Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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Sylvain Ripoll
Guingamp
Red Star FC**Red Star's perfect record at this venue is spooky — Guingamp haven't beaten them in the last four, and that's not nothing.** Both sides are mid-table grinders with identical 2W-2D-1L form, but the visitors' defensive stability could be the differentiator here. 🔴
Guingamp's drawing habit (two stalemates in their last three at home) meets a Red Star side that just took a shellacking from Reims but bounced back with a clean sheet. This feels like a chess match over a thriller.
Key storylines:
- **Red Star's away prowess** — four straight wins in this matchup; Guingamp haven't found an answer defensively
- **Guingamp's home cushion** — unbeaten at the Roudourou but leaning on set pieces and scrappy goals
- **Midfield battle** — **T. Ducrocq** and **D. Louiserre** need to disrupt **I. Halifa** and **S. Renel's** rhythm early
Expected lineups:
- **Guingamp**: A. Ortolá, V. M. W. Mungu, A. Demouchy, D. Gomis, E. Koffi, T. Ducrocq, D. Louiserre, T. Ahile, T. Averlant, S. Kielt, A. Hemia
- **Red Star FC**: G. Poussin, M. Huard, E. Zidane, B. Danger, D. Durivaux, I. Halifa, S. Renel, D. Durand, S. Khaoui, G. Kyeremeh, K. Cabral
Prediction:
**Red Star 1–1 Guingamp.** Red Star edges it on pedigree but won't break through a stubborn home side — classic Ligue 2 deadlock. ⚽
Guingamp
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Red Star FC
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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