Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽C. Gil
11'
L. Campana
26'
⚽L. Campana
assist A. Yusuf
assist A. Yusuf
27'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁L. Stefanovic ◂ S. Rosted
46'
🔁T. Spicer ◂ O. Brynhildsen
46'
🔁L. Insigne ◂ M. Longstaff
57'
🔁K. Franklin ◂ N. Gomis
66'
🔁T. Chancalay ◂ I. Ganago
74'
🔁W. Sands ◂ P. Miller
74'
🔁L. Langoni ◂ L. Campana
81'
🔁B. Bye ◂ I. Feingold
81'
🔁M. Urruti ◂ C. Gil
88'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Coaches
Robin FraserMarko Mitrovic 
Recent form
Toronto FCLToronto FC0-1New York City FC
WReal Salt Lake0-1Toronto FC
DToronto FC0-0Minnesota United
DInter Miami CF1-1Toronto FC
DToronto FC0-0Vancouver Whitecaps
New England RevolutionWCharlotte FC0-1New England Revolution
WNew England Revolution2-0New York City FC
WAtlanta United0-1New England Revolution
LFC Cincinnati1-0New England Revolution
WNew England Revolution2-1New York Red Bulls
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Field
City
Toronto
Referee
Tori Penso
Kickoff
03 May, 20:30 UTC
Toronto FC
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-1-2
New England Revolution
1
S. Johnson
7.3
6
K. Thompson
6.6
17
S. Rosted
7.0
15
N. Gomis
6.4
28
R. Petretta
6.8
20
D. Flores
7.0
10
F. Bernardeschi
7.1
8
M. Longstaff
7.0
14
A. Coello
8.0
7
T. Corbeanu
6.9
9
O. Brynhildsen
6.7
31
A. Ivačič
7.2
3
B. Ceballos
7.5
2
M. Fofana
7.4
4
T. Beason
7.4
12
I. Feingold
8.0
8
M. Polster
6.8
80
A. Yusuf
7.9
25
P. Miller
7.4
10
C. Gil
8.3
9
L. Campana
7.5
17
I. Ganago
6.4
Substitutes
76L. Stefanovic6.816T. Spicer6.524L. Insigne7.019K. Franklin6.577A. D. Rosario5K. Long74M. Sullivan23M. Dominguez38C. Sharp
Coach: Robin Fraser
Substitutes
23W. Sands6.77T. Chancalay6.915B. Bye6.641L. Langoni6.537M. Urruti6.624A. Bono5K. Hughes11L. Díaz14J. Yueill
Coach: Marko Mitrovic
52%Possession48%
1.13Expected goals (xG)2.78
16Total shots18
2Shots on target7
1Big chances7
4Corners4
9Fouls6
0Yellow cards1