Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Sochaux are rolling — Boulogne are a mess.** This feels like a straightforward home win for the Doubs side, who've found their groove with two wins in their last five. 🔵
Sochaux are unbeaten at home (2W 1D) while Boulogne just got hammered 6-1 by Le Havre and can't string results together. The visitors sit deep and invite pressure, which plays right into Sochaux's hands on their patch.
Key storylines:
- **Sochaux's attacking mid-three** of **B. Fofana**, **S. Baghdadi**, and **K. Djoco** should find space against Boulogne's congested 5-3-2
- **Boulogne's fragility away from home** — they've lost two of their last five and lack any attacking momentum
- **M. Clairicia** leading the line for Sochaux will face a backline under constant siege
Expected lineups:
- **Sochaux**: M. Jeannin, D. Gomis, M. Peybernes, S. Agouzoul, É. N'Gatta, J. Masson, J. Mexique, B. Fofana, S. Baghdadi, K. Djoco, M. Clairicia
- **US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale**: B. N. Noukeu, A. Kerriou, T. Brusco, A. Pinot, T. Epailly, D. Thiam, N. Binet, J. Bultel, J. Martin, A. Hbouch, B. Besic
Prediction:
**Sochaux 2–0 US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale** — Slight favorite to put on a clinic at home. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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