Dijon 4-2 Metz: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 12, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Dijon 4-2 Metz.

90+4'

I. Sane

Attempt missed. I. Sane (Metz), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

90+2'

I. Sane

Attempt saved. I. Sane (Metz), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

90+1'

B. Song

Attempt blocked. B. Song (Metz), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

A. N'Tamack

Attempt blocked. A. N'Tamack (Dijon), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

88'

P. M. Fall

Goal! Dijon 4-2 Metz. P. M. Fall (Metz) scores, assisted by B. Song.

87'

A. N'Tamack

Attempt missed. A. N'Tamack (Dijon), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

86'

Dijon

Offside, Dijon.

84'

B. Diallo

Substitution, Dijon: L. Puleri comes on for B. Diallo.

84'

B. Sarr

Substitution, Metz: B. Song comes on for B. Sarr.

84'

M. Colin

Substitution, Metz: A. Ba comes on for M. Colin.

81'

I. Sane

Attempt saved. I. Sane (Metz), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

81'

Metz

Corner, Metz.

78'

A. Mbodj

Attempt missed. A. Mbodj (Metz), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

77'

L. Lacroix

Attempt missed. L. Lacroix (Dijon), header from a corner. xG 0.12.

77'

A. N'Tamack

Attempt missed. A. N'Tamack (Dijon), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.41.

77'

Dijon

Corner, Dijon.

76'

A. Lembezat

Substitution, Dijon: S. Chouchane comes on for A. Lembezat.

76'

J. Tavares

Substitution, Dijon: T. Dong comes on for J. Tavares.

72'

C. Castro

Yellow card for C. Castro (Metz) for argument.

72'

A. Lembezat

Attempt blocked. A. Lembezat (Dijon), right-footed shot. xG 0.26.

70'

J. Tavares

Attempt saved. J. Tavares (Dijon), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

69'

Q. Bernard

Goal! Dijon 4-1 Metz. Q. Bernard (Dijon) scores.

66'

F. Miguel

Substitution, Metz: M. B. Mputu comes on for F. Miguel.

66'

G. Abuashvili

Substitution, Metz: I. Sane comes on for G. Abuashvili.

62'

F. Miguel

Yellow card for F. Miguel (Metz) for foul.

62'

A. Lago

Substitution, Dijon: A. N'Tamack comes on for A. Lago.

62'

H. Vargas-Ríos

Substitution, Dijon: B. N. Ndezi comes on for H. Vargas-Ríos.

57'

P. M. Fall

Attempt blocked. P. M. Fall (Metz), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

55'

A. Lembezat

Attempt saved. A. Lembezat (Dijon), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

55'

Dijon

Corner, Dijon.

53'

J. Marié

Attempt saved. J. Marié (Dijon), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

51'

A. Touré

Attempt blocked. A. Touré (Metz), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

51'

B. Munongo

Substitution, Metz: A. Mbodj comes on for B. Munongo.

50'

Metz

Corner, Metz.

50'

B. Munongo

Attempt blocked. B. Munongo (Metz), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

49'

Dijon

Offside, Dijon.

49'

Metz

Offside, Metz.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Dijon 3-1 Metz.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

45'

Metz

Offside, Metz.

44'

P. M. Fall

Goal! Dijon 3-1 Metz. P. M. Fall (Metz) scores, assisted by J. Deminguet.

38'

G. Abuashvili

Attempt missed. G. Abuashvili (Metz), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.

37'

P. M. Fall

Attempt missed. P. M. Fall (Metz), header. xG 0.10.

32'

J. Tavares

Goal! Dijon 3-0 Metz. J. Tavares (Dijon) scores, assisted by P. Bellon.

32'

Metz

Offside, Metz.

30'

Dijon

Corner, Dijon.

30'

A. Lago

Attempt missed. A. Lago (Dijon), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

28'

Metz

Offside, Metz.

24'

A. Lago

Goal! Dijon 2-0 Metz. A. Lago (Dijon) scores.

23'

J. Ruiz

Yellow card for J. Ruiz (Metz) for foul.

21'

Metz

Corner, Metz.

19'

H. Vargas-Ríos

Goal! Dijon 1-0 Metz. H. Vargas-Ríos (Dijon) scores, assisted by P. Bellon.

12'

Metz

Offside, Metz.

11'

P. Bellon

Attempt missed. P. Bellon (Dijon), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

11'

Q. Bernard

Attempt missed. Q. Bernard (Dijon), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.10.

11'

L. Lacroix

Attempt missed. L. Lacroix (Dijon), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.20.

10'

Dijon

Corner, Dijon.

3'

J. Deminguet

Attempt blocked. J. Deminguet (Metz), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

2'

P. Bellon

Attempt missed. P. Bellon (Dijon), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

1'

Kick-off: Dijon vs Metz.

Where the money is

204166 EUR matched · captured 1 month ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 61450 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

59.5%

-39.5 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

28.7%

+28.6 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

12.5%

+12.4 vs price

Half time 3977 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

77.2%

-21.8 vs price

Draw 65.0 · implied 1.5%

16.7%

+15.2 vs price

Away 55.0 · implied 1.8%

6.1%

+4.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 16312 EUR · live

Under 7.6 · implied 13.2%

64.2%

+51.1 vs price

Over 1.13 · implied 88.5%

35.9%

-52.6 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

19' ⚽ H. Vargas-Ríos · assist P. Bellon1–0

23' J. Ruiz · Foul

24' ⚽ A. Lago2–0

32' ⚽ J. Tavares · assist P. Bellon3–0

44' ⚽ P. M. Fall · assist J. Deminguet3–1

Half-time · 3–1

51' 🔁 A. Mbodj ◂ B. Munongo

62' F. Miguel · Foul

62' 🔁 B. N. Ndezi ◂ H. Vargas-Ríos

62' 🔁 A. N'Tamack ◂ A. Lago

66' 🔁 I. Sane ◂ G. Abuashvili

66' 🔁 M. B. Mputu ◂ F. Miguel

69' ⚽ Q. Bernard4–1

72' C. Castro · Argument

76' 🔁 T. Dong ◂ J. Tavares

76' 🔁 S. Chouchane ◂ A. Lembezat

84' 🔁 A. Ba ◂ M. Colin

84' 🔁 B. Song ◂ B. Sarr

84' 🔁 L. Puleri ◂ B. Diallo

88' ⚽ P. M. Fall · assist B. Song4–2

Full-time · 4–2

Coaches

Baptiste Ridira

Grégory Proment

Recent form

Dijon

DHTroyes2-2

WAAnnecy FC2-1

WHStade Lavallois3-2

DAUS Boulogne Côte-d'Opale1-1

LHSaint-Étienne2-3

Metz

DHSaint-Étienne2-2

LARed Star FC0-1

WHRodez AF4-1

DAAnnecy FC1-1

DHStade Lavallois1-1

About this match

**Dijon's form is electric while Metz can't find a groove** — the home side rolls into this Ligue 2 clash full of energy, but Metz's defensive vulnerability might offer a cheeky opening. 🔥

Dijon's won two of their last three, including a thrilling 3-2 at home against Lavallois. Metz, meanwhile, are stuck in draw-purgatory (3 of their last 5 are level scores) and got torched 4-1 by Rodez recently. The head-to-head leans Metz's way historically, but current form screams **Dijon**.

Key storylines:

- **Dijon's attacking rhythm** with M. Faty and A. Lembezat clicking in the final third
- **Metz's leaky backline** — J. Fischer's had a busy few weeks in goal
- **Midfield battle** between J. Marié and B. Munongo will set the tempo

Expected lineups:

- **Dijon**: P. Delecroix, I. Bouleghcha, L. Lacroix, Q. Bernard, J. Marié, S. Chouchane, M. Faty, A. Lembezat
- **Metz**: J. Fischer, F. Miguel, C. Castro, J. Ruiz, J. Deminguet, B. Munongo, T. Savanier, P. M. Fall

Prediction:

**Dijon 2–1 Metz**. Home advantage plus red-hot form gives the hosts a slight edge here. 🎯

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 1

Match facts

Stadium

Stade Gaston Gerard

City

Dijon

Referee

Marc Bollengier

4.03 yellows/match · 39 matches

Kickoff

12 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

Ligue 2

Highlights & clips

Dijon 4-3-1-2 · 3-5-2 Metz

16 P. Delecroix 6.3 7 B. Hamada 6.8 23 L. Lacroix 7.1 5 Q. Bernard 7.7 32 L. Puleri 6.2 ↑ 84' 8 P. Bellon 7.6 14 J. Marié 7.4 18 B. N. Ndezi 6.7 ↑ 62' 21 S. Chouchane 6.5 ↑ 76' 9 T. Dong 6.6 ↑ 76' 29 A. N'Tamack 6.3 ↑ 62' 1 J. Fischer 4.6 39 B. Song 7.0 ↑ 84' 42 C. Castro 6.5 5 J. Ruiz 6.9 88 A. Ba 6.6 ↑ 84' 12 A. Touré 6.4 33 A. Mbodj 6.3 ↑ 51' 8 J. Deminguet 7.1 19 M. B. Mputu 7.0 ↑ 66' 7 I. Sane 6.7 ↑ 66' 11 P. M. Fall 8.8

Substitutes

46GY. Marie-Rose 75DB. Diallo↓ 84'6.9 6DW. Diouf 20MH. Vargas-Ríos↓ 62'7.9 17MA. Lembezat↓ 76'6.9 93MI. Bouleghcha 11FJ. Tavares↓ 76'8.0 90FA. Lago↓ 62'7.2 10FY. Barka

Coach: Baptiste Ridira

Substitutes

61GP. Sy 3DF. Miguel↓ 66'6.7 70DB. Sarr↓ 84'6.7 2DM. Colin↓ 84'5.9 30DT. D. Santos 98DI. Mohamed 4DU. Mboula 18MB. Munongo↓ 51'6.5 9FG. Abuashvili↓ 66'6.6

Coach: Grégory Proment

Top stats

40%Possession60%

2.18Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.37

17Total shots13

7Shots on target4

4Big chances2

3Corners3

Shots

8Shots off target4

2Blocked shots5

13Shots inside box10

4Shots outside box3

1Hit woodwork0

2Big chances scored2

2Big chances missed0

Attack

21Touches in box30

69Final third entries72

2Offsides5

17Free kicks17

5Fouled in final third3

Passing

369Passes564

301Accurate passes497

26/56 (46%)Long balls57/79 (72%)

3/15 (20%)Crosses9/23 (39%)

11Throw-ins20

Duels

54Duels46

48/85 (56%)Ground duels37/85 (44%)

13/28 (46%)Aerial duels15/28 (54%)

3/8 (38%)Dribbles10/24 (42%)

6Dispossessed14

Defending

28Tackles11

75Tackles won73

8Interceptions13

22Clearances13

59Recoveries55

Discipline

17Fouls17

0Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

5Goal kicks8

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Dijon 34%

27%

Metz 39%

1X2Metz to win 39% · 2.75 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.88 @ William Hill

Who winsDijon to win (DNB) 64% · 2.10 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 3.80 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.90 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 2.00 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.25 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle

1X2Dijon to win 34% · 3.10 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.75

Dijon

3.42

Draw

2.33

Metz

Double Chanceconsensus

1.54

Dijon or Draw

1.28

Dijon or Metz

1.40

Draw or Metz

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.62

Yes

2.20

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.20

Over 1.50

4.33

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.69

Over 2.50

2.10

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.75

Over 3.50

1.40

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.23

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.05

Dijon

1.70

Metz

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.50

Over 7.50

2.38

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.88

Over 8.50

1.86

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.38

Over 9.50

1.50

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.97

Over 10.50

1.25

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.92

Over 11.50

1.13

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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