Saint-Étienne 1-0 Nantes: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Saint-Étienne 1-0 Nantes.

90+9'

J. Duffus

Yellow card for J. Duffus (Saint-Étienne) for foul.

90+8'

Nantes

Corner, Nantes.

90+7'

A. Boakye

Substitution, Saint-Étienne: N. E. Jamali comes on for A. Boakye.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

A. Boakye

Goal! Saint-Étienne 1-0 Nantes. A. Boakye (Saint-Étienne) scores, assisted by M. Jaber.

88'

J. Breum

Yellow card for J. Breum (Saint-Étienne) for argument.

88'

R. Hachem

Yellow card for R. Hachem (Nantes) for argument.

85'

Nantes

Offside, Nantes.

84'

M. Bernauer

Substitution, Saint-Étienne: M. Jaber comes on for M. Bernauer.

84'

Saint-Étienne

Offside, Saint-Étienne.

83'

I. Ganago

Substitution, Nantes: A. Joujou comes on for I. Ganago.

83'

K. Corredor

Substitution, Nantes: M. Cafaro comes on for K. Corredor.

83'

Z. Davitashvili

Substitution, Saint-Étienne: J. Duffus comes on for Z. Davitashvili.

82'

Saint-Étienne

Offside, Saint-Étienne.

82'

Saint-Étienne

Offside, Saint-Étienne.

81'

Nantes

Corner, Nantes.

78'

Nantes

Corner, Nantes.

77'

A. Boakye

Attempt saved. A. Boakye (Saint-Étienne), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

74'

Saint-Étienne

Offside, Saint-Étienne.

72'

Á. Csongvai

Attempt missed. Á. Csongvai (Saint-Étienne), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

70'

A. Boakye

Attempt blocked. A. Boakye (Saint-Étienne), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

69'

Saint-Étienne

Corner, Saint-Étienne.

64'

B. Old

Substitution, Saint-Étienne: C. Lamba comes on for B. Old.

64'

I. Cardona

Substitution, Saint-Étienne: T. Ballo comes on for I. Cardona.

62'

J. Lepenant

Yellow card for J. Lepenant (Nantes) for foul.

60'

F. Doucouré

Substitution, Nantes: F. Centonze comes on for F. Doucouré.

60'

I. Sissoko

Substitution, Nantes: L. Leroux comes on for I. Sissoko.

58'

F. Doucouré

Yellow card for F. Doucouré (Nantes) for foul.

53'

A. Boakye

Yellow card for A. Boakye (Saint-Étienne) for foul.

51'

J. Ferreira

Attempt blocked. J. Ferreira (Saint-Étienne), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

50'

Saint-Étienne

Corner, Saint-Étienne.

47'

Nantes

Corner, Nantes.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Saint-Étienne 0-0 Nantes.

45+3'

I. Cardona

Attempt missed. I. Cardona (Saint-Étienne), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

45+3'

Saint-Étienne

Corner, Saint-Étienne.

45+2'

K. Amian

Yellow card for K. Amian (Nantes) for foul.

45+1'

Saint-Étienne

Offside, Saint-Étienne.

45+1'

Saint-Étienne

Offside, Saint-Étienne.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

Nantes

Offside, Nantes.

44'

Nantes

Corner, Nantes.

44'

K. Corredor

Attempt saved. K. Corredor (Nantes), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

43'

A. Boakye

Attempt missed. A. Boakye (Saint-Étienne), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

40'

Saint-Étienne

Corner, Saint-Étienne.

40'

Z. Davitashvili

Attempt saved. Z. Davitashvili (Saint-Étienne), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

34'

I. Sissoko

Attempt missed. I. Sissoko (Nantes), right-footed shot. xG 0.26.

29'

Á. Csongvai

Attempt blocked. Á. Csongvai (Saint-Étienne), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

24'

I. Cardona

Attempt missed. I. Cardona (Saint-Étienne), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

24'

Saint-Étienne

Corner, Saint-Étienne.

23'

Saint-Étienne

Corner, Saint-Étienne.

13'

Nantes

Corner, Nantes.

11'

I. Ganago

Attempt blocked. I. Ganago (Nantes), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

10'

T. Robinet

Substitution, Nantes: K. Corredor comes on for T. Robinet.

6'

J. Breum

Attempt blocked. J. Breum (Saint-Étienne), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

5'

Saint-Étienne

Corner, Saint-Étienne.

4'

I. Ganago

Attempt saved. I. Ganago (Nantes), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

1'

Kick-off: Saint-Étienne vs Nantes.

Where the money is

171450 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 119387 EUR · live

Home 1.04 · implied 96.2%

68.6%

-27.5 vs price

Draw 23.0 · implied 4.3%

26.0%

+21.6 vs price

Away 350.0 · implied 0.3%

5.6%

+5.3 vs price

Half time 389 EUR

Draw 2.44 · implied 41.0%

75.5%

+34.5 vs price

Away 5.3 · implied 18.9%

23.7%

+4.8 vs price

Home 2.42 · implied 41.3%

0.9%

-40.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 9514 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

68.3%

-30.7 vs price

Over 100.0 · implied 1.0%

31.7%

+30.7 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

10' 🔁 K. Corredor ◂ T. Robinet

Half-time · 0–0

45'⁺² K. Amian · Foul

53' A. Boakye · Foul

58' F. Doucouré · Foul

60' 🔁 L. Leroux ◂ I. Sissoko

60' 🔁 F. Centonze ◂ F. Doucouré

62' J. Lepenant · Foul

64' 🔁 T. Ballo ◂ I. Cardona

64' 🔁 C. Lamba ◂ B. Old

83' 🔁 J. Duffus ◂ Z. Davitashvili

83' 🔁 M. Cafaro ◂ K. Corredor

83' 🔁 A. Joujou ◂ I. Ganago

84' 🔁 M. Jaber ◂ M. Bernauer

88' J. Breum · Argument

88' R. Hachem · Argument

Full-time · 1–0

90' ⚽ A. Boakye · assist M. Jaber1–0

90'⁺⁷ 🔁 N. E. Jamali ◂ A. Boakye

90'⁺⁹ J. Duffus · Foul

Coaches

Ian Cathro

Gregory Poirier

Recent form

Saint-Étienne

WARed Star FC1-0

WHRodez AF2-0

WHFC Sion5-1

DAMetz2-2

LAUSL Dunkerque1-2

Nantes

LHUSL Dunkerque2-3

DHStade de Reims0-0

LALe Mans1-3

WAUS Boulogne Côte-d'Opale2-1

LASochaux0-1

About this match

**Saint-Étienne's rolling hot streak meets a Nantes side desperately needing a spark.** The Green Machine are purring in Ligue 2 right now—time to keep it rolling at home. 🔥

Saint-Étienne have won 3 of their last 5 with emphatic scorelines (that 5-1 demolition speaks volumes), while Nantes are stuck in a rut: just 1 win in 5 and fresh off a 1-3 hammering at Le Mans. The form gap is real.

Key storylines:

- **Saint-Étienne's attacking fluidity** powered by J. Duffus and A. Boakye continues to dismantle opponents—Nantes' shaky defense (L. Perrin, S. Sow, R. Hachem) could be vulnerable
- **Nantes hunting for consistency** after consecutive losses; T. Robinet up front will need support to trouble G. Larsonneur
- **Home fortress vibes**—the Geoffroy Guichard crowd rarely lets visiting teams settle

Expected lineups:

- **Saint-Étienne**: G. Larsonneur, B. Old, S. Nair, M. Bernauer, K. Pedro, Á. Csongvai, J. L. Cardinal, T. Ballo, J. Breum, A. Boakye, J. Duffus
- **Nantes**: M. Dupé, R. Hachem, L. Perrin, S. Sow, K. Amian, L. Leroux, A. Cherni, J. Lepenant, I. Sissoko, F. Doucouré, T. Robinet

Prediction:

**Saint-Étienne 2–0 Nantes**

Clear edge to the hosts—form, home turf, and Nantes' defensive fragility all point one way.

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 1

Match facts

Stadium

Stade Geoffroy Guichard

City

Saint Etienne

Referee

Gael Angoula

3.85 yellows/match · 26 matches

Kickoff

24 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

Ligue 2

Highlights & clips

Saint-Étienne 4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2 Nantes

1 M. Ndiaye 7.0 13 J. Ferreira 7.2 23 K. Pedro 7.4 26 J. L. Cardinal 7.4 15 C. Lamba 6.9 ↑ 64' 14 Á. Csongvai 7.2 5 M. Jaber 7.5 ↑ 84' 31 N. E. Jamali ↑ 90' 10 J. Breum 6.5 17 J. Duffus 6.6 ↑ 83' 8 T. Ballo 6.7 ↑ 64' 30 P. Carlgren 7.0 18 F. Centonze 6.4 ↑ 60' 24 F. Guilbert 6.7 4 S. Sow 6.9 98 K. Amian 6.2 26 R. Hachem 6.6 19 L. Leroux 6.1 ↑ 60' 44 B. Pierret 6.6 8 J. Lepenant 7.3 12 K. Corredor 6.1 ↑ 10' 20 M. Cafaro 6.3 ↑ 83'

Substitutes

40GL. Lavallee 11DB. Old↓ 64'7.0 6DM. Bernauer↓ 84'7.0 37DN. K. Nkondo 20MA. Boakye↓ 90'7.4 32MA. Baallal 46ME. Dhaoui 22FZ. Davitashvili↓ 83'7.0 7FI. Cardona↓ 64'6.8

Coach: Ian Cathro

Substitutes

1GM. Dupé 5DL. Perrin 13MF. Doucouré↓ 60'7.0 28MI. Sissoko↓ 60'6.6 23MW. Younoussa 75MA. Cherni 37FI. Ganago↓ 83'6.6 7FA. Joujou↑ 83'6.5 27FT. Robinet↓ 10'6.4

Coach: Gregory Poirier

Top stats

65%Possession35%

0.84Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.58

11Total shots4

3Shots on target2

1Big chances1

7Corners6

Shots

4Shots off target1

4Blocked shots1

6Shots inside box3

5Shots outside box1

1Big chances scored0

0Big chances missed1

Attack

16Touches in box8

70Final third entries42

5Offsides2

17Free kicks11

3Fouled in final third0

Passing

642Passes341

561Accurate passes254

23/49 (47%)Long balls15/53 (28%)

6/16 (38%)Crosses5/13 (38%)

21Throw-ins27

Duels

54Duels46

33/68 (49%)Ground duels35/68 (51%)

19/29 (66%)Aerial duels10/29 (34%)

4/12 (33%)Dribbles5/9 (56%)

11Dispossessed10

Defending

14Tackles19

86Tackles won74

7Interceptions6

19Clearances21

47Recoveries40

Discipline

11Fouls17

3Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

1Big saves0

3Goal kicks4

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Saint-Étienne 54%

25%

Nantes 21%

Who winsSaint-Étienne to win (DNB) 78% · 1.31 @ Betano

1X2Saint-Étienne to win 54% · 2.20 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.40 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 25% · 2.65 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.40 @ Bet365

1X2Nantes to win 21% · 4.39 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.70

Saint-Étienne

3.70

Draw

4.40

Nantes

Double Chanceconsensus

1.18

Saint-Étienne or Draw

1.25

Saint-Étienne or Nantes

2.05

Draw or Nantes

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.72

Yes

2.00

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.10

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

8.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.10

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

4.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.75

Over 2.50

2.05

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.88

Over 3.50

1.40

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.75

Over 4.50

1.13

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.30

Saint-Étienne

3.30

Nantes

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.28

Over 7.50

2.82

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.59

Over 8.50

2.20

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.96

Over 9.50

1.79

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.46

Over 10.50

1.47

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.02

Over 11.50

1.24

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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