-0
WANantes1-0
WHUNFP Selection4-1
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 5
beIN Sports MAX 5
Match facts
Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Basser
City
Laval
Referee
Kickoff
04 Sep, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Ligue 2
30
M. Samassa
7.3
35
J. Samb
6.9
↑ 78'
18
A. Lô
6.6
3
W. Bianda
6.3
17
C. Fatou
6.5
↑ 78'
6
S. Sanna
7.1
21
A. Beaudouin
6.8
↑ 46'
5
J. Maggiotti
6.2
↑ 68'
31
M. Houdayer
8.1
32
Y. Court
6.8
↑ 67'
20
E. Clavreul
6.7
16
G. Poussin
6.9
80
C. B. Balcot
6.7
↑ 67'
20
D. Durivaux
6.5
4
E. Zidane
6.9
3
M. Huard
6.8
19
I. Halifa
6.6
14
M. Diawara
5.8
↑ 61'
45
C. Konate
6.6
↑ 61'
27
G. Kyeremeh
6.4
↑ 61'
23
J. Ikanga
6.4
↑ 80'
91
K. Cabral
6.3
Substitutes
1GM. Hautbois
23DE. Mouton↓ 78'6.7
22DJ. Gaudin↓ 78'6.1
24DS. Bane
14MC. Mandouki↓ 46'6.3
7MC. Gourichy↓ 68'6.2
33MS. Mellier
27MA. Diallo
28FA. Kanté↓ 67'6.1
Coach: David Vignes
Substitutes
1GY. Benchaouch
2DT. Magnin↓ 67'6.8
5DJ. Escartin
17MS. Renel↓ 61'7.8
10MS. Khaoui↓ 61'6.9
11MK. Cissé↓ 61'6.7
21MI. Sabaly
7FD. Durand↓ 80'7.6
9FI. Despotovic
Coach: Damien Perrinelle
Top stats
53%Possession47%
0.56Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.34
15Total shots16
3Shots on target7
0Big chances3
5Corners6
Shots
6Shots off target7
6Blocked shots2
3Shots inside box9
12Shots outside box7
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed1
Attack
18Touches in box24
73Final third entries50
2Offsides4
20Free kicks15
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
478Passes426
379Accurate passes326
19/55 (35%)Long balls18/64 (28%)
3/22 (14%)Crosses1/14 (7%)
30Throw-ins26
Duels
50Duels50
43/86 (50%)Ground duels43/86 (50%)
15/30 (50%)Aerial duels15/30 (50%)
6/17 (35%)Dribbles9/18 (50%)
9Dispossessed10
Defending
19Tackles20
63Tackles won75
11Interceptions13
29Clearances27
50Recoveries54
Discipline
15Fouls20
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
7Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsRed Star to win (DNB) 53% · 1.72 @ Novibet
1X2Red Star to win 38% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.14 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 30% · 2.38 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.55 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.90 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.43 @ Unibet
1X2Laval to win 32% · 3.27 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.89
Stade Lavallois
3.10
Draw
2.40
Red Star FC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.50
Stade Lavallois or Draw
1.33
Stade Lavallois or Red Star FC
1.36
Draw or Red Star FC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.95
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.67
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.10
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.55
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.71
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.75
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.50
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.14
Stade Lavallois
1.65
Red Star FC
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.14
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.53
Over 8.50
2.27
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.83
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.42
Over 10.50
1.49
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.92
Over 11.50
1.29
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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