Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Dijon host Red Star in a shoot-out between two Ligue 2 sides struggling to find rhythm** — one's flaky at home, the other's leaking goals all over the place. 🔴⚪
Dijon have picked up two wins recently but got hammered 4-2 away at Reims, while Red Star crashed 4-1 at Nancy at their place. Both sides are bleeding consistency, though Dijon at least have the comfort of Stade Gaston Gerard behind them.
Key storylines:
- **Dijon's midfield balance** with W. Diouf anchoring and J. Marié alongside could dominate possession if Red Star's defense stays disorganized
- **Red Star's attacking shape** around K. Cabral and J. Ikanga will need sharpness — they've conceded in bunches lately
- Head-to-head intrigue: the sides drew once, Red Star won once; anything could happen in a tight contest
Expected lineups:
- **Dijon**: P. Delecroix, B. Diallo, L. Lacroix, Q. Bernard, W. Diouf, J. Marié, B. N. Ndezi, S. Chouchane, A. Lembezat, A. Lago, J. Tavares
- **Red Star FC**: G. Poussin, T. Magnin, D. Durivaux, E. Zidane, M. Huard, I. Halifa, S. Khaoui, D. Durand, K. Cissé, K. Cabral, J. Ikanga
Prediction:
**Dijon 2-1 Red Star FC** — home edge and fresher form give Dijon the slight edge, though Red Star's sporadic quality could nick one. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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