Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
K. Thompson
17'
⚽L. Messi
41'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
T. Segovia
45'+1
⚽F. Bernardeschi
assist L. Insigne
assist L. Insigne
45'+2
⚽L. Messi
assist T. Segovia
assist T. Segovia
45'+5
🔁F. Picault ◂ R. Taylor
46'
🔁M. Weigandt ◂ I. Fray
46'
🔁A. Obando ◂ L. Suárez
69'
🔁D. Etienne ◂ O. Brynhildsen
73'
🔁M. Dominguez ◂ T. Corbeanu
73'
🔁A. Coello ◂ D. Flores
73'
🔁K. Franklin ◂ K. Thompson
78'
🔁S. Morales ◂ T. Segovia
78'
🔁Y. Bright ◂ F. Redondo
78'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Coaches
Robin Fraser 
Recent form
WInter Miami CF2-1Philadelphia Union
WAtlanta United1-2Inter Miami CF
WInter Miami CF1-0Charlotte FC
WHouston Dynamo1-4Inter Miami CF
DInter Miami CF2-2New York City FC
DToronto FC0-0Vancouver Whitecaps
LNew York Red Bulls2-1Toronto FC
LToronto FC1-2Chicago Fire
LFC Cincinnati2-0Toronto FC
LOrlando City SC4-2Toronto FC
Match facts
Stadium
Chase Stadium
City
Fort Lauderdale
Referee
Rubiel Vazquez
Kickoff
06 Apr, 23:00 UTC
1
D. Callender
7.1
17
I. Fray
6.7
6
T. Avilés
7.2
2
G. Luján
7.1
18
J. Alba
7.6
16
R. Taylor
6.5
55
F. Redondo
7.2
5
S. Busquets
7.9
8
T. Segovia
7.6
10
L. Messi
8.8
9
L. Suárez
6.8
1
S. Johnson
7.7
6
K. Thompson
6.2
17
S. Rosted
7.0
15
N. Gomis
7.4
28
R. Petretta
6.5
20
D. Flores
6.6
21
J. Osorio
7.0
10
F. Bernardeschi
8.0
24
L. Insigne
7.2
7
T. Corbeanu
6.4
9
O. Brynhildsen
6.4
Substitutes
57M. Weigandt7.07F. Picault6.629A. Obando6.681S. Morales6.742Y. Bright7.134R. Ríos Novo32N. Allen37M. Falcón30B. Cremaschi
Coach: Guillermo Angel Hoyos
67%Possession33%
2.59Expected goals (xG)1.4
23Total shots12
9Shots on target3
2Big chances3
10Corners3
13Fouls8
1Yellow cards1