USL Dunkerque 1-1 Metz: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 23, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. USL Dunkerque 1-1 Metz.

90+3'

P. M. Fall

Attempt saved. P. M. Fall (Metz), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

90+2'

A. Nade

Yellow card for A. Nade (USL Dunkerque) for foul.

90+1'

K. Ayari

Attempt saved. K. Ayari (USL Dunkerque), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

90+1'

A. Lebeau

Substitution, USL Dunkerque: F. Atoen comes on for A. Lebeau.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

C. Castro

Yellow card for C. Castro (Metz) for argument.

87'

A. Ba

Attempt saved. A. Ba (Metz), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.

86'

F. Miguel

Attempt saved. F. Miguel (Metz), header. xG 0.09.

85'

J. Deminguet

Attempt blocked. J. Deminguet (Metz), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

84'

N. Mbala

Attempt missed. N. Mbala (Metz), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

84'

A. Ba

Attempt saved. A. Ba (Metz), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

81'

G. Abuashvili

Substitution, Metz: A. Ba comes on for G. Abuashvili.

81'

B. Sarr

Substitution, Metz: B. Song comes on for B. Sarr.

80'

E. Prutsev

Attempt blocked. E. Prutsev (USL Dunkerque), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

77'

Metz

Offside, Metz.

77'

Metz

Offside, Metz.

74'

E. Prutsev

Attempt missed. E. Prutsev (USL Dunkerque), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

74'

USL Dunkerque

Corner, USL Dunkerque.

73'

T. Savanier

Attempt missed. T. Savanier (Metz), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

73'

G. Robail

Substitution, USL Dunkerque: A. Nade comes on for G. Robail.

73'

F. Abner

Substitution, USL Dunkerque: V. Mayela comes on for F. Abner.

72'

G. Abuashvili

Attempt saved. G. Abuashvili (Metz), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

71'

N. Mbala

Attempt missed. N. Mbala (Metz), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

70'

K. Ayari

Attempt saved. K. Ayari (USL Dunkerque), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

68'

T. Savanier

Attempt blocked. T. Savanier (Metz), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

67'

N. Mbala

Attempt missed. N. Mbala (Metz), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

66'

S. Keita

Substitution, USL Dunkerque: K. Ayari comes on for S. Keita.

66'

T. Massock

Substitution, USL Dunkerque: S. N'Zonzi comes on for T. Massock.

65'

O. Sangante

Penalty missed! O. Sangante (USL Dunkerque), saved.

65'

O. Sangante

Goal! USL Dunkerque 1-1 Metz. O. Sangante (USL Dunkerque) scores.

63'

G. Abuashvili

Attempt blocked. G. Abuashvili (Metz), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

61'

J. Morel

Second yellow card for J. Morel (USL Dunkerque), who is sent off.

60'

A. Mbodj

Substitution, Metz: N. Mbala comes on for A. Mbodj.

59'

T. Massock

Attempt missed. T. Massock (USL Dunkerque), header from a set piece. xG 0.08.

58'

A. Lebeau

Attempt saved. A. Lebeau (USL Dunkerque), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

55'

T. Massock

Attempt blocked. T. Massock (USL Dunkerque), header. xG 0.15.

51'

O. Sangante

Attempt missed. O. Sangante (USL Dunkerque), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

49'

J. Morel

Yellow card for J. Morel (USL Dunkerque) for foul.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. USL Dunkerque 0-1 Metz.

45+1'

Metz

Offside, Metz.

45'

1 minute of added time.

39'

U. Mboula

Attempt saved. U. Mboula (Metz), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

38'

Metz

Corner, Metz.

38'

P. M. Fall

Attempt blocked. P. M. Fall (Metz), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

37'

S. Keita

Attempt missed. S. Keita (USL Dunkerque), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

26'

Metz

Corner, Metz.

25'

Metz

Corner, Metz.

25'

G. Abuashvili

Attempt saved. G. Abuashvili (Metz), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.14.

19'

E. Prutsev

Attempt missed. E. Prutsev (USL Dunkerque), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

19'

G. Robail

Attempt missed. G. Robail (USL Dunkerque), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

16'

USL Dunkerque

Corner, USL Dunkerque.

16'

S. Keita

Attempt blocked. S. Keita (USL Dunkerque), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

15'

A. Mbodj

Yellow card for A. Mbodj (Metz) for foul.

12'

G. Abuashvili

Attempt saved. G. Abuashvili (Metz), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

9'

P. M. Fall

Goal! USL Dunkerque 0-1 Metz. P. M. Fall (Metz) scores.

7'

Metz

Corner, Metz.

4'

G. Robail

Attempt missed. G. Robail (USL Dunkerque), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

1'

Kick-off: USL Dunkerque vs Metz.

Where the money is

53100 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 25583 EUR · live

Draw 1.06 · implied 94.3%

50.9%

-43.4 vs price

Away 21.0 · implied 4.8%

32.9%

+28.1 vs price

Home 30.0 · implied 3.3%

16.2%

+12.9 vs price

Half time 15 EUR

Draw 2.5 · implied 40.0%

94.6%

+54.6 vs price

Away 2.96 · implied 33.8%

3.5%

-30.3 vs price

Home 3.5 · implied 28.6%

3.0%

-25.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 16637 EUR · live

Over 8.2 · implied 12.2%

76.6%

+64.4 vs price

Under 1.09 · implied 91.7%

24.0%

-67.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 24 EUR

Over 7.4 · implied 13.5%

100.0%

+86.5 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Player of the match

Match events

9' ⚽ P. M. Fall0–1

15' A. Mbodj · Foul

Half-time · 0–1

49' J. Morel · Foul

60' 🔁 N. Mbala ◂ A. Mbodj

61' J. Morel · Foul

65' ⚽ O. Sangante1–1

65' 🚫 Penalty missed · O. Sangante

66' 🔁 S. N'Zonzi ◂ T. Massock

66' 🔁 K. Ayari ◂ S. Keita

73' 🔁 V. Mayela ◂ F. Abner

73' 🔁 A. Nade ◂ G. Robail

81' 🔁 B. Song ◂ B. Sarr

81' 🔁 A. Ba ◂ G. Abuashvili

Full-time · 1–1

90' C. Castro · Argument

90'⁺¹ 🔁 F. Atoen ◂ A. Lebeau

90'⁺² A. Nade · Foul

Coaches

Albert Sánchez

Grégory Proment

Recent form

USL Dunkerque

WANantes3-2

LHAnnecy FC0-1

LHRAAL La Louvière0-4

LAPau FC0-2

WHSaint-Étienne2-1

Metz

WHSochaux3-2

LADijon2-4

DHSaint-Étienne2-2

LARed Star FC0-1

WHRodez AF4-1

About this match

**Metz rolls into Dunkerque as the heavy favorite** — they've won all four recent h2h matchups, and Dunkerque's defense looks shaky after that brutal 4-0 drubbing at home last week. 🔥

Dunkerque grabbed a shock 3-2 away win over Nantes but sandwiched two defeats around it; they're volatile. Metz steadied the ship with a 3-2 home win over Sochaux after that 4-2 collapse at Dijon, so they've got momentum.

Key storylines:

- **Dunkerque's leaky defense** needs to tighten up fast — conceding 4 at home is nightmare fuel
- **Metz's perfect h2h record** is a massive psychological edge heading into enemy territory
- **Tempo and early pressure** will be critical; whoever controls the midfield (J. Morel and J. Deminguet battle) likely controls the game

Expected lineups:

- **USL Dunkerque**: M. Ramos, L. Vallier, O. Sangante, B. Lagae, A. Linguet, J. Morel, T. Massock, E. Prutsev, A. Lebeau, S. Keita, E. Mayilla
- **Metz**: J. Fischer, C. Castro, I. Mohamed, U. Mboula, J. Ruiz, J. Deminguet, B. Munongo, G. Abuashvili, T. Savanier, N. Mbala, P. M. Fall

Prediction:

**Metz 2–0 Dunkerque.** Metz's form edge and h2h dominance are too strong to ignore; Dunkerque's defense folds under pressure. 📋

Where to watch

beIN Sports MAX 5

Match facts

Stadium

Stade Marcel Tribut

City

Dunkerque

Referee

Mickael Leleu

3.78 yellows/match · 36 matches

Kickoff

23 Oct, 18:00 UTC

Competition

Ligue 2

USL Dunkerque 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1 Metz

73 M. Ramos 7.7 27 A. Linguet 6.7 26 O. Sangante 7.8 2 O. Touré 6.4 22 V. Mayela 6.9 ↑ 73' 6 J. Morel 5.2 15 S. N'Zonzi 6.8 ↑ 66' 7 K. Ayari 6.9 ↑ 66' 25 F. Atoen ↑ 90' 11 E. Prutsev 7.3 23 A. Nade 6.4 ↑ 73' 1 J. Fischer 7.2 39 B. Song 6.6 ↑ 81' 42 C. Castro 7.3 4 U. Mboula 6.8 3 F. Miguel 6.2 98 I. Mohamed 6.9 22 N. Mbala 6.7 ↑ 60' 8 J. Deminguet 7.0 10 T. Savanier 7.7 88 A. Ba 6.9 ↑ 81' 11 P. M. Fall 7.9

Substitutes

16GM. Prévot 30DF. Abner↓ 73'7.0 21DL. Dziki 42DM. Makhloufi 10MA. Lebeau↓ 90'7.4 19MS. Keita↓ 66'6.7 18MT. Massock↓ 66'6.3 9FG. Robail↓ 73'6.3 94FE. Mayilla

Coach: Albert Sánchez

Substitutes

61GP. Sy 70DB. Sarr↓ 81'5.8 2DM. Colin 30DT. D. Santos 18MB. Munongo 12MA. Touré 33FA. Mbodj↓ 60'6.6 9FG. Abuashvili↓ 81'6.0 7FI. Sane

Coach: Grégory Proment

Top stats

56%Possession44%

1.82Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.37

15Total shots17

5Shots on target9

2Big chances3

2Corners4

Shots

7Shots off target4

3Blocked shots4

9Shots inside box13

6Shots outside box4

1Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed2

Attack

21Touches in box24

70Final third entries60

0Offsides2

17Free kicks11

3Fouled in final third0

Passing

505Passes390

431Accurate passes320

35/72 (49%)Long balls35/70 (50%)

2/14 (14%)Crosses4/18 (22%)

23Throw-ins16

Duels

54Duels46

37/64 (58%)Ground duels27/64 (42%)

8/20 (40%)Aerial duels12/20 (60%)

9/15 (60%)Dribbles6/8 (75%)

6Dispossessed8

Defending

10Tackles12

40Tackles won83

6Interceptions14

21Clearances14

54Recoveries50

Discipline

11Fouls18

3Yellow cards2

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

8Saves4

1Big saves1

6Goal kicks9

2Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Dunkerque 33%

26%

Metz 40%

1X2Metz to win 40% · 2.62 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.75 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.70 @ William Hill

Who winsDunkerque to win (DNB) 65% · 2.10 @ 10bet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.81 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 26% · 2.66 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.87 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.50 @ betfair

1X2Dunkerque to win 33% · 3.04 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.75

USL Dunkerque

3.50

Draw

2.29

Metz

Double Chanceconsensus

1.57

USL Dunkerque or Draw

1.25

USL Dunkerque or Metz

1.40

Draw or Metz

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.52

Yes

2.39

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

14.10

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

4.60

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.60

Over 2.50

2.25

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.48

Over 3.50

1.46

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.62

Over 4.50

1.16

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.10

USL Dunkerque

1.67

Metz

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.25

Over 7.50

2.98

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.52

Over 8.50

2.33

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.92

Over 9.50

1.85

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.38

Over 10.50

1.50

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.87

Over 11.50

1.27

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue