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Luc Holtz
Metz
Rodez AF
Metz
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Rodez AF
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
49467 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.8%
-7.2 vs price
Away
340.0 · implied 0.3%
4.4%
+4.1 vs price
Draw
110.0 · implied 0.9%
3.9%
+3.0 vs price
Half time
2346 EUR · live
Home
1.27 · implied 78.7%
91.1%
+12.3 vs price
Draw
5.9 · implied 16.9%
5.6%
-11.4 vs price
Away
4.7 · implied 21.3%
3.2%
-18.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
9724 EUR · live
Over
1.16 · implied 86.2%
78.6%
-7.6 vs price
Under
7.2 · implied 13.9%
21.4%
+7.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
660 EUR · live
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
72.8%
-17.3 vs price
Over
6.6 · implied 15.2%
27.1%
+11.9 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
P. M. Fall · assist F. Miguel1–0
24'
J. Ruiz · Foul
35'
⚽
C. I. Roubiou · assist K. Nagera1–1
39'
⚽
J. Deminguet · assist T. Savanier2–1
42'
⚽
P. M. Fall3–1
Half-time · 3–1
46'
🔁
M. Colin ◂ F. Miguel
46'
🔁
U. Mboula ◂ J. Ruiz
58'
⚽
P. M. Fall · assist J. Deminguet4–1
62'
G. Abuashvili · Foul
66'
🔁
N. Mendy ◂ J. Deminguet
68'
🔁
A. Cartillier ◂ O. Joly
68'
🔁
M. Saka ◂ D. Pavlović
74'
🔁
N. Nsingi ◂ M. Touho
74'
🔁
H. Kadamani ◂ G. Abuashvili
78'
🔁
K. Nsona ◂ K. Nagera
78'
🔁
R. Ponti ◂ C. I. Roubiou
78'
🔁
A. Ba ◂ T. Savanier
Full-time · 4–1
Coaches
Luc HoltzDidier Santini 
Recent form
MetzDAAnnecy FC1-1
DHStade Lavallois1-1
DAGrenoble Foot 380-0
WHGuingamp2-1
WHFortuna Sittard3-1
Rodez AFDHPau FC2-2
WANantes5-2
LAAnnecy FC0-2
WHStade Lavallois3-1
LAMontpellier2-4
Where to watch
beIN Sports 3
Betano
beIN Sports 3
beIN Sports 3
Match facts
Stadium
Stade Saint Symphorien
City
Metz
Kickoff
05 Sep, 12:00 UTC
Competition
Ligue 2
Highlights & clips
Metz
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Rodez AF
1
J. Fischer
7.2
70
B. Sarr
6.6
42
C. Castro
7.5
4
U. Mboula
7.1
↑ 46'
2
M. Colin
7.1
↑ 46'
6
N. Mendy
6.6
↑ 66'
18
B. Munongo
7.4
38
H. Kadamani
7.0
↑ 74'
88
A. Ba
6.5
↑ 78'
21
J. Pandore
6.8
11
P. M. Fall
8.9
16
L. Margueron
6.1
20
R. Ponti
6.6
↑ 78'
24
L. Laurent
6.8
4
M. Magnin
6.0
3
R. Lipinski
7.2
15
J. L. E. Allan
7.1
6
J. M. Correia
6.5
10
M. Saka
6.5
↑ 68'
29
A. Cartillier
6.5
↑ 68'
21
K. Nsona
6.4
↑ 78'
9
N. Nsingi
6.4
↑ 74'
Substitutes
61GP. Sy
3DF. Miguel↓ 46'6.5
5DJ. Ruiz↓ 46'6.0
98DI. Mohamed
8MJ. Deminguet↓ 66'9.5
10MT. Savanier↓ 78'8.5
9FG. Abuashvili↓ 74'6.3
22FN. Mbala
33FA. Mbodj
Coach: Luc Holtz
Substitutes
30GE. Crombez
17DL. V. Vungele
28DS. L. Biwa
13MC. I. Roubiou↓ 78'6.5
8MD. Pavlović↓ 68'6.4
22MO. Joly↓ 68'6.4
27MM. Essimi
7FK. Nagera↓ 78'6.8
11FM. Touho↓ 74'6.7
Coach: Didier Santini
Top stats
58%Possession42%
3.77Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.9
19Total shots19
8Shots on target6
5Big chances2
7Corners7
Shots
6Shots off target10
5Blocked shots3
15Shots inside box15
4Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
3Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed2
Attack
29Touches in box31
58Final third entries57
1Offsides2
11Free kicks11
2Fouled in final third4
Passing
459Passes324
405Accurate passes273
45/62 (73%)Long balls17/37 (46%)
8/22 (36%)Crosses7/30 (23%)
16Throw-ins32
Duels
49Duels51
33/64 (52%)Ground duels31/64 (48%)
9/22 (41%)Aerial duels13/22 (59%)
3/11 (27%)Dribbles6/19 (32%)
6Dispossessed7
Defending
20Tackles14
65Tackles won86
7Interceptions8
30Clearances18
53Recoveries44
Discipline
11Fouls11
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves4
10Goal kicks8
2Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsRodez to win (DNB) 63% · 2.75 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.80 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.41 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.64 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.95 @ Unibet
1X2Metz to win 46% · 2.30 @ 10bet
1X2Rodez to win 28% · 3.62 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.42 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.63 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.00
Metz
3.48
Draw
3.42
Rodez AF
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
Metz or Draw
1.25
Metz or Rodez AF
1.71
Draw or Rodez AF
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.20
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.85
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
11.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.98
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.75
Over 2.50
2.05
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.50
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.50
Metz
2.50
Rodez AF
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.55
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.75
Over 9.50
1.98
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.17
Over 10.50
1.62
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.69
Over 11.50
1.36
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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