Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Dijon's looking scary at home—Rodez can't string wins together to save their lives.** 🔥 This is a statement moment for the hosts, who've rattled off three wins in their last five, while Rodez are limping along on just one W in the same stretch.
Form tells the whole story here. Dijon's been slick (4-2 over Metz, 2-2 draw with Troyes), mixing grit with flair. Rodez, meanwhile, got battered 3-0 at home by Montpellier and 2-0 away at Saint-Étienne—the kind of back-to-back losses that shake a squad's confidence.
Key storylines:
- **Dijon's midfield balance** through **J. Marié** and **B. N. Ndezi** should carve up Rodez's narrow 5-3-2 shape
- **Rodez hunting the counter** with **K. Nagera** and **M. Touho** up front, but they'll spend most of the afternoon defending
- **Home advantage at Stade Gaston Gerard** is real—Dijon unbeaten there across these five games
Expected lineups:
- **Dijon**: P. Delecroix, I. Bouleghcha, L. Lacroix, Q. Bernard, W. Diouf, J. Marié, B. N. Ndezi, P. Bellon, A. Lembezat, A. Lago, J. Tavares
- **Rodez AF**: L. Margueron, R. Lipinski, L. Laurent, M. Magnin, A. Cartillier, C. I. Roubiou, J. M. Correia, D. Pavlović, O. Joly, M. Touho, K. Nagera
Prediction:
**Dijon 2-0 Rodez AF.** Hosts control the frame and capitalise on Rodez's fragility.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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