Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Sochaux's steadiness meets Nantes' chaos** in a Ligue 2 scrap where form tells wildly different stories. 🏟️ One side's built on draws, the other's bleeding goals.
Sochaux are the definition of control freaks — three draws in their last five, grinding out a 1-0 at home. Nantes, meanwhile, just got pumped 5-2 at Rodez and drew 3-3 (which sounds fun but screams defensive shambles). The hosts have the edge in consistency here.
Key storylines:
- **Sochaux's defensive structure** under pressure: they've shipped goals sporadically but kept things tight at Bonal
- **Nantes' injury crisis** — Deuff, Centonze, Amian, and Tati all sidelined — leaves their backline paper-thin 📋
- **Head-to-head imbalance**: Nantes lead the all-time series 29-18, but form favors the hosts badly right now
Expected lineups:
- **Sochaux**: M. Jeannin, D. Gomis, M. Peybernes, S. Agouzoul, É. N'Gatta, J. Masson, J. Mexique, L. Nomel, S. Baghdadi, B. Fofana, M. Clairicia
- **Nantes**: M. Dupé, L. Perrin, F. Guilbert, S. Sow, H. Lamy, J. Lepenant, I. Sissoko, M. Cafaro, D. Tabibou, W. Younoussa, K. Corredor
Prediction:
**Sochaux 2-1 Nantes**. Hosts have a slight favorite lean — Nantes' depleted rearguard meets a side that knows how to grind.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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