Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Montpellier roll into Rodez looking to keep the good vibes rolling** — the visitors have won three of the last four head-to-heads and come in with proper form momentum, while the hosts are struggling hard. 🔴
Rodez are in freefall: just one win in five with back-to-back heavy defeats, and they'll be desperate to steady the ship at home. Montpellier, meanwhile, have picked up a solid rhythm with 2W-2D-1L recently and look the real deal on the road.
Key storylines:
- **Montpellier's defensive solidity** (two clean sheets in last three) should suffocate a **Rodez attack that's been leaking goals**
- **Head-to-head script** favors the visitors — they've won three of the last four meetings against this side
- **O. Joly and M. Touho** will need to fire for Rodez to avoid going under at home again
Expected lineups:
- **Rodez AF**: L. Margueron, R. Lipinski, L. Laurent, M. Magnin, A. Cartillier, C. I. Roubiou, J. M. Correia, D. Pavlović, O. Joly, M. Touho, K. Nagera
- **Montpellier**: S. Ngapandouetnbu, T. S. Luce, J. Laporte, D. Meddah, N. E. Hannach, F. Tardieu, T. Chennahi, N. Mukiele, N. Vidal, N. Pays, M. Camara
Prediction:
**Montpellier win, 0-2 or 1-2.** The visitors have the form, the record against this opponent, and the defensive chops to walk out with three points. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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