Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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Gregory Poirier
Nantes
Nancy**Nantes host Nancy looking to steady the ship — the hosts are wobbly at 1W in five, while the visitors have found some rhythm.** 🔴⚫
Nantes are leaking goals (3 conceded in their last outing vs Guingamp), but they've got the H2H dominance and home advantage to lean on. Nancy's on a solid run with back-to-back wins, though, and they won't roll over. **K. Amian, F. Centonze, B. Deuff, and T. Tati** are all out for the hosts, which stings the squad depth.
Key storylines:
- **Nantes' shaky defense** meets **Nancy's upturn in form** — a classic Jekyll-and-Hyde collision
- **I. Ganago** leading the line for the hosts needs to capitalize on a visiting side that's tightened up lately
- **Nantes' home record vs Nancy's away composure** — the stat sheet favors the Canaries, but recent form says different
Expected lineups:
- **Nantes**: M. Dupé, H. Lamy, L. Perrin, S. Sow, F. Guilbert, I. Sissoko, L. Leroux, M. Cafaro, J. Lepenant, K. Corredor, I. Ganago
- **Nancy**: E. Basilio, L. Ndenbe, N. Fernandez, E. Mendy, E. Tacafred, W. Bouabdelli, K. Kébé, M. Fofana, Z. Fdaouch, I. Housni, B. Bokangu
Prediction:
**Nantes 2–1 Nancy.** Home turf + historical edge edges out Nancy's momentum — but it'll be tight. 📊
Nantes
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2
Nancy
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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