Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽K. Denkey
assist D. Yedlin
assist D. Yedlin
18'
F. Bernardeschi
19'
🔁K. Franklin ◂ R. Petretta
20'
G. Flores
24'
Evander
32'
🔁L. Stefanovic ◂ K. Franklin
36'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁L. Engel ◂ B. Smith
59'
🔁Y. Kubo ◂ Evander
59'
🔁S. Santos ◂ K. Denkey
59'
🔁T. Spicer ◂ F. Bernardeschi
69'
🔁D. Etienne ◂ O. Brynhildsen
69'
🔁M. Dominguez ◂ L. Insigne
69'
🔁A. Powell ◂ T. Hadebe
77'
🔁K. Kamara ◂ G. Valenzuela
85'
⚽
90'
L. Engel
90'
⚽
90'
Coaches
Robin FraserPat Noonan 
Recent form
Toronto FCWToronto FC2-0DC United
LToronto FC0-2New England Revolution
LToronto FC0-1New York City FC
WReal Salt Lake0-1Toronto FC
DToronto FC0-0Minnesota United
FC CincinnatiWFC Cincinnati2-1Austin FC
LNew York City FC1-0FC Cincinnati
WFC Cincinnati2-1Sporting Kansas City
WChicago Fire2-3FC Cincinnati
WDC United0-1FC Cincinnati
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Field
City
Toronto
Referee
Jair Antonio Maruffo
Kickoff
14 May, 23:30 UTC
Toronto FC
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2
FC Cincinnati
1
S. Johnson
8.1
6
K. Thompson
7.0
5
K. Long
6.7
17
S. Rosted
6.8
28
R. Petretta
6.3
14
A. Coello
7.0
20
D. Flores
7.1
10
F. Bernardeschi
6.5
24
L. Insigne
6.4
7
T. Corbeanu
6.9
9
O. Brynhildsen
6.3
18
R. Celentano
7.2
3
G. Flores
7.0
12
M. Robinson
7.2
16
T. Hadebe
7.4
91
D. Yedlin
7.5
20
P. Bucha
7.2
27
T. Anunga
6.7
14
B. Smith
6.5
10
Evander
7.0
22
G. Valenzuela
7.2
9
K. Denkey
7.4
Substitutes
19K. Franklin6.676L. Stefanovic6.616T. Spicer6.823M. Dominguez6.811D. Etienne6.690L. Gavran12Z. Monlouis71M. Cimermancic8M. Longstaff
Coach: Robin Fraser
Substitutes
29L. Engel6.87Y. Kubo6.617S. Santos6.82A. Powell6.985K. Kamara6.513E. Louro4N. Hagglund5O. Nwobodo11C. Baird
Coach: Pat Noonan
49%Possession51%
0.29Expected goals (xG)1.2
8Total shots14
3Shots on target7
1Big chances1
2Corners3
10Fouls12
1Yellow cards3