Nancy 1-0 Guingamp: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 9, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Nancy 1-0 Guingamp.

90+6'

Z. Fdaouch

Goal! Nancy 1-0 Guingamp. Z. Fdaouch (Nancy) converts the penalty.

90+4'

A. Demouchy

Second yellow card for A. Demouchy (Guingamp), who is sent off.

90+3'

Guingamp

Corner, Guingamp.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

89'

A. Hemia

Attempt missed. A. Hemia (Guingamp), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

88'

Nancy

Offside, Nancy.

86'

Z. Fdaouch

Attempt missed. Z. Fdaouch (Nancy), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

83'

W. Bouabdelli

Substitution, Nancy: S. Cissé comes on for W. Bouabdelli.

83'

E. H. Raheriniaina

Substitution, Nancy: C. E. Hansar comes on for E. H. Raheriniaina.

82'

Nancy

Corner, Nancy.

82'

Z. Fdaouch

Attempt saved. Z. Fdaouch (Nancy), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

81'

S. Kielt

Attempt missed. S. Kielt (Guingamp), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.

77'

A. Demouchy

Yellow card for A. Demouchy (Guingamp) for foul.

76'

Nancy

Corner, Nancy.

75'

E. Mendy

Substitution, Nancy: J. Gélin comes on for E. Mendy.

75'

T. Ahile

Substitution, Guingamp: T. Ducrocq comes on for T. Ahile.

74'

P. M. Ba

Substitution, Nancy: L. Ndenbe comes on for P. M. Ba.

74'

T. Ahile

Yellow card for T. Ahile (Guingamp) for foul.

73'

Guingamp

Corner, Guingamp.

71'

K. Kébé

Second yellow card for K. Kébé (Nancy), who is sent off.

65'

F. S. D. Silva

Substitution, Guingamp: A. Samoura comes on for F. S. D. Silva.

65'

B. Bokangu

Substitution, Guingamp: S. Kielt comes on for B. Bokangu.

65'

N. Kandil

Substitution, Nancy: Z. Fdaouch comes on for N. Kandil.

64'

S. B. Brahim

Substitution, Guingamp: T. Averlant comes on for S. B. Brahim.

62'

I. Housni

Attempt saved. I. Housni (Nancy), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

62'

N. Kandil

Attempt saved. N. Kandil (Nancy), header. xG 0.06.

60'

B. Bokangu

Attempt missed. B. Bokangu (Guingamp), right-footed shot. xG 0.20.

57'

N. Kandil

Attempt blocked. N. Kandil (Nancy), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.10.

57'

Nancy

Offside, Nancy.

56'

A. Hemia

Yellow card for A. Hemia (Guingamp) for argument.

55'

J. Dianganga

Yellow card for J. Dianganga (Guingamp) for foul.

55'

K. Kébé

Yellow card for K. Kébé (Nancy) for argument.

52'

Guingamp

Corner, Guingamp.

51'

T. Ahile

Attempt missed. T. Ahile (Guingamp), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Nancy 0-0 Guingamp.

45+3'

A. Hemia

Attempt blocked. A. Hemia (Guingamp), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

45+2'

W. Bouabdelli

Yellow card for W. Bouabdelli (Nancy) for foul.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

44'

P. M. Ba

Attempt missed. P. M. Ba (Nancy), header. xG 0.11.

41'

K. Kébé

Attempt blocked. K. Kébé (Nancy), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

38'

F. S. D. Silva

Attempt saved. F. S. D. Silva (Guingamp), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

37'

N. Fernandez

Attempt missed. N. Fernandez (Nancy), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

34'

I. Housni

Attempt saved. I. Housni (Nancy), right-footed shot. xG 0.24.

25'

P. M. Ba

Attempt missed. P. M. Ba (Nancy), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

23'

E. Tacafred

Attempt missed. E. Tacafred (Nancy), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

23'

Nancy

Corner, Nancy.

22'

P. M. Ba

Attempt blocked. P. M. Ba (Nancy), left-footed shot. xG 0.26.

22'

N. Kandil

Attempt blocked. N. Kandil (Nancy), header. xG 0.12.

20'

T. Ahile

Attempt saved. T. Ahile (Guingamp), left-footed shot. xG 0.17.

20'

Guingamp

Corner, Guingamp.

19'

S. B. Brahim

Attempt missed. S. B. Brahim (Guingamp), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

15'

E. H. Raheriniaina

Attempt missed. E. H. Raheriniaina (Nancy), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

14'

Guingamp

Offside, Guingamp.

10'

E. Tacafred

Attempt saved. E. Tacafred (Nancy), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

8'

Nancy

Corner, Nancy.

7'

I. Housni

Attempt saved. I. Housni (Nancy), right-footed shot. xG 0.24.

1'

Kick-off: Nancy vs Guingamp.

Where the money is

102511 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 3 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 62591 EUR · live

Home 1.04 · implied 96.2%

46.8%

-49.3 vs price

Draw 28.0 · implied 3.6%

33.0%

+29.4 vs price

Away 12.0 · implied 8.3%

20.7%

+12.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 9068 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

67.2%

-31.8 vs price

Over 100.0 · implied 1.0%

32.8%

+31.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 618 EUR · live

Under 1.08 · implied 92.6%

93.6%

+1.0 vs price

Over 18.5 · implied 5.4%

6.3%

+0.9 vs price

10 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

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Player of the match

Match events

Half-time · 0–0

45'⁺² W. Bouabdelli · Foul

55' K. Kébé · Argument

55' J. Dianganga · Foul

56' A. Hemia · Argument

64' 🔁 T. Averlant ◂ S. B. Brahim

65' 🔁 Z. Fdaouch ◂ N. Kandil

65' 🔁 S. Kielt ◂ B. Bokangu

65' 🔁 A. Samoura ◂ F. S. D. Silva

71' K. Kébé · Foul

74' 🔁 L. Ndenbe ◂ P. M. Ba

74' T. Ahile · Foul

75' 🔁 T. Ducrocq ◂ T. Ahile

75' 🔁 J. Gélin ◂ E. Mendy

77' A. Demouchy · Foul

83' 🔁 C. E. Hansar ◂ E. H. Raheriniaina

83' 🔁 S. Cissé ◂ W. Bouabdelli

Full-time · 1–0

90'⁺⁴ A. Demouchy · Foul

90'⁺⁶ ⚽ Z. Fdaouch (pen)1–0

Coaches

Oswald Tanchot

Sylvain Ripoll

Recent form

Nancy

LA1. FC Saarbrücken1-2

WARodez AF4-3

LHStade de Reims1-2

LANantes0-1

WHUSL Dunkerque2-0

Guingamp

WHLe Mans2-1

LHRed Star FC1-3

WHAnnecy FC2-1

DAStade de Reims2-2

DHNantes3-3

About this match

**Nancy's hosting a Guingamp side that's been quietly solid — but the home team needs to turn recent chaos into a winning frame.** 🔥

Nancy's form is streaky: two wins mixed with three losses, including a gutsy 4-3 comeback against Rodez that proved they can score. Guingamp, meanwhile, sits steadier with two wins and two draws in their last five — they're grinding results even when play gets messy.

Key storylines:

- **Nancy's attacking setup** around M. Fofana and Z. Fdaouch has fire in it when clicking, but defensive fragility (conceded in three of last five) remains a real problem at home
- **Guingamp's road resilience** under A. Ortolá means they won't roll over, and the H2H favors them (6 wins in 13 vs Nancy's 3)
- **Set pieces and counter-tempo play** could decide this — Guingamp thrive on controlled possession while Nancy's looking to explode

Expected lineups:

- **Nancy**: E. Basilio, L. Ndenbe, N. Fernandez, Y. Nahounou, E. Tacafred, W. Bouabdelli, K. Kébé, M. Fofana
- **Guingamp**: A. Ortolá, V. M. W. Mungu, A. Demouchy, D. Gomis, E. Koffi, S. B. Brahim, D. Louiserre, T. Averlant

Prediction:

**1-1 draw.** Nancy's capable at home but vulnerable; Guingamp's defensive discipline keeps them level. Coin flip for the three points.

Where to watch

beIN Sports MAX 6

Match facts

Stadium

Stade Marcel Picot

City

Nancy

Referee

Gabriel Henry

Kickoff

09 Oct, 18:00 UTC

Competition

Ligue 2

Nancy 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2 Guingamp

1 E. Basilio 7.0 4 N. Fernandez 6.9 77 Y. Nahounou 7.1 25 J. Gélin 7.0 ↑ 75' 44 E. Tacafred 7.8 6 K. Kébé 6.4 45 C. E. Hansar 6.8 ↑ 83' 9 I. Housni 7.7 7 Z. Fdaouch 7.7 ↑ 65' 11 S. Cissé 6.7 ↑ 83' 22 L. Ndenbe 6.6 ↑ 74' 16 A. Ortolá 8.8 2 E. Koffi 6.5 36 A. Demouchy 6.3 24 J. Dianganga 6.8 5 T. Ollila 6.7 11 T. Averlant 6.5 ↑ 64' 4 D. Louiserre 7.4 25 T. Ducrocq 6.5 ↑ 75' 17 A. Samoura 6.8 ↑ 65' 10 A. Hemia 6.6 18 S. Kielt 6.3 ↑ 65'

Substitutes

30GG. Lembet 21DE. Mendy↓ 75'7.6 14DN. Saint-Ruf 8MW. Bouabdelli↓ 83'7.1 12ME. H. Raheriniaina↓ 83'6.5 17MM. Fofana 70FN. Kandil↓ 65'6.6 5FP. M. Ba↓ 74'6.6 33FL. Schnepp

Coach: Oswald Tanchot

Substitutes

1GT. Bartouche 3DJ. Matumona 35DN. Fondja 20MS. B. Brahim↓ 64'7.1 21MT. Ahile↓ 75'7.0 8MF. S. D. Silva↓ 65'6.7 31MJ. Matondo 32MI. Diakité 22FB. Bokangu↓ 65'6.4

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Top stats

53%Possession47%

2.56Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.64

17Total shots8

7Shots on target2

3Big chances1

4Corners4

Shots

6Shots off target5

4Blocked shots1

13Shots inside box3

4Shots outside box5

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed1

Attack

29Touches in box5

78Final third entries46

2Offsides1

16Free kicks22

5Fouled in final third2

Passing

501Passes443

437Accurate passes364

38/62 (61%)Long balls22/54 (41%)

7/23 (30%)Crosses2/16 (13%)

20Throw-ins10

Duels

48Duels52

26/65 (40%)Ground duels39/65 (60%)

19/28 (68%)Aerial duels9/28 (32%)

2/13 (15%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)

7Dispossessed3

Defending

9Tackles18

67Tackles won61

12Interceptions12

18Clearances22

44Recoveries37

Discipline

22Fouls17

3Yellow cards5

1Red cards1

Goalkeeping

2Saves6

1Big saves0

7Goal kicks8

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 16 bookmakers

Nancy 41%

29%

EAG 30%

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 73%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61%

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.67 @ Novibet

1X2Draw 29% · 2.30 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 1.75 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.22 @ Bet365

1X2EAG to win 30% · 3.50 @ Bet365

1X2Nancy to win 41% · 2.88 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.40 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 51%

Who winsNancy to win (DNB) 50% · 1.56 @ Betsson

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.15

Nancy

3.10

Draw

3.00

Guingamp

Double Chanceconsensus

1.33

Nancy or Draw

1.33

Nancy or Guingamp

1.61

Draw or Guingamp

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.65

Yes

2.10

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

12.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

4.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.75

Over 2.50

2.05

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.75

Over 3.50

1.40

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.50

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.52

Nancy

2.38

Guingamp

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.88

Nancy

2.30

Draw

3.50

Guingamp

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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