Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Boulogne host Annecy looking for rhythm, while the visitors arrive red-hot off a demolition of Sochaux.** This feels like a clash between two teams moving in opposite directions — one searching for answers, one firing on all cylinders. 🔥
Boulogne's form is patchy (1W 2D 2L), though they did hammer Grenoble recently. Annecy, though, just carved up Sochaux 3-1 after a rough patch, and they've won three of their last five. The head-to-head is split down the middle, so no clear edge historically.
Key storylines:
- **Annecy's attack vs Boulogne's backline**: Annecy's been lethal up top after the Sochaux display; can **A. Hbouch** and **B. Besic** hold the line?
- **Midfield control matters**: **N. Binet** and **J. Martin** need to disrupt Annecy's rhythm early, especially **M. Koné** pulling strings in the middle.
- **Home court advantage**: Boulogne haven't lost at Stade de la Libération recently — that could be the difference in a tight one.
Expected lineups:
- **US Boulogne Côte-d'Opale**: B. N. Noukeu, A. Kerriou, A. Pinot, T. Brusco, J. Boyer, D. Thiam, N. Binet, J. Martin, J. Bultel, A. Hbouch, B. Besic
- **Annecy FC**: F. Escales, J. D. Marcolino, J. Kouadio, M. Veillon, T. Delphis, P. Venot, M. Koné, A. Kashi, C. Billemaz, T. Rambaud, A. Larose
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Annecy's hot hand meets Boulogne's stubborn home setup — lean toward a split of the spoils.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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