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Fabien Dagneaux
US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale
Dijon
US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale
5-3-2 · 4-1-3-2
Dijon
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
79612 EUR · live
Draw
1.08 · implied 92.6%
45.2%
-47.4 vs price
Home
20.0 · implied 5.0%
39.9%
+34.9 vs price
Away
20.0 · implied 5.0%
15.0%
+10.0 vs price
Half time
357 EUR
Draw
1.77 · implied 56.5%
82.6%
+26.1 vs price
Home
3.8 · implied 26.3%
10.9%
-15.4 vs price
Away
3.45 · implied 29.0%
10.7%
-18.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
38742 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
56.8%
-39.4 vs price
Over
10.0 · implied 10.0%
43.3%
+33.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1179 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.0%
-3.0 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
3.9%
-0.9 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
27'
A. Platret · Foul
37'
⚽
T. Epailly · assist B. Besic1–0
Half-time · 1–0
56'
J. Boyer · Argument
56'
B. Hamada · Foul
57'
🔁
Q. Bernard ◂ B. Hamada
63'
⚽
T. Dong · assist J. Marié1–1
70'
🔁
A. Lago ◂ A. N'Tamack
71'
🔁
A. Lembezat ◂ M. Barreto
71'
🔁
P. Bellon ◂ J. Marié
73'
🔁
J. Bultel ◂ N. Binet
73'
🔁
M. Mion ◂ J. Boyer
73'
🔁
N. Fatar ◂ T. Epailly
84'
🔁
L. Etonde ◂ B. Besic
87'
🔁
H. Vargas-Ríos ◂ T. Dong
Full-time · 1–1
90'+2
W. Diouf · Foul
Coaches
Baptiste Ridira 
Recent form
DAMontpellier0-0
DHRed Star FC1-1
LAGuingamp0-1
DHNancy0-0
DAValenciennes1-1
LHSaint-Étienne2-3
DAClermont Foot1-1
LHPau FC0-1
DAMontpellier1-1
DANancy2-2
Where to watch
beIN Sports MAX 4
Match facts
Stadium
Stade de la Libération
City
Boulogne-sur-Mer
Kickoff
04 Sep, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Ligue 2
99
B. N. Noukeu
8.7
21
A. Platret
6.2
25
A. Kerriou
6.8
15
A. Pinot
7.0
18
D. Thiam
6.5
29
M. Mion
6.8
↑ 73'
8
J. Martin
6.9
14
J. Bultel
7.4
↑ 73'
11
N. Fatar
6.8
↑ 73'
10
A. Hbouch
6.8
13
L. Etonde
6.6
↑ 84'
16
P. Delecroix
6.8
5
Q. Bernard
6.8
↑ 57'
6
W. Diouf
6.7
23
L. Lacroix
6.1
31
M. Faty
6.5
8
P. Bellon
6.8
↑ 71'
21
S. Chouchane
7.2
17
A. Lembezat
7.1
↑ 71'
18
B. N. Ndezi
7.1
90
A. Lago
6.3
↑ 70'
20
H. Vargas-Ríos
6.3
↑ 87'
Substitutes
1GX. Lenogue
12DJ. Boyer↓ 73'6.6
26DO. Lenne
19MN. Binet↓ 73'6.8
28MS. Paillard
17FB. Besic↓ 84'7.5
64FT. Epailly↓ 73'7.4
7FA. Nassiri
36M. Soumah
Coach: Fabien Dagneaux
Substitutes
71GE. Ketterle
15DA. Bargain
14MJ. Marié↓ 71'6.7
7MB. Hamada↓ 57'6.3
4MM. Barreto↓ 71'6.1
42MY. Aka
30MH. Mimoune
9FT. Dong↓ 87'7.8
29FA. N'Tamack↓ 70'6.5
Coach: Baptiste Ridira
Top stats
47%Possession53%
1.97Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.14
15Total shots12
3Shots on target6
2Big chances2
10Corners5
Shots
8Shots off target3
4Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box8
5Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed1
Attack
23Touches in box19
52Final third entries61
4Offsides3
15Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
422Passes498
323Accurate passes406
14/45 (31%)Long balls16/50 (32%)
6/26 (23%)Crosses4/18 (22%)
16Throw-ins28
Duels
57Duels43
35/64 (55%)Ground duels29/64 (45%)
16/26 (62%)Aerial duels10/26 (38%)
3/11 (27%)Dribbles6/17 (35%)
5Dispossessed6
Defending
17Tackles13
71Tackles won85
13Interceptions12
22Clearances35
62Recoveries45
Discipline
10Fouls15
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
6Saves2
5Goal kicks13
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 59% · 1.11 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 73% · 1.20 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.20 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.38 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 30% · 2.29 @ 1xBet
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.25 @ 10bet
1X2Dijon to win 35% · 3.10 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 2.12 @ Unibet
Who winsBoulogne-sur-Mer to win (DNB) 51% · 2.07 @ Betano
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 66% · 2.50 @ William Hill
1X2Boulogne-sur-Mer to win 35% · 3.04 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.67
US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale
3.10
Draw
2.63
Dijon
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale or Draw
1.33
US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale or Dijon
1.42
Draw or Dijon
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.95
Yes
1.78
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.10
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
7.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.41
Over 1.50
2.75
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.30
Over 2.50
1.57
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.50
Over 3.50
1.18
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.00
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.00
US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale
1.73
Dijon
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.65
Over 7.50
2.08
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
2.04
Over 8.50
1.71
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.70
Over 9.50
1.36
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.32
Over 10.50
1.20
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.40
Over 11.50
1.10
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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