Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Rodez are unbeaten at home against Nancy in eight meetings — but form is screaming danger** 🚨 The hosts are stuttering (1W in five), while Nancy just beat Dunkerque and smell opportunity on the road.
Rodez's defensive shape looks solid on paper, but they've leaked goals everywhere lately (conceded 7 in their last three). Nancy's inconsistency cuts both ways — they can't string wins together, yet they've shown they can nick results away from home.
Key storylines:
- **Rodez's home record vs Nancy is pristine**, but recent form suggests complacency won't fly in round 7
- **Nancy's attacking threat hinges on Z. Fdaouch and I. Housni** linking play; if they're sharp, Rodez's backline could crumble
- **Both teams are chasing points desperately** — this is a six-pointer dressed up as a regular Friday night
Expected lineups:
- **Rodez AF**: L. Margueron, R. Lipinski, L. Laurent, M. Magnin, A. Cartillier, C. I. Roubiou, D. Pavlović, O. Joly, M. Saka, M. Touho, K. Nagera
- **Nancy**: E. Basilio, L. Ndenbe, N. Fernandez, Y. Nahounou, E. Tacafred, W. Bouabdelli, K. Kébé, M. Fofana, Z. Fdaouch, I. Housni, A. Dabasse
Prediction:
**Rodez 2–1 Nancy.** Home advantage and historical edge prevail, but it's tighter than the record suggests. 📊
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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